Well, this will have to do until I get something with a perspective of
what it means for the largest country in Latin America, the Bolivarian
Alliance, the coincidence with Ecuador, possibly Nicaragua joining,
all in a time of a weakening hold of a century-long control by the U.S.,
depleted by the massive and losing drain of Iraq.  The sort of thing
the young journalist just killed in Oaxaca might write.  I'll pass that
one on, if I get it.  Meanwhile, a relatively balanced horse race report,
plus a pretty neat take off of our looming holiday.  Actually, a holiday
commemorated by the Chinese from time immemorial, my great
teacher James Wing Woo told me this morning.  One visits family
and friends who have passed on, as will he.  All Hallows Eve I think
goes back to pagan times.  I think it's about the coming darkness and
enclosure of winter.  Humanity reflects and remembers.  A nice thought.
Ed

http://www.nytimes.com/2006/10/30/world/americas/30brazil.html?_r=1&ref=world&oref=slogin

Brazil's President Roars Back to Win Vote
NY Times: Mon Oct 30, 2006

RIO DE JANEIRO, Oct. 29 - Overcoming a series of corruption and political
scandals that tarred his image and undermined his credibility, President
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva of Brazil won a landslide re-election victory in a
runoff vote on Sunday.


With 99 percent of the vote counted, Mr. da Silva, a former factory worker
and labor union leader running as the candidate of the left-wing Workers
Party, had 60.8 percent of the vote. The percentage of the vote going to his
opponent, Geraldo Alckmin of the center-left Brazilian Social Democratic
Party, dropped in comparison with the 41.6 percent he won in the first round
of balloting on Oct. 1, when Mr. da Silva fell just short of the majority he
needed to win outright.


"This is an extraordinary result, one that gives him a legitimacy that all
the accusations had perhaps broken," said Jairo Nicolau, a television
commentator and political science professor at the Candido Mendes
University here, referring to Mr. da Silva. "It's one thing to win a narrow
victory and something else altogether to register this level of support
after
all that has happened."

Wearing a T-shirt that proclaimed "The victory is Brazil's," Mr. da Silva
spoke to supporters at a hotel in São Paulo on Sunday night, saying that
"Brazil is living a magical moment" and expressing his gratitude to voters
for their faith in him. "The people knew how to distinguish between what was
true and what wasn't," he said, before adding that he had "learned a lot" in
power and promising to make a greater effort to combat corruption.

Mr. da Silva took office in January 2003, promising a new era of social
justice and clean government in this nation of 185 million people, the
world's
fourth-largest democracy. But his luster began to fade a year later, when an
aide was caught on film soliciting campaign donations from numbers-game
kingpins here.

Then, in May of last year, a much larger scandal erupted. Though it was
initially limited to corruption in government contracts, investigations by
congressional committees and the news media soon established the
existence of an illegal multimillion-dollar slush fund used to finance Mr.
da
Silva's 2002 campaign, and to pay off legislators from small political
parties
to support his government.

The metastasizing scandals forced the resignation of Mr. da Silva's chief of
staff and his minister of finance, as well as the president, treasurer and
secretary general of the party Mr. da Silva founded in 1980 and has led ever
since. As a result, opinion polls taken late last year consistently
indicated that the president would be defeated if he ran for re-election.

To make matters worse, the police last month apprehended operatives of Mr.
da Silva's party as they were about to pay $792,000 in cash for a dossier
they apparently thought would damage Mr. Alckmin's chances. Though that
weakened Mr. da Silva in the first round of balloting, he benefited from an
improved economy and a welfare program that delivers a monthly stipend of
about $45 to nearly 12 million poor families.

"Lula's turnaround is based mostly on the economy," said Alberto Carlos
Almeida, a political scientist. "That, combined with the social programs,
gives the electorate the impression that he is really taking care of the
poor. There is the appearance of stability, and so people want continuity."

After being chastised by the first-round vote on Oct. 1, Mr. da Silva
adopted a new campaign slogan: "Don't trade the sure thing for the
dubious." That clearly resonated with the working-class voters who have
always provided his electoral base.

"Lula cares about the poor, and that's what matters to me, more than
all this talk about corruption, which we've always had," Jane Cunha, a
56-year-old maid, said at a polling place here Sunday morning. "I earn
the minimum wage, and thanks to him, my salary has gone up $20 a
month and the price of food has gone down enough that I'm eating a lot
more meat than in the past."

Mr. da Silva has governed on the right, at least as regards his conservative
economic policy. He has run up the kind of budget surpluses that delight
Wall Street and the International Monetary Fund, and bank profits are at an
all-time high.

But in recent weeks, he has "campaigned on the left," in the words of
Marco Aurelio Garcia, Mr. da Silva's national security adviser. A loan
repayment to the I.M.F., for example, was repackaged as Mr. da Silva
giving the organization its walking papers, and telling it to keep its nose
out of Brazil's affairs.

In addition, the president repeatedly accused Mr. Alckmin of planning to
dismantle the government's social welfare programs and to privatize
state-owned companies and banks.

"Alckmin was pushed to the right and placed on the defensive, and was
never able to get out of that posture," Mr. Nicolau said. "He could neither
defend himself nor offer his own program."

As is often the case, the candidates' personalities also played a part in
voters' calculations. Mr. da Silva never passed up an opportunity to refer
to his humble origins, similar to those of a majority of the electorate,
while Mr. Alckmin, a physician whose specialty is anesthesiology, proved
unable to shake his image as a bland and somewhat pedantic son of the
middle class.

Mr. Alckmin sought to capitalize on the corruption scandals, making
them the centerpiece of his campaign. But he was perceived as being
too aggressive on the subject, and the lack of progress in the official
investigation of the dossier scandal undermined his argument that Mr.
da Silva was ultimately responsible.

"Because of all the corruption denunciations, I voted for Alckmin in the
first round, based on emotion," said Valmir Moura, a 38-year-old office
clerk here. "But this time I stopped to reason things through, and I
realized his whole campaign is based on nothing but accusations and
that he hasn't presented a program for governing. So I went back to Lula."

***

ZNet Commentary
Godzilla vs. The Condoleezzard (Halloween in the United States of
Anxiety) October 29, 2006
By Mickey Z

Halloween is an odd holiday. The ostensible concept, as it has evolved
to become, is to shock, startle, frighten, petrify, horrify, and/or
terrify...all while consuming enough high fructose corn syrup to keep
the American Dental Association content for another century or two.

Every year, as October 31 nears, loyal Americans eagerly squander a
small fortune to adorn their humble abodes with Made-in-China images of
tombstones, skulls, ghouls, goblins, monsters, zombies, and even the
occasional bloody severed limb or two. While none of these cardboard
depictions scare me as much as, say, the upcoming fifth installment of
Stallone's "Rocky" series, I do believe there are plenty of real-life
creatures that might warrant their own Halloween mask this year...and I'm
not just talking about celluloid slashers.

Ghosts, to me, are not a bigger or more urgent concern than irreparable
environmental damage, and I certainly lose less sleep over the dead rising
from their graves to eat me than I do a planet populated with oppressed and
starving humans.

Forget Freddie of Elm St., I give you Henry the Horrible (Kissinger, that
is): "Depopulation should be the highest priority of foreign policy towards
the Third World, because the U.S. economy will require large and increasing
amounts of minerals from abroad, especially from less developed countries."

Never mind Jason and his hockey mask when Ann Coulter is playing right wing:
"We should invade their countries, kill their leaders and convert them to
Christianity."

No need to worry about a fire-breathing reptile like Godzilla when a
Condoleezard is loose in DC: "There is nothing wrong with doing something
that benefits all humanity, but that is, in a sense, a second-order effect."

And, let's face it, a nocturnal bloodsucker named Dracula is nothing
compared to the Big Bad Bushes of Yale roaming the earth both day and night:
Bush the Elder: "I will never apologize for the United States of America. I
don't care what the facts are." Bush the Lesser: "Our enemies are innovative
and resourceful, and so are we. They never stop thinking about new ways to
harm our country and our people, and neither do we."

Of course, if none of those political poltergeist sends a chill down your
ever-loving spine, you can chew on this factoid as you devour those
Twizzlers, Bon Bons, and Almond Joys: For the first time in history, there
are as many underweight people in the world as there are overweight people:
1.1 billion of each. (Running parallel to that troubling trend comes the
reality that 100 million Americans-one-third the population-are either
underinsured or uninsured when it comes to health care.) In other
words...step away from the candy corn.

If you're still not quaking in your boots or pulling the covers over your
head, let's take this hunt for horror global. Think about this as all those
kids-in overpriced Barney costumes-come knocking on your door, expecting
candy and more: Across the globe, an estimated 29,158 children under the age
of 5 die from mostly preventable causes every single day. Cue the ominous
music: 29,158 dead. Under the age of 5. Every single day. From mostly
preventable causes.

The next time you're at a sporting event or a concert, take a good, slow
look around you and get a feel for what 29,158 looks like. It's a whole lot
more terrifying than the whir of a chainsaw echoing down a desolate Texas
highway.

Mickey Z. can be found on the Web at http://www.mickeyz.net.









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