There Goes the Enrollment
High rents are changing the face of crowded L.A. neighborhoods. Schools are 
feeling the effects.
By Nancy Cleeland, LA Times Staff Writer
June 11, 2006

Public school enrollment is dropping fast in some of the most notoriously 
crowded neighborhoods of Los Angeles as soaring rents and property values 
displace low-income, mostly immigrant families.

"It's getting too expensive to live here. I hear that from parents all the 
time," clerk Mina Rocha said recently from her post at the front counter of 
Hobart Boulevard Elementary School in Pico-Union, in the crook of the 10 
and 110 freeways.

The school opened this year with 1,652 students, about 500 fewer than in 
2002. Next year's student body will be smaller still. "We've lost a lot of 
kids, and not a lot are enrolling," Rocha said.

It's a story repeated at dozens of schools in the central city and the 
southeast San Fernando Valley, in neighborhoods long characterized by 
poverty and overcrowding and now changing rapidly.

School enrollment figures offer an early glimpse of demographic trends that 
won't show up in census data for several years. A Los Angeles Times 
analysis of those numbers, grouped by ZIP Codes, found an unmistakable 
pattern: Families with children are leaving the city's core.

Overall, kindergarten through fifth-grade enrollment in the sprawling Los 
Angeles Unified School District dropped only modestly — by about 30,000, or 
less than 10% — since the fall of 2002. But half of that loss came from 
just 15 of the 118 ZIP Codes the district covers, all in neighborhoods once 
dominated by working-class immigrants.

The families began leaving a few years ago, as property values and rents 
soared. School administrators and housing advocates said residents of the 
restored homes or new luxury condominiums tend to have fewer or no children.

"Our ZIP Code is one of the last areas to get a big boost in the real 
estate market," said Jim Kennedy, principal of Pico-Union's Magnolia 
Elementary, which is losing about 75 students a year. "It's been a shock to 
the families."

The 90006 ZIP Code covers two square miles and five elementary schools, 
including Magnolia and Hobart. In the last two years, average rents there 
jumped by 60%, to $932 a month, according to RealFacts, a Novato-based real 
estate research firm. During the same two years, the combined elementary 
school enrollment dropped by 800 to 5,284.

A similar pattern of rising rents and declining school enrollment shows up 
in Westlake, Echo Park, Boyle Heights, South Los Angeles and pockets of the 
San Fernando Valley, including Pacoima and North Hollywood. It is the 
mirror image of what happened in the same neighborhoods a generation ago.

Populations swelled in the 1980s and 1990s as newly arrived immigrants 
squeezed into homes and apartments, sometimes one family to each bedroom. 
To absorb the influx of children, schools added portable classrooms, 
switched to staggered schedules so that schools could operate year round 
and resorted to busing some students to distant campuses.

Now, armed with $11.7 billion in voter-approved bond money, the district is 
addressing the long-standing problem by building 150 schools, including 65 
for elementary grades. The schools are concentrated in the neighborhoods 
once most affected by population growth, the same neighborhoods now losing 
children in large numbers. The construction, which is expected to run 
through 2012, began in 2001, just as gentrification began.

"We've been surprised a little bit by the depth of the declines," 
acknowledged Edwin Van Ginkel, the district's senior development manager. 
"But it's not happening at such a pace that we believe it's going to affect 
our planning."

He noted that even after several years of enrollment declines, the 
neighborhoods losing students remain densely populated and still have the 
largest elementary enrollments in the district. "We've got 1,400 kids in 
schools built for half that number. If there's gentrification that allows 
that school to go down to 1,000 kids, it may not be such a bad thing," he said.

The district's construction program has played a part in the decline by 
leveling apartment buildings and homes at building sites. The first 
construction phase displaced 1,500 households. A second phase may do the same.

But the school system's role is minor compared to that of the private 
sector. Would-be homeowners and investors priced out of other Los Angeles 
markets have been buying and fixing up properties in these long-undervalued 
neighborhoods, many of which offer views of downtown and pockets of 
charming architecture. Old apartment buildings often are rehabbed for a 
more upscale market or demolished to make way for new construction.

Citywide, at least 7,000 rent-controlled units have been lost to demolition 
and condo conversion since the start of 2005, according to records kept by 
the Housing Department based on self-reporting by building owners. Housing 
advocates say the actual number of affordable units lost is far higher.

"We've now decided the entire city is gentrifying, with some 
super-gentrification zones," said Tai Glenn, head housing attorney for the 
Legal Aid Foundation of Los Angeles. "Our work used to focus on cleaning up 
slum conditions. Now it's all about evictions."

Larry Gross, director of the nonprofit Coalition for Economic Survival, 
which grew out of the movement for rent control in the 1970s, advocates a 
moratorium on conversions of rent-controlled apartments until the loss of 
affordable housing is addressed comprehensively. "If this is not curbed," 
he said, "we're looking at the face of Los Angeles changing forever. It's 
going to be a city of the wealthy."

For veteran Los Angeles teachers and administrators, the trend is a bracing 
departure from the norm. Lower enrollments bring the gift of more 
manageable playgrounds and even a spare room or two. But they also raise 
concerns for those being pushed out and for the long-term future of the 
schools.

"My whole career in the district, it's been grow, grow, grow," said 
Christopher Stehr, principal of Leo Politi Elementary in Pico-Union, which 
this year dipped below 1,000 students for the first time since 1997. The 
school is slated to go to a standard single-track calendar next year. "I 
never thought I'd be around to see this day," he said.

Tall, robust, with graying hair, Stehr donned a suit jacket to take a walk 
around his school's six-block enrollment area, a hodgepodge of boxy 
apartment buildings thrown up in the 1970s and '80s and grand Craftsman and 
Queen Anne homes built more than a century ago.

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Multiple mailboxes and satellite antennas marked the houses converted to 
mini-apartment buildings. Work crews marked the ones being restored to 
single-family homes. Piles of abandoned furniture outside apartment 
buildings hinted at evictions.

Passing the large asphalt playground, where children in blue-and-white 
uniforms were at recess, Stehr said the population drop has made the campus 
more manageable. But it also means he will lose three teachers. And he 
worried about the families who were leaving. "Is it a good thing? That 
depends on why they're leaving and where they're ending up," he said.

The subject hit a nerve with mothers waiting outside Leo Politi's gates, 
all tenants protected by the city's rent-control law. Adopted in 1978, the 
law limits annual increases to 3% a year (up to 4% after this year) as long 
as the tenant stays in the unit. It also limits a landlord's ability to evict.

But the law doesn't apply to units built after 1978, and it can't prevent 
owners from taking units off the market, either to raze them or convert 
them to condos. In addition, housing advocates said many landlords tempted 
by the hot market have been illegally evicting tenants. Others are using 
state overcrowding laws to remove long-term tenants, sometimes arguing 
successfully in court that they should not be required to rent small units 
to families that are too large for them.

Without rent control, the mothers at Leo Politi said, they too would be gone.

"I looked around for a bigger place and it was impossible," said Manuela 
Cardoza, who shares a one-bedroom apartment with three daughters and her 
husband, a day laborer. The family has lived in the unit five years and 
pays $850 a month.

The same apartment might fetch $200 more today, said Cardoza, gathering up 
4-year-old Brenda for the short walk home. "They were asking $1,200 for a 
two-bedroom in our building," she said, shaking her head in disbelief. 
"It's very expensive."

The effect on campuses has been mixed. Schools can shrink too far, said 
Beth Harker, assistant principal at Hollywood's Cheremoya Elementary, where 
enrollment dropped from 435 students last year to 350 this year because of 
gentrification and school boundary changes. The school moved from three 
tracks to one. Even so, four classrooms sit empty.

Total enrollment could fall below 300 next year, which makes Harker a 
little nervous. "Small comes with its own challenges," she said. For 
example, grade levels must sometimes be combined and taught by a single 
teacher, which Cheremoya has not yet had to do. The smaller budget also 
means less money for school-wide extras, like art classes.

The school's enrollment area is large, reaching into the Hollywood Hills, 
but nearly all students come from a densely settled stretch of apartments 
and old homes south of Franklin Avenue. Some of the residences bear fresh 
coats of paint. One newly refurbished brick building advertises lofts for 
lease.

Many of those buildings once housed children who went to Cheremoya, Harker 
said. The school hasn't had the resources to track where their families 
headed when they left. Curious, she leafed through a stack of past 
students' files looking for records requests from other schools, the only 
sure way of knowing where a student transfers. She ticked off the names: 
Pacoima, Victorville, Orange County, Desert Hot Springs, Canyon Country, 
Riverside, Temecula, Whittier, Georgia, Florida.

More than half were open questions. "We have no idea where they're going," 
Harker said. "All we know is the numbers keep going down."

  



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