Hi.  I want to deal with ceasefire and terror today.  Mixing them lost
focus and dimension, so here's ceasefire - this afternoon, terrorism.

Seymour Hersh has just written a major piece for the New Yorker
describing the collusion of the Bush administration with the Israeli
government on the planning and execution of invading Lebonon.
He's interviewed today on Democracy Now, in LA, on kpfk 90.7fm,
6 and 9 AM.  Also on some NPR and cable tv stations.  Powerful.

Ed

Robert Fisk: As the 6am ceasefire takes effect... the real war begins

Published: 14 August 2006

The real war in Lebanon begins today. The world may believe - and
Israel may believe - that the UN ceasefire due to come into effect at
6am today will mark the beginning of the end of the latest dirty war
in Lebanon after up to 1,000 Lebanese civilians and more than 30
Israeli civilians have been killed. But the reality is quite
different and will suffer no such self-delusion: the Israeli army,
reeling under the Hizbollah's onslaught of the past 24 hours, is now
facing the harshest guerrilla war in its history. And it is a war
they may well lose.

In all, at least 39 - possibly 43 - Israeli soldiers have been killed
in the past day as Hizbollah guerrillas, still launching missiles
into Israel itself, have fought back against Israel's massive land
invasion into Lebanon.

Israeli military authorities talked of "cleaning" and "mopping up"
operations by their soldiers south of the Litani river but, to the
Lebanese, it seems as if it is the Hizbollah that have been doing the
"mopping up". By last night, the Israelis had not even been able to
reach the dead crew of a helicopter - shot down on Saturday night -
which crashed into a Lebanese valley.

Officially, Israel has now accepted the UN ceasefire that calls for
an end to all Israeli offensive military operations and Hizbollah
attacks, and the Hizbollah have stated that they will abide by the
ceasefire - providing no Israeli troops remain inside Lebanon. But
10,000 Israeli soldiers - the Israelis even suggest 30,000, although
no one in Beirut takes that seriously - have now entered the country
and every one of them is a Hizbollah target.

 From this morning, Hizbollah's operations will be directed solely
against the invasion force. And the Israelis cannot afford to lose 40
men a day. Unable to shoot down the Israeli F-16 aircraft that have
laid waste to much of Lebanon, the Hizbollah have, for years, prayed
and longed and waited for the moment when they could attack the
Israeli army on the ground.

Now they are set to put their long-planned campaign into operation.
Thousands of their members remain alive and armed in the ruined hill
villages of southern Lebanon for just this moment and, only hours
after their leader, Sayed Hassan Nasrallah, warned Israel on Saturday
that his men were waiting for them on the banks of the Litani river,
the Hizbollah sprang their trap, killing more than 20 Israeli
soldiers in less than three hours.

Israel itself, according to reports from Washington and New York, had
long planned its current campaign against Lebanon - provoked by
Hizbollah's crossing of the Israeli frontier, its killing of three
soldiers and seizure of two others on 12 July - but the Israelis
appear to have taken no account of the guerrilla army's most obvious
operational plan: that if they could endure days of air attacks, they
would eventually force Israel's army to re-enter Lebanon on the
ground and fight them on equal terms.

Hizbollah's laser-guided missiles - Iranian-made, just as most
Israeli arms are US-made - appear to have caused havoc among Israeli
troops on Saturday, and their downing of an Israeli helicopter was
without precedent in their long war against Israel.

In theory, aid convoys will be able to move south today to the
thousands of Lebanese Shia trapped in their villages but no one knows
whether the Hizbollah will wait for several days - they, like the
Israelis, are physically tired - to allow that help to reach the crushed
towns.

Atrocities continue across Lebanon, the most recent being the attack
on a convoy of cars carrying 600 Christian families from the southern
town of Marjayoun. Led by soldiers of the Lebanese army, they trailed
north on Saturday up the Bekaa valley only to be assaulted by Israeli
aircraft. At least seven were killed, including the wife of the
mayor, a Christian woman who was decapitated by a missile that hit her car.

In west Beirut yesterday, the Israeli air force destroyed eight
apartment blocks in which six families were living. Twelve civilians
were killed in southern Lebanon, including a mother, her children and
their housemaid.

An Israeli was killed by Hizballoh's continued Katyusha fire across
the border. The guerrilla army - "terrorists" to the Israelis and
Americans but increasingly heroes across the Muslim world - have many
dead to avenge, although their leadership seems less interested in
exacting an eye for an eye and far more eager to strike at Israel's army.

At this fatal juncture in Middle East history - and no one should
underestimate this moment's importance in the region - the Israeli
army appears as impotent to protect its country as the Hizbollah
clearly is to protect Lebanon.

But if the ceasefire collapses, as seems certain, neither the
Israelis nor the Americans appear to have any plans to escape the
consequences. The US saw this war as an opportunity to humble
Hizbollah's Iranian and Syrian sponsors but already it seems as if
the tables have been turned. The Israeli military appears to be
efficient at destroying bridges, power stations, gas stations and
apartment blocks - but signally inefficient in crushing the
"terrorist" army they swore to liquidate.

"The Lebanese government is our address for every problem or
violation of the [ceasefire] agreement," Israel's Prime Minister,
Ehud Olmert, said yesterday, as if realising the truce would not hold.

And that, of course, provides yet another excuse for Israel to attack
the civilian infrastructure of Lebanon.

Far more worrying, however, are the vague terms of the UN Security
Council's resolution on the multinational force supposed to occupy
land between the Israeli border and the Litani river.

For if the Israelis and the Hizbollah are at war across the south
over the coming weeks, what country will dare send its troops into
the jungle that southern Lebanon will have become?

Tragically, and fatally for all involved, the real Lebanon war does
indeed begin today.

***

[Israel has been assiduously grabbing land for decades based on water
resources, which is almost never mentioned in the mainstream US press.
Water is something most yankees never even think about, although there
are conflicts over multinational corporations grabbing water resources
all over the globe.  US pundits are fond of making up all kinds of
reasons that Shebaa Farms is "irrationally" focused upon by those
crazy irrational middle easterners.  Perhaps not so irrational. Perhaps
like so many of Israel's other landgrabs, it's all about water. -NYTransfer]

sent by Dave Muller (southnews)

Los Angeles Times - Aug 10, 2006
www.latimes.com/news/printedition/asection/la-fg-litani10aug10,1,3878441.story

Water: More precious than oil in ME may be the real motivation
behind Israel's invasion

by Kim Murphy, Times Staff Writer Thursday, Aug. 10, 2006 at 12:10 PM

Israeli bombing has knocked out irrigation canals supplying Litani
River water to more than 10,000 acres of farmland and 23 villages in
southern Lebanon and the Bekaa Valley, prompting accusations here that
Israel is using its war against Hezbollah to lay claim to Lebanon's
prime watersheds. Heavy fighting and a series of targeted strikes on
open water channels and underground water diversion pipes have suspended
much of Lebanon's agricultural use of the Litani River along the coastal
plain and in parts of the Bekaa Valley near Qaraoun Dam, said water
engineers who have surveyed the south.

Old Feud Over Lebanese River Takes New Turn

Israel's airstrikes on canals renew enduring suspicions that it covets
water from the Litani. The Jewish state denies having any such designs.

By Kim Murphy, Times Staff Writer

August 10, 2006

QASMIYA, Lebanon  Israeli bombing has knocked out irrigation canals
supplying Litani River water to more than 10,000 acres of farmland and
23 villages in southern Lebanon and the Bekaa Valley, prompting
accusations here that Israel is using its war against Hezbollah to lay
claim to Lebanon's prime watersheds.

Heavy fighting and a series of targeted strikes on open water channels
and underground water diversion pipes have suspended much of Lebanon's
agricultural use of the Litani River along the coastal plain and in
parts of the Bekaa Valley near Qaraoun Dam, said water engineers who
have surveyed the south.

The damaged or broken facilities include a pumping station on the
Wazzani River, whose inauguration by Lebanon in 2002 prompted Israel to
threaten military action because it diverted water a few hundred yards
from the Israeli border, in a watershed that feeds the Jordan River,
Lebanese officials said. At the time, Hezbollah promised to defend the
facility.

The strikes went largely unnoticed by the outside world in the nearly
monthlong air assault targeting Hezbollah guerrilla strongholds in
southern Lebanon. But Lebanese point to the extensive damage to their
irrigation and drinking water system as evidence that border security
and water issues remain intertwined in a region short on both.

"Whenever Israel throughout history has thought of its northern border,
they don't talk, for example, of the mountains as a border. They always
think of the valley of the Litani," said Mohammed Shaya, dean of the
college of social sciences at Lebanese University in Beirut.

Israel has said repeatedly that it has no designs on Lebanon's water.

"There's a policy decision at the highest level not to target those
water pumping stations," said Mark Regev, a spokesman for the Israeli
Foreign Ministry. "We don't claim an inch of Lebanese sovereign
territory. We don't claim a gallon of Lebanese water. We have no hostile
intentions whatever towards Lebanon as a country, towards the Lebanese
people or towards Lebanese natural resources."

But the enduring suspicion in Lebanon that Israel regards the water of
the Litani as its own and the lands to its south as a security perimeter
help explain Beirut's reluctance to accept any U.N. cease-fire
resolution that does not call for an immediate Israeli withdrawal from
the region.

At a minimum, Lebanese officials fear that the repeated attacks on water
facilities  as well as bridges, highways, power plants and roads
signal an intention to debilitate Hezbollah-dominated southern Lebanon
and enable a long-term Israeli presence there.

"They started [bombing] with the Litani water reservoir, the Litani dam.
And we all know that the Litani has a special place in this country,"
said Fadl Shalaq, president of the Lebanese Council for Reconstruction
and Development. "It's a big reservoir of water, and the Israelis don't
hide it that there are several parts of the Litani that they would like
to take for themselves."

Officials in southern Lebanon said the attacks hit not only bridges, but
open water canals, crippling irrigation to thousands of acres here in
the Tyre region and in the Bekaa Valley.

During fighting near the Wazzani springs, a guard at the pumping station
was killed, the pump was knocked out of service and the underground
pipes through which water is transported were heavily damaged, said
Hussein Ramal, an engineer for the Litani Water Authority, which
operates irrigation systems in the region. "Now every one of these
villages is without water."

The Litani flows 102 miles, entirely within Lebanon. It courses south
through eastern Lebanon's Bekaa Valley, before turning sharply westward
just 2 1/2 miles from the Israeli border, then heading through the
coastal plain, past the town of Qasmiya to the Mediterranean, north of Tyre.

Zionist leader Chaim Weizmann, who would become the first president of
Israel, in 1919 included the Litani valley among the "minimum
requirements essential to the realization of the Jewish National Home."
David Ben-Gurion, Israel's first prime minister, proposed including the
Litani again in the 1940s on the eve of the creation of the Jewish
state. In the 1950s, historical records show, Moshe Dayan, then chief of
staff of the Israel Defense Forces, and others favored occupying and
ultimately annexing southern Lebanon up to the Litani River.

Occupation of the West Bank and Golan Heights, though motivated by
security concerns, has provided Israel with an important source of
water. Experts note that the small slice of land known as the Shebaa
Farms, one of the issues in the current conflict, is graced with
abundant groundwater flowing from the slopes of Mt. Hermon.

Israel also sees Shebaa Farms as a strategic asset because of its
proximity to the Israeli, Syrian and Lebanese borders.

Israel has always argued that much of the Litani's water flows to the
sea, wasted.

A large portion of the river's flow is diverted to a series of
hydropower dams, leaving relatively little for irrigation in southern
Lebanon. But the Lebanese government had planned to offer a $200-million
contract this summer to irrigate major new sections of the region.

Both states would benefit if Israel sold Lebanon power and Lebanon sold
Israel water, said Haim Gvirtzman, hydrology professor at Hebrew
University. [Poster's Note: Lebanon never had "power" issues till Israel
recently destroyed many of the powerplants in the country during the
last few weeks of bombings.]

"Should there be peace between Israel and Lebanon, then it will be
possible to use the Litani's water as a trigger for a fruitful
cooperation between the two countries," Gvirtzman said.

But the Lebanese fear that a prolonged Israeli occupation would give the
Jewish state ample time to develop its own international "projects" for
sharing the Litani's water.

"In this war, the whole symbol of water has come back with the
insurgency now. Because Israel's declared war is to push out the
Katyushas"  the rockets being fired by Hezbollah militants  "but the
long-range aim, I believe, is to again enter the water issue and push it
on the Lebanese," said Mahmoud Haidar, head of the Delta Center for
Research and the Press in Beirut.

"If Israel is the winner in this war, in any settlement," he said,
"water will become an issue. It will become part of the Israeli demands."

A report on Debka File, a website often described as reflecting the
thinking of Israeli intelligence, described "Israel's recovery of
control over its main sources of water" at Wazzani as "the most
important gain from the crisis" in Lebanon.

"Israel will not cede this asset in a hurry," the website predicted.
"Worth citing in this regard is Defense Minister Amir Peretz's statement
after U.S. Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice left the Middle East,
that Israel would retain control of a security belt in southern Lebanon
until a multinational force takes over."

Israeli officials say any damage to water facilities is collateral to
strikes on bridges and roads used by Hezbollah to transport weapons.

"The whole idea that we are trying somehow  and this is going back to
conspiracy theories  that we are trying to steal Litani water is
ridiculous," said Regev, the Foreign Ministry spokesman.

Here on the Litani, in the empty banana fields and citrus groves that
stretch for miles, there is a sense among residents that the battle
already has been lost.

The airstrikes on the main irrigation canal, the trunk of a system that
waters 9,800 acres, has doomed this year's banana crop. No one knows
when the canal system might be repaired. The farmers have fled, and the
banana plants stand drying under the hot summer sun.

"All the farmers depend on this water. It's drying up. There's nothing
left here. It's collapsing," said Mohammed Saghir, a Qasmiya shop owner
who stayed behind because he had nowhere to run.

"In 1948, the British hit the irrigation canal, and now the Israelis
want to hit it. They know all our families depend on this water," he said.

[Special correspondent Vita Bekker in Tel Aviv and Times staff writer
Henry Chu in Jerusalem contributed to this report.]







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