Auto Stocks Outlook for the week - 16.12.2013 - 20.12.2013
www.rupeedesk.in

Stocks of major automakers will move in line with the broader market, which 
is likely to move cautiously ahead of the Reserve Bank of India's 
mid-quarter monetary policy review. The RBI is scheduled to have its 
mid-quarter review of the monetary policy on Wednesday. Another factor 
likely to drive the markets is the US Federal Open Market Committee meeting 
on Dec 17 and 18 to discuss and debate on tapering of its bondbuying 
programme. Funds were coming into the emerging markets, now the US apex 
bank might control these measures. The Nifty and Sensex have already 
corrected. The trend is likely to continue next week. If Asian markets go 
down on fears of US Federal Reserve taper of bond-buying, then India is 
likely to fall in line with them. The inflation data out this week is quite 
dull, and, therefore, the RBI is most likely to hike rates, which will 
negatively impact the auto sector stocks. We expect the RBI to raise repo 
rate by 25 basis points. Most of the auto stocks are seen trading 
downwards. Hero MotorCorp Ltd still looks good among its two-wheeler peers 
on strong demand as rural demand is still growing. About 48-49% of sales 
are from rural areas. There could be some bottom-fishing in Hero 
MotorCorp's stock. The counter of Tata Motors Ltd is likely to trade 
sideways. Tata Motors' November global wholesale sale numbers were out 
yesterday. Although the company reported lower vehicle wholesale sales 
during November, falling 19.9% on year, its subsidiary Jaguar Land Rover's 
sales grew 15.3%, in line with the estimates. Analysts were expecting a 
13-14% rise in the November vehicle sales in wholesale segment. JLR sold a 
total of 166 vehicles in India in November as against 178 units a year ago. 
The company's sales in India witnessed a decline for the first time in the 
last six months in November. However, on a cumulative basis, the company's 
sales in India have grown 23% in Jun-Nov to 1,333 vehicles in India. Its 
November US sales stood at 6,047 units, up 37% on year.

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Thanks and Regards,

Rupeedesk Research Team
Equity-Commodity-Currency-Nifty Options
www.rupeedesk.in
Contact : 044-24333577 /91-9841986753/91-9094047040
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