I was about to send out my morning's mailing when Amy Goodman
announced that Hamas, not the Palestine Authority has won nearly
all the voting districts in yesterday's election.  This is contrary to
what both the NY and LA Times have reported.  I write this as she
announces she'll be devoting today's show to the subject.  This is
one to record as the twisting, spinning and ballot stuffing is begun,
almost surely.  The rebroadcast is 9am in the LA area on kpfk 90.7 fm.
Ed

http://select.nytimes.com/2006/01/23/opinion/23krugman.html?th&emc=th

Iraq's Power Vacuum
By PAUL KRUGMAN
NY Times Op-Ed: January 23, 2006

In the State of the Union address, President Bush will surely assert, to
choreographed applause, that he has a strategy for victory in Iraq. I don't
believe him. In fact, I believe that three years into the conflict his
administration refuses to admit defeat but has given up even trying to win.

To explain myself, let me tell you some stories about electricity.
Power shortages are a crucial issue for ordinary Iraqis, and for the
credibility of their government. As Muhsin Shlash, Iraq's electricity
minister, said last week, "When you lose electricity the country is
destroyed, nothing works, all industry is down and terrorist activity is
increased."

Mr. Shlash has reason to be strident. In today's Iraq, blackouts are the
rule rather than the exception. According to Agence France-Presse, Baghdad
and "much of the central regions" - in other words, the areas where the
insurgency is most active and dangerous - currently get only between two and
six hours of power a day.

Lack of electricity isn't just an inconvenience. It prevents businesses from
operating, destroys jobs and generates a sense of demoralization and rage
that feeds the insurgency.

So why is power scarcer than ever, almost three years after Saddam's fall?
Sabotage by insurgents is one factor. But as an analysis of Iraq's
electricity shortage in The Los Angeles Times last month showed, the
blackouts are also the result of some incredible missteps by U.S. officials.

Most notably, during the period when Iraq was run by U.S. officials, they
decided to base their electricity plan on natural gas: in order to boost
electrical output, American companies were hired to install gas-fired
generators in power plants across Iraq. But, as The Los Angeles Times
explains, "pipelines needed to transport the gas" - that is, to supply gas
to the new generators - "weren't built because Iraq's Oil Ministry, with
U.S. encouragement, concentrated instead on boosting oil production."
Whoops.

Meanwhile, in the early days of the occupation U.S. officials chose not to
raise the prices of electricity and fuel, which had been kept artificially
cheap under Saddam, for fear of creating unrest. But as a first step toward
their dream of turning Iraq into a free-market utopia, they removed tariffs
and other restrictions on the purchase of imported consumer goods.

The result was that wealthy and middle-class Iraqis rushed to buy imported
refrigerators, heaters and other power-hungry products, and the demand for
electricity surged - with no capacity available to meet that surge in
demand. This caused even more blackouts.

In short, U.S. officials thoroughly botched their handling of Iraq's
electricity sector. They did much the same in the oil sector. But the Bush
administration is determined to achieve victory in Iraq, so it must have a
plan to rectify its errors, right?

Um, no. Although there has been no formal declaration, all indications are
that the Bush administration, which once made grand promises about a program
to rebuild Iraq comparable to the Marshall Plan, doesn't plan to ask for any
more money for Iraqi reconstruction.

Another Los Angeles Times report on Iraq reconstruction contains some
jaw-dropping quotes from U.S. officials, who now seem to be lecturing the
Iraqis on self-reliance. "The world is a competitive place," declared the
economics counselor at the U.S. embassy. "No pain, no gain," said another
official. "We were never intending to rebuild Iraq," said a third. We came,
we saw, we conquered, we messed up your infrastructure, we're outta here.

Mr. Shlash certainly sounds as if he's given up expecting more American
help. "The American donation is almost finished," he said, "and it was not
that effective." Yet he also emphasized the obvious: partly because of the
similar failure of reconstruction in the oil sector, Iraq's government
doesn't have the funds to do much power plant construction. In fact, it will
be hard pressed to maintain the capacity it has, and protect that capacity
from insurgent attacks.

And if reconstruction stalls, as seems inevitable, it's hard to see how
anything else in Iraq can go right.

So what does it mean that the Bush administration is apparently walking away
from responsibility for Iraq's reconstruction? It means that the
administration doesn't have a plan; it's entirely focused on short-term
political gain. Mr. Bush is just getting by from sound bite to sound bite,
while Iraq and America sink ever deeper into the quagmire.

***

http://www.truthout.org/docs_2006/012206A.shtml

Democrats: Get Up and Walk Out
    By William Rivers Pitt
    t r u t h o u t | Perspective
    Sunday 22 January 2006

    MEMO
    To: Congressional Democrats
    From: William Rivers Pitt
    RE: A bold maneuver

     - - - -

    I have a wild and crazy idea.

    George W. Bush's delivery of the State of the Union address will take
place on Tuesday, January 31, a little more than a week from now. It is my
strong belief that every single Democrat present in the House chamber for
the speech should, at a predetermined moment, stand up and walk out. No
yelling. No heated words. Every Democrat should simply stand silently and
leave.

    Crazy, I know. Crazy, and possibly the best idea ever put before a body
of Democrats since the New Deal.

    Understand this, congressional Democrats, and understand it well: you
are not dealing merely with a body of political opponents in the GOP. You
are dealing with a group of people that want you exterminated politically.
The days of walking the halls of the Rayburn Building, sharing a bourbon
with a colleague from the other side of the aisle, and hammering out a
compromise are as dead as Julius Caesar. Collegiality is out. Mutual respect
is out. They want you gone for good. Erased. Destroyed.

    And you have been far too polite about this. The writing has been on the
wall for a while now. Back in 1995, Republican Senator Phil Gramm said,
"We're going to keep building the party until we're hunting Democrats with
dogs." That was eleven years ago. If you listen close, you can hear the
beasts baying in the distance, waiting to slip the leash. Your limp tactics
in the face of the assault upon you, your vacillation, your strange hope
that maybe the GOP will be nicer tomorrow, has left you all smelling like
Alpo.

    For the love of God, you are being compared to Osama bin Laden all over
network television because some within your ranks have had the courage to
question the war in Iraq. It hasn't been subtle. Bin Laden, according to the
right-wing talking heads, is getting his talking points straight from Howard
Dean. These are the out-front spokespeople for the folks running the GOP
right now. If you think there is compromise to be had with these people, if
you think there is quarter to be given to you, then I have a nice, big red
bridge to sell you in San Francisco.

    I know you believe the Abramoff scandal is going to be your bread and
butter in the upcoming midterm elections. I hate to break it to you, but you
have already been outflanked. The television nitwits have flooded the
airwaves with the meme that this is a "two-party scandal," despite the fact
that Abramoff would have sooner lit himself on fire than give money to a
Democrat. As you have been collectively incapable of setting the record
straight in public, with the exception of a two-minute crunch between Howard
Dean and Wolf Blitzer on CNN that left Blitzer spluttering impotently,
understand that "this scandal affects both parties" is now commonly accepted
fact all across the land.

    Oh, yeah, P.S., the investigation is being run out of the Department
Justice. If this scandal does touch some sixty Republican officeholders, as
Abramoff's donation history indicates, do you really think this White House
is going to let the investigation get far enough to do real damage? If so, I
again need to mention that big red bridge I have for sale.

    In all likelihood, however, the White House won't even need to derail
the Abramoff investigation to save Republicans from their ridiculous greed.
Did you see the Washington Post headline from Friday? It read, "Rove: GOP to
Use Terror as Campaign Issue." In reality, the headline should have read
"GOP to Use Terror as Campaign Tactic." Once again, the Republicans are
going to try to win midterm elections by scaring the hell out of the
American people. This time, the fear factor will center around Iran and
nuclear weapons.

    The intelligence specialists in the United States, Germany and Israel
all agree that Iran is between three and five years away from being able to
manufacture nuclear weapons. This, of course, is based on the premise that
such manufacture is Iran's goal. Take it as a given that it is, and we have
at least three years to use diplomacy, economic pressures and possibly
sanctions to keep them from creating these bombs.

    But "three to five years" isn't going to help the GOP win the midterm
elections. They need things to be scary, and they need things to be scary
now. The same right-wing groups that ginned up the fantasy that Iraq was
laden with weapons of mass destruction, and was an imminent threat, are now
at work building up a martial froth about Iran. They did this in time for
the midterms last time, and are preparing to do it again.

    United Press International carried a story last Thursday about a group
called the Foundation for Democracy in Iran. This group, according to the
UPI story, claims that, "Tehran is planning a nuclear weapons test before
the Iranian New Year on March 20, 2006." FDI, according to the story,
offered absolutely no proof to back this claim. But that's not three to five
years. That's less than ten weeks. Scary stuff, right?

    Take a closer look, however, and you can see the fingerprints of the
architects of our current Iraq boondoggle all over this. The Foundation for
Democracy in Iran is run by a man named Kenneth Timmerman. Timmerman is
umbilically connected to the godfather of right-wing think tanks, the
American Enterprise Institute. It was the American Enterprise Institute that
spawned the Project for the New American Century, the think tank that gave
us Cheney, Wolfowitz, Rumsfeld, the original noise about Iraqi WMD, and the
idea that a military takeover of the entire Mideast is a bully idea. The
same people that terrorized the American people into unnecessary war in Iraq
are preparing to do the same with Iran, and all in time for the midterms.

    One must also note the irony of the suggested date for this Iranian
nuclear test. March 20, 2006, for those not paying attention, is the
three-year anniversary of our invasion of Iraq. And round and round we go.

    You've been outflanked, Democrats. Abramoff won't help you, and the
noise machine is preparing to terrorize the American people into such a
distracted state that anything you say in the next ten months will be lost
amid the howling. The midterms are pretty much a done deal, and your
continued marginalization will proceed at speed.

    You can stomp your feet and yell at the wall. You can put your head in
your hands and weep. You can sit silently and be simply satisfied that your
own job-for-life is secure, thanks to your friendly district back home, and
be damned to actually doing anything of substance. In other words, you can
continue to do what you've been doing since this outrageous assault on basic
American democracy began.

    Or you can stand up.

    It takes a spine to stand up. Find yours. Get up and walk out of the
State of the Union speech. Turn your backs on the blizzard of lies and empty
promises that are sure to pour forth from that podium. Give it exactly what
it deserves.

    Walk outside to the steps of the Capitol Building and hold a
Counter-State-of-the-Union. Lay out your plans for a better future. Explain
how you will reform the system that spawned Mr. Abramoff. Demand answers and
explanations about what is happening in Iraq, what is happening over at the
National Security Agency, and why this administration believes itself to be
completely above the law.

    I can even offer a bit of text for your opening statement. "Three years
ago during this very speech," your leading spokesperson can say from those
steps, "Mr. Bush told us that Iraq was in possession of 26,000 liters of
anthrax, 38,000 liters of botulinum toxin, 500 tons - which is one million
pounds - of sarin, mustard and VX nerve agent, 30,000 missiles to deliver
the stuff, mobile biological weapons labs, al Qaeda connections, and uranium
from Niger for use in a robust nuclear weapons program. He said all this
three years ago, during this all-important annual address, and all of it was
a lie. The American people deserve an explanation."

    See? It's easy. All it takes is courage.

    What I am talking about is political theater on a grand scale. No
opposition party in American history has ever turned their backs on a
President and walked out of a State of the Union address. No opposition
party has faced the degree of potential extermination the Democrats face
today. The stakes have never been higher. You are dealing with a President
who wants to make his Executive powers absolute, and with a Republican party
that has been usurped from soup to nuts by extremists that would be
cartoonish if they were not so very real.

    Abramoff won't help you. The fear factor will subsume you. You can sit
there and take it, clapping politely as the ram rolls towards you, or you
can stand up and make yourselves relevant again. To walk out of the speech
would be a huge statement, bold and potentially dangerous. But if you don't
do something bold, something grand and unprecedented, something to take back
the initiative, you will join the Whigs in the dustbin of history.

    Stand up. Walk out. You have a week to get this organized.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    William Rivers Pitt is a New York Times and internationally bestselling
author of two books: War on Iraq: What Team Bush Doesn't Want You to Know
and The Greatest Sedition Is Silence.









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