(Note from MN: It must be stated that Israel has been in a constant state 
of war since its inception, just as a state of war characterizes the nature 
of life in the US (not only for the indigenous, African, Mexican, and 
Puerto Rican people it has colonized through military aggression). The 
skirmishes that erupt and allow us to perceive the true state of affairs of 
empire and colonialism, which is constant warfare and militarism against 
the oppressed, exploited and colonized, should be perceived as ruptures in 
the oppressor's ability to impose its denial on the face of reality.--MN)

August 17, 2006 Counterpunch
The Thirty Three Day War
  From Mania to Depression

By URI AVNERY

Tel Aviv.

Thirty three days of war. The longest of our wars since 1949.

On the Israeli side: 154 dead--117 of them soldiers. 3970 rockets
launched against us, 37 civilians dead, more than 422 civilians
wounded.

On the Lebanese side: about a thousand dead civilians, thousands
wounded. An unknown number of Hizbullah fighters dead and wounded.

More than a million refugees on both sides.

So what has been achieved for this terrible price?

"GLOOMY, HUMBLE, despondent," was how the journalist Yossef Werter
described Ehud Olmert, a few hours after the cease-fire had come into
effect.

Olmert? Humble? Is this the same Olmert we know? The same Olmert who
thumped the table and shouted: "No more!" Who said: "After the war, the
situation will be completely different than before!" Who promised a
"New Middle East" as a result of the war?

* * *
THE RESULTS of the war are obvious:

* The prisoners, who served as casus belli (or pretext) for the war,
have not been released. They will come back only as a result of an
exchange of prisoners, exactly as Hassan Nasrallah proposed before the
war.

* Hizbullah has remained as it was. It has not been destroyed, nor
disarmed, nor even removed from where it was. Its fighters have proved
themselves in battle and have even garnered compliments from Israeli
soldiers. Its command and communication stucture has continued to
function to the end. Its TV station is still broadcasting.

* Hassan Nasrallah is alive and kicking. Persistent attempts to kill
him failed. His prestige is sky-high. Everywhere in the Arab world,
from Morocco to Iraq, songs are being composed in his honor and his
picture adorns the walls.

* The Lebanese army will be deployed along the border, side by side
with a large international force. That is the only material change that
has been achieved.

This will not replace Hizbullah. Hizbullah will remain in the area, in
every village and town. The Israeli army has not succeeded in removing
it from one single village. That was simply impossible without
permanently removing the population to which it belongs.

The Lebanese army and the international force cannot and will not
confront Hizbullah. Their very presence there depends on Hizbullah's
consent. In practice, a kind of co-existence of the three forces will
come into being, each one knowing that it has to come to terms with the
other two.

Perhaps the international force will be able to prevent incursions by
Hizbullah, such as the one that preceded this war. But it will also
have to prevent Israeli actions, such as the reconnaissance flights of
our Air Force over Lebanon. That's why the Israeli army objected, at
the beginning, so strenuously to the introduction of this force.

* * *
IN ISRAEL, there is now a general atmosphere of disappointment and
despondency. From mania to depression. It's not only that the
politicians and the generals are firing accusations at each other, as
we foresaw, but the general public is also voicing criticism from every
possible angle. The soldiers criticize the conduct of the war, the
reserve soldiers gripe about the chaos and the failure of supplies.

In all parties, there are new opposition groupings and threats of
splits. In Kadima. In Labor. It seems that in Meretz, too, there is a
lot of ferment, because most of its leaders supported the war dragon
almost until the last moment, when they caught its tail and pierced it
with their little lance.

At the head of the critics are marching--surprise, surprise--the media.
The entire horde of interviewers and commentators, correspondents and
presstitutes, who (with very few exceptions) enthused about the war,
who deceived, misled, falsified, ignored, duped and lied for the
fatherland, who stifled all criticism and branded as traitors all who
opposed the war--they are now running ahead of the lynch mob. How
predictable, how ugly. Suddenly they remember what we have been saying
right from the beginning of the war.

This phase is symbolized by Dan Halutz, the Chief-of-Staff. Only
yesterday he was the hero of the masses, it was forbidden to utter a
word against him. Now he is being described as a war profiteer. A
moment before sending his soldiers into battle, he found the time to
sell his shares, in expectation of a decline of the stock market. (Let
us hope that a moment before the end he found the time to buy them back
again.)

Victory, as is well known, has many fathers, and failure in war is an
orphan.

* * *
FROM THE deluge of accusations and gripes, one slogan stands out , a
slogan that must send a cold shiver down the spine of anyone with a
good memory: "the politicians did not let the army win."

Exactly as I wrote two weeks ago, we see before our very eyes the
resurrection of the old cry "they stabbed the army in the back!"

This is how it goes: At long last, two days before the end, the land
offensive started to roll. Thanks to our heroic soldiers, the men of
the reserves, it was a dazzling success. And then, when we were on the
verge of a great victory, the cease-fire came into effect.

There is not a single word of truth in this. This operation, which was
planned and which the army spent years training for, was not carried
out earlier, because it was clear that it would not bring any
meaningful gains but would be costly in lives. The army would, indeed,
have occupied wide areas, but without being able to dislodge the
Hizbullah fighters from them.

The town of Bint Jbeil, for example, right next to the border, was
taken by the army three times, and the Hizbullah fighters remained
there to the end. If we had occupied 20 towns and villages like this
one, the soldiers and the tanks would have been exposed in twenty
places to the mortal attacks of the guerillas with their highly
effective anti-tank weapons.

If so, why was it decided, at the last moment, to carry out this
operation after all--well after the UN had already called for an end to
hostilities? The horrific answer: it was a cynical--not to say
vile--exercise of the failed trio. Olmert, Peretz and Halutz wanted to
create "a picture of victory", as was openly stated in the media. On
this altar the lives of 33 soldiers (including a young woman) were
sacrificed.

The aim was to photograph the victorious soldiers on the bank of the
Litani. The operation could only last 48 hours, when the cease-fire
would come into force. In spite of the fact that the army used
helicopters to land the troops, the aim was not attained. At no point
did the army reach the Litani.

For comparison: in the first Lebanon war, that of Sharon in 1982, the
army crossed the Litani in the first few hours. (The Litani, by the
way, is not a real river anymore, but just a shallow creek. Most of its
waters are drawn off far from there, in the north. Its last stretch is
about 25 km distant from the border, near Metulla the distance is only
4 km.)

This time, when the cease-fire took effect, all the units taking part
had reached villages on the way to the river. There they became sitting
ducks, surrounded by Hizbullah fighters, without secure supply lines.
  From that moment on, the army had only one aim: to get them out of
there as quickly as possible, regardless of who might take their place.

If a commission of inquiry is set up--as it must be--and investigates
all the moves of this war, starting from the way the decision to start
it was made, it will also have to investigate the decision to start
this last operation. The death of 33 soldiers (including the son of the
writer David Grossman, who had supported the war) and the pain this
caused their families demand that!

* * *
BUT THESE facts are not yet clear to the general public. The
brain-washing by the military commentators and the ex-generals, who
dominated the media at the time, has turned the foolish--I would almost
say "criminal"--operation into a rousing victory parade. The decision
of the political leadership to stop it is now being seen by many as an
act of defeatist, spineless, corrupt and even treasonous politicians.

And that is exactly the new slogan of the fascist Right that is now
raising its ugly head.

After World War I, in similar circumstances, the legend of the "knife
in the back of the victorious army" grew up. Adolf Hitler used it to
carry him to power--and on to World War II.

Now, even before the last fallen soldier has been buried, the
incompetent generals are starting to talk shamelessly about "another
round", the next war that will surely come "in a month or in a year",
God willing. After all, we cannot end the matter like this, in failure.
Where is our pride?

* * *
THE ISRAELI public is now in a state of shock and disorientation.
Accusations--justified and unjustified--are flung around in all
directions, and it cannot be foreseen how things will develop.

Perhaps, in the end, it is logic that will win. Logic says: what has
thoroughly been demonstrated is that there is no military solution.
That is true in the North. That is also true in the South, where we are
confronting a whole people that has nothing to lose anymore. The
success of the Lebanese guerilla will encourage the Palestinian
guerilla.

For logic to win, we must be honest with ourselves: pinpoint the
failures, investigate their deeper causes, draw the proper conclusions.

Some people want to prevent that at any price. President Bush declares
vociferously that we have won the war. A glorious victory over the Evil
Ones. Like his own victory in Iraq.

When a football team is able to choose the referee, it is no surprise
if it is declared the winner.

Uri Avnery is an Israeli writer and peace activist with Gush Shalom. He
is one of the writers featured in The Other Israel: Voices of Dissent
and Refusal. He is also a contributor to CounterPunch's hot new book
The Politics of Anti-Semitism. He can be reached at:
[EMAIL PROTECTED]


_,.+*^*+.,__,.+*^*+.,__,.+*^*+.,__,.+*^*+.,__,.+*^*+.
Slán a Chara,
adrien rain burke
"Ceiltis" a compilation of Celtic music for every mood
on the occasion of An Claidheamh Soluis/The Celtic Arts Center's 20th
year.
All profits  benefit The Celtic Arts Center, a small non-profit,
501[c]3 corporation dedicated to promoting Celtic Arts & Language,
award-winning theater, fabulous concerts, and home of the
longest-running traditional music session in Southern California.
Hear it at  http://www.cdbaby.com/cd/ceiltis
For more about An Claidheamh Soluis:
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_,.+*^*+.,__,.+*^*+.,__,.+*^*+.,__,.+*^*+.,__,.+*^*+.
See my design portfolio:
http://www.angelfire.com/ca2/celticT/ARTINDY.html

_,.+*^*+.,__,.+*^*+.,__,.+*^*+.,__,.+*^*+.,__,.+*^*+.
Slán a Chara,
adrien rain burke
"Ceiltis" a compilation of Celtic music for every mood
on the occasion of An Claidheamh Soluis/The Celtic Arts Center's 20th
year.
All profits  benefit The Celtic Arts Center, a small non-profit,
501[c]3 corporation dedicated to promoting Celtic Arts & Language,
award-winning theater, fabulous concerts, and home of the
longest-running traditional music session in Southern California.
Hear it at  http://www.cdbaby.com/cd/ceiltis
For more about An Claidheamh Soluis:
http://www.celticartscenter.com
_,.+*^*+.,__,.+*^*+.,__,.+*^*+.,__,.+*^*+.,__,.+*^*+.
See my design portfolio:
http://www.angelfire.com/ca2/celticT/ARTINDY.html


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