Auto Stocks Outlook for the week - 09.12.2013 - 13.12.2013

www.rupeedesk.in

Stocks of major automakers will move in line with the broader market, which 
will be highly influenced by the election results of four states to be out 
on Sunday. The election frenzy is going to drive the stocks, all stocks. 
Results of assembly elections of five states--Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan, 
Chhattisgarh, Mizoram and Delhi--seen as the semi-finals before the general 
elections next year, are due to be out on Sunday and Monday. If the BJP 
(Bharatiya Janata Party) wins in three out of the five states also, the 
markets will rally. If that happens the auto stocks will rally too as the 
auto sector has high beta.

We bet high on two-wheeler stocks as agri (agriculture) growth has been 
good and monsoon also. Bajaj Auto Ltd will trade range bound next week and 
will continue to lose to Honda Motorcycles Ltd in terms of sales in the 
near term. Hero MotorCorp Ltd is still good on numbers, and it will be 
positive for the next couple of weeks. It will have an edge over Bajaj 
Auto, Arora observed. If the various exit polls are to be believed, then a 
change in power is likely, which will see the markets rally. The markets 
will rally in the hope of better growth of the economy which in turn will 
make the auto sector grow.

If the markets go up, then Maruti (Suzuki India Ltd) will be the first to 
rally. The counter of Mahindra & Mahindra Ltd is likely to trade 
range-bound. Its tractor business continues to do well, but the commercial 
vehicle segment is facing pressure. Tata Motors Ltd's subsidiary Jaguar 
Land Rover's November global vehicle sales are expected to be out next 
week. JLR sold a total of 166 vehicles in India in November as against 178 
units a year ago. The company's sales in India witnessed a decline for the 
first time in the last six months in November. However, on a cumulative 
basis the company's sales in India have grown 23% in Jun-Nov to 1,333 
vehicles in India. Its November US sales stood at 6,047 units, up 37% on 
year. The numbers of China and UK will now be the key drivers for the 
stock. Analysts are expecting a 13-14% rise in the November vehicle sales 
in wholesale segment.

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Thanks and Regards,

Rupeedesk Research Team
Equity-Commodity-Currency-Nifty Options
www.rupeedesk.in
Contact : 044-24333577 /91-9841986753/91-9094047040
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