----- Original Message ----- 
From: Jeffrey Blankfort

http://www.counterpunch.org/sasan03172007.html

"[The] presidential candidates from both parties are singing the same tune.
The question is which wing of the Israeli lobby groups will be put in charge
of formulating the Middle East policy when one of these candidates is
elected. Will it be Martin Indyk and Dennis Ross type or Wolfowitz and Perle
kind?"

This is the most important article that I have read dealing with the US
policy towards Iran and the ability of the pro-Israel lobbyists to craft
that policy. What the professor points out in the above citation is an
ongoing phenomenon in US politics. Under Clinton, the Indyk and Ross types
were in charge, under Dubya, the Wolfowitz and Perle kind. -JB

An Interview with Sasan Fayazmanesh

The US, Israel and Iran
By MEHRAN GHASSEMI

Sasan Fayazmanesh is chair of the Department of Economics at California
State University, Fresno.

Q. How do you evaluate the relationship between the US and Israel at this
time? What is this relation based on?

A: Allow me to say beforehand that I am currently writing a book-tentatively
entitled The United States and Iran: Sanctions, Wars and the Policy of Dual
Containment- which chronicles the US, Israel and Iran relation since 1979.
The book-which is to be completed by the end of summer-examines, in a
comprehensive manner, the evolution of the US policy of "dual containment"
of Iran and Iraq, particularly as it pertains to Iran. I believe, without
such a comprehensive analysis, it is difficult to give meaningful and
satisfactory answers to many questions that I am often asked about the
current entanglement between Iran on the one side and the US and Israel on
the other. With this caveat, I would answer your question by saying that
under no previous administration has the relation between US and Israel been
as close as under the current, Bush Administration. Why this is the case and
what the relation is based on requires the kind of comprehensive analysis
that I was referring to above. But let me just say that, as it is well
known, the Middle East Policy of the current administration has been
determined by the "neoconservatives," individuals who virtually see no
distinction between the "interest" of the US and Israel and might even put
the "interest" of the latter above the former. Now, I put "neoconservative"
in quotation marks because, for reasons that I will not go into here, it is
an ambiguous and overrated expression. Also, I put the term interest in
quotation marks, since one has to distinguish between perceived and actual
interests on the one hand and the interest of ordinary citizens and those of
the elite on the other. The individuals who make the US foreign policy,
particularly the "neoconservatives," represent a privileged group of people
with a unique and peculiar view of the world. To these "neoconservatives"
waging wars against Palestine, Iraq, Lebanon, and possibly Iran and Syria,
might appear to be in the "interest" of the US, even though in actuality
such policies might be very harmful to the interest of ordinary citizens of
the US, particularly in the long-run.

The current relation between the US and Israel, of course, goes beyond the
issue of the strength of the "neoconservatives" in the White House. The US
Congress, too, has traditionally been, and remains to this day, a close ally
of Israel. However, given that the US war against Iraq is going very
badly-and the fact the US was egged on to start this war by some Israeli
politicians and their "neoconservative" allies in the US-it appears that a
few US Congressmen have become lately somewhat uneasy about their blind,
unequivocal support for Israel.

Q. How do you evaluate the integration of US and Israeli policy?

A: As it is clear from my answer above, the integration of the US and
Israeli policy is nothing new, it is many decades old. But, as I also
indicated above, under the current administration this integration has
reached a level not seen before. Even at the beginning of the Bush
Administration the integration was not as strong as it became later. We all
remember that immediately after the September 11 (2001) events the Bush
Administration spoke of the creation of a Palestinian State and started a
courtship dance with Iran. But the talk and dance ended as soon as the
Israeli forces inside and outside the US intervened. Binyamin Netanyahu's
September 21, 2001, testimony before the US congress-when he stated that "if
the US includes terrorism-sponsoring regimes like Syria, Iran, or the
Palestinian Authority in a coalition against worldwide terrorism, then the
alliance 'will be defeated from the beginning'"- set the stage for a radical
reversal of the US newly conceived policy. Similarly, Ariel Sharon's October
6, 2001, warning that the US should not "repeat the terrible mistake of
1938" stifled any attempt to moderate the US policy. Finally, the January 6,
2002, Karine-A affair-when Israel allegedly captured a ship carrying Iranian
arms to the Palestinian Authority group-put a complete stop to any
rapprochement between the US and Iran or attempt to establish a Palestinian
State. The result was the January 29, 2002, State of the Union Address by
President Bush, when the "neoconservative" concept of "axis of evil," coined
apparently by David Frum, was put forward. From then on the
"neoconservatives" seemed to have complete control of the US Middle East
policy and integrated this policy fully with that of Israel.

Q. How do you see the role and the position of the Israeli lobby in the US?
Are there similar lobbies in Israel that advocate for US interest?

A. This is a very broad and complicated question that requires at least a
book to answer. There are, of course, a number of articles and books written
on the subject of various Israeli lobby groups in the US, particularly the
American Israel Public Affairs Committee (AIPAC). The most recent essay, and
probably the most comprehensive and academic one, is that of John Mersheimer
and Stephen Walt, which can be found online. But even this analysis is not
detailed enough and, unfortunately, details that are provided appear only in
the footnotes. My own book will deal with the subject matter in a greater
detail, but only in so far as Iran is concerned. In other words, I
investigate the role that various Israeli lobby groups and individuals have
played, particularly since the early 1990s, in formulating the US foreign
policy towards Iran. The role, I would argue, is quite extensive. Indeed, I
argue, that we have to trace this role to Martin Indyk, the communication
advisor to Israeli Prime Minister Yitzhak Shamir, a staffer at AIPAC, the
head of the Washington Institute for Near East Policy (which is an offshoot
of AIPAC), the Assistant Secretary for Near Eastern Affairs at the US
Department of State under the Clinton Administration and the former US
ambassador to Israel. In his 1993 inaugural address as the national security
advisor to Clinton, Indyk stated:

The Clinton administration's policy of "dual containment" of Iraq and Iran
derives in the first instance from an assessment that the current Iraqi and
Iranian regimes are both hostile to American interests in the region.
Accordingly, we do not accept the argument that we should continue the old
balance of power game, building up one to balance the other. . . The
coalition that fought Saddam remains together, as long as we are able to
maintain our military presence in the region, as long as we succeed in
restricting the military ambitions of both Iraq and Iran, and as long as we
can rely on our regional allies Egypt, Israel, Saudi Arabia and the GCC, and
Turkey-to preserve a balance of power in our favor in the wider Middle East
region, we will have the means to counter both the Iraqi and Iranian
regimes. We will not need to depend on one to counter the other.

As I argue in my book, Indyk's claim that the policy of dual containment of
Iran and Iraq was something new was exaggerated and the roots of the policy
go back to the Carter Administration and particularly Zbigniew Brzezinski.
Setting aside this issue, however, I argue that with the help of Martin
Indyk, a few other individuals in the Clinton White House and a few powerful
people in the US Congress, various Israeli lobby groups, especially AIPAC,
became the underwriters of the sanction policy of the US against Iran. This
is particularly true of the 1996 Iran-Libya Sanctions Act. But Indyk, I
argue, represented the moderate wing of the Israeli lobby groups in general
and the Washington Institute in particular. He was close to the Israeli
Labor party.

When the Bush Administration came to power, more radical members of the
Washington Institute, such as Paul Wolfowitz and Richard Perle, took over
the formulation and implementation of the White House Middle East policy.
These "neoconservatives" were closely linked to the Likud party members,
particularly Binyamin Netanyahu. As such, their idea of "containment" of
Iran and Iraq went beyond the roundabout way of passing sanctions to ruin
the economy of these countries, bringing about discontent, causing revolt
and then overthrowing their governments; they advocated a more direct way
for "regime change": using the military might of the US to attack these
countries. Even though some of these individuals have left office, there are
still many such characters in the current administration. One such person is
Elliott Abrams, the current deputy national security adviser for global
democracy strategy. He is, of course, a well-known figure who was convicted,
and subsequently pardoned, on charges related to the Iran-Contra scandal.
Another one is Stephen Hadley, the current national security adviser to
President Bush. Under former President George H.W. Bush, Hadley served as an
assistant to Wolfowitz, who was then Undersecretary of Defense. Yet, another
individual is Stuart Levey, the present Treasury Department's Under
Secretary for Terrorism and Financial Intelligence. Levey has been working
zealously to stop foreign banks from dealing with some Iranian banks. In
2005 Stuart Levey gave an address at AIPAC that began with: "It is a real
pleasure to be speaking with you today. I have been an admirer of the great
work this organization does since my days on the one-year program at Hebrew
University in 1983 and 1984. I want to commend you for the important work
that you are doing to promote strong ties between Israel and the United
States and to advocate for a lasting peace in the Middle East." Then he goes
on to talk about what his office does and how "[w]e levy economic sanctions
to pressure obstructionist regimes, and we have the ability to freeze the
assets of wrongdoers."

The Israeli lobby groups' influence is, of course, not confined to its
members and associates in the White House. The lobby has a great influence
in the US Congress as well. Its own current website verifies this influence
by stating:
"For more than half a century, the American Israel Public Affairs Committee
has worked to help make Israel more secure by ensuring that American support
remains strong. From a small public affairs boutique in the 1950s, AIPAC has
grown into a 100,000-member national grassroots movement described by The
New York Times as "the most important organization affecting America's
relationship with Israel."

Political advocacy is one of the most effective ways in which AIPAC works to
accomplish its mission. Each year, AIPAC is involved in more than 100
legislative and policy initiatives aimed at broadening and deepening the
U.S.-Israel bond.

Among the "more than 100 legislative and policy initiatives" that each year
AIPAC helps to underwrite are the numerous sanctions bills against Iran that
I alluded to above. Obviously, given the short space here, I can't elaborate
on this and you have to wait until I finish my book.
As far as the second part of your question is concerned, I don't have an
answer. That is, whether there are similar lobby groups in Israel that
advocate for US interest is not something that I have followed.

Q. You have used the term USrael. What interpretation did you have in mind?
What are the implications of this concept for international relation?

A. It seems that some individuals have attributed coining the term "USrael"
to me. Unfortunately, I am not the originator of the term. It existed before
it appeared in some of my essays. I used it in the sense that under the Bush
Administration the US and Israel's foreign policy towards the Middle East
converged and became virtually indistinguishable. As I explained earlier,
this started to happen a few weeks after the events of the September 11,
2001, when the "neoconservatives" aligned the US policy in the Middle East
with that of Likud. Given this alignment, there is no significant policy
difference between the US and Israel over Palestine, Iraq, Iran, Syria or
Lebanon. This was not the case under the previous administrations. For
example, during the Clinton Administration the Likud and their
"neoconservative" counterparts in the US were trying to toughen the US stand
towards Iran. But near the end of the Clinton era US Secretary of State
Madeleine Albright, under the pressure from the US corporate lobby, tried to
modify the direction of the US belligerent policy towards Iran, much to the
dismay of the Israeli lobby groups. Her March 17, 2000, speech-in which she
nearly apologized for the CIA's 1953 coup in Iran and spoke of the
"regrettably shortsighted" US policy of supporting Saddam Hussein during the
Iraq-Iran war-was part of her attempt at rapprochement. We have not seen
such rapprochements since the "neoconservatives" took over the US Middle
East foreign policy and made it almost identical to that of Israel.

The nearly complete alignment of the US and Israel foreign policy has had a
profound implication for the Middle East. For example, the US used to
pretend to be an "honest broker" between the Israelis and the Palestinians.
But now that veneer has mostly disappeared and the US does not even pretend
to be a neutral mediator. Since post September 11, Israel has had a free
hand in dealing with the Palestinians. It also has had a free hand in waging
the summer of 2006 war against the people of Lebanon. Indeed, as the world
watched, the US became the partner of Israel in that war. With regard to
Iran, as I have argued above, the implication is clear. Israel and its
various affiliates in the US are now the leading force in pushing the US in
the direction of confrontation with Iran.

Q. How do you evaluate political developments in the US and Israel? For
example, does the change in the balance of power in the US Congress or the
coming to power of a different faction in Israel have any impact on
strategic interest?

A. It is evident from what I stated earlier that historically both the
Democratic and Republican Parties have supported the policy of "containment"
of Iran since 1979. This support appears to continue in the future as well.
For example, on January 24, 2007, The Jerusalem Post reported from Herzliya
Conference in Israel that at "a time when most US Democrats are calling for
less military involvement abroad Edwards of South Carolina told conference
participants his country must do everything it can to stop Iran from
acquiring nuclear weapons." According to this report, Edwards, a leading
Democratic presidential candidate stated: "All the options are on the table
to ensure that Iran will never get a nuclear weapon." Similarly, the
Associate Press of February 2, 2007, reported that Hilary Clinton, another
leading Democratic presidential candidate, addressed an AIPAC event a day
earlier and stated: "I have advocated engagement with our enemies and
Israel's enemies." The prime "enemy" of both countries was, of course, Iran.
According to the same report, Hilary Clinton, then stated that the "U.S.
policy must be clear and unequivocal: We cannot, we should not, we must not
permit Iran to build or acquire nuclear weapons. . . In dealing with this
threat . . . no option can be taken off the table." On the same day, the
Associated Press reported that the Republican presidential candidate Mitt
Romney lashed out at Hilary Clinton and accused her of "timidity" regarding
the security threat posed by Iran. Romney, according to the report, told the
conservative Republicans that at "this point, we don't need a listening tour
about Iran.
. . Someone who wants to engage Iran displays a troubling timidity toward a
terrible threat of a nuclear Iran." The same Mitt Romney also appeared at
the Herzliya Conference, according to The Jerusalem Post, and stated that
"Iran must be stopped, Iran can be stopped, and Iran will be stopped. . .
The heart of the jihadist threat is Iran. . . I believe that Iran's leaders
and ambitions represent the greatest threat to the world since the fall of
the Soviet Union and before that Nazi Germany." In a more recent interview
with ABC News on February 16, 2007, Mitt Romney called the whole nation of
Iran "genocidal" and "suicidal," adding that "you say to yourself this is a
setting where, of course, you have to consider the possibility of military
action, but we're not there." The rest of the Republican presidential
candidates are not much different. The same Jerusalem Post that I referred
to above also stated that another "Republican hopeful Sen. John McCain said
the US should 'intensify' its military support for Israel to ensure that the
country maintained it strategic edge over those who were bent on destroying
it such as Iran."

As we can see from the above, presidential candidates from both parties are
singing the same tune. The question is which wing of the Israeli lobby
groups will be put in charge of formulating the Middle East policy when one
of these candidates is elected. Will it be Martin Indyk and Dennis Ross type
or Wolfowitz and Perle kind?

Given that the US policy towards Iran is devised by different wings of the
Israeli lobby groups, and given the affiliations of these groups with
Israeli parties, it is natural to expect the same kind of mind set among the
Israeli leaders. These leaders, too, are unified in their policy of
"containment" of Iran. Whether it is Likud, Labor or Kadima party, the
essence of the policy will remain the same. The only difference appears to
be how each party or individual intends to "contain" Iran. Some Israeli
politicians are more aggressive and fanatical in their "containment" policy
than others. For example, in their campaign to demonize Iran, both Binyamin
Netanyahu, the "hawkish" former Prime Minister, and Shimon Peres, the
"dovish" former prime minister, have repeatedly compared today's Iran to
Nazi Germany. But, according to the Agence France Presse of December 5,
2005, Benjamin Netanyahu promised "a pre-emptive air strike against Iran's
nuclear installations if he were to be re-elected." Shimon Peres might think
twice about such a strike.

Q. How does the US establish a balance between its relation with Arab allies
and Israel?

A. Historically, successive US administrations have maintained a symbiotic
relation with both their Arabs client states and Israel. At times US's
alliance with the Arabs states has caused some annoyance on the part of
Israel and its lobby groups. For example, in the early years of the
Iran-Iraq war the US decided to sell Airborne Warning and Control System
(AWACS) to Saudi Arabia to assist Saddam Hussein with intelligence. This
decision did not sit well with some Israeli politicians and their allies in
the US who were interested in "containing" Iraq first. Similar frictions and
fissures have appeared at other times. The interesting issue is what has
happened in recent times. Some "neoconservatives" in the Bush White House,
such as David Wurmser-currently, Middle East adviser to Vice President Dick
Cheney-who saw the policy of "dual containment" as too roundabout and time
consuming, advocated adopting a new policy: "Dual Rollback of Iran and
Iraq." According to this policy, the US was supposed to attack Iraq, bring
the Shiite majority to power, use this power-which supposedly would be
friendly to the US and Israel-as a counterweight to Shiite Iran, and then do
a "regime change" in Iran. The policy, however, has so far not worked as
planned. That is, the Iraqi Shiites have not challenged Iran or shown a
great affection and admiration for the US and Israel. Given this reality, we
now hear something new in the US-Israeli circle: a dangerous "Shiite
crescent," headed by Iran, is appearing in the Middle East, stretching from
Lebanon to Iraq and beyond. This crescent, we are told, must be defeated by
an alliance of the US, Israel and Sunni Arab states. The implication of this
policy is that Israel and its neoconservative allies in the US might no
longer oppose a close relation between US and its traditional Arab client
states, such as Saudi Arabia. The new policy is, of course, based on the old
dictum of "the enemy of my enemy is my friend." The US and Israel have
played this game many times before in their pursuit of colonial domination,
sometimes with costly blowbacks. The sad fact is that some Arab states
appear to be going along with this old colonial trick and are joining the
alliance against the "Shiite crescent."

Q. What is the role of Israel in pressuring Iran regarding the nuclear
issue?

A. The role is extensive, particularly if you also include Israel's lobby
groups and associates in the US. But showing how extensive it is requires
writing a detailed account, which obviously I can't provide here. In my book
I trace one of the first official claims about Iran making an atomic weapon
to the "neoconservative" Kenneth L. Adelman. According to the July 1984
Department of State Bulletin, on May 2, 1984, Adelman-who was at the time
the US Director of the Arms Control and Disarmament Agency-gave an address
before the "Mid-America Committee" in Chicago in which he spoke of some
"frightening thoughts," such as Iran, Libya, or Palestine Liberation
Organization acquiring a nuclear bomb. Adelman then stated that "today, talk
about the spread of nuclear weapons to Iran is in the news. A British
defense journal recently alleged that Ayatollah Khomeini's Iran is only 2
years away from acquiring nuclear weapons." Twenty three years later, we are
still told by the "neoconservatives" and their counterparts in Israel that
Iran is 2, 5 or 10 years away from the nuclear bomb. In my book I will
provide details of twenty three years of such claims by the Israelis and
their associates in the US. Let me just mention one interesting claim.
Starting in 1992 Israelis and some "Iranian dissidents," who have been
working closely with the Israeli intelligence, began to claim that Iran
actually possesses three or four nuclear warheads. According to this claim,
Iran had acquired these warheads from Kazakhstan, after the break up of the
Soviet Union.

As late as 1998 the news still percolated within the Israeli, "Iranian
dissidents" and some American circles. For example, on April 9, 1998, The
Jerusalem Post stated: "Iran received several nuclear warheads from a former
Soviet republic in the early 1990s and Russian experts maintained them,
according to Iranian government documents relayed to Israel and obtained by
The Jerusalem Post." "The documents," the Israeli newspaper went on to say,
"deemed authentic by US congressional experts and still being studied in
Israel, contain correspondence between Iranian government officials and
leaders of the Revolutionary Guards that discusses Iran's successful efforts
to obtain nuclear warheads from former Soviet republics." The paper then
went on to say: "The documents appear to bolster reports from 1992 that Iran
received enriched uranium and up to four nuclear warheads from Kazakhstan,
with help from the Russian underworld." The following day The Jerusalem Post
ran another piece on the same story. This time it claimed that "Iran paid
$25 million for what appears to have been two tactical atomic weapons
smuggled out of the former Soviet Union in a highly classified operation
aided by technicians from Argentina, according to Iranian government
documents marked top secret and obtained by The Jerusalem Post." All this,
of course, was pure, sheer fabrication by Israel, their US allies and their
"Iranian dissidents" partners. The sensational story, however, soon
disappeared as the CIA and US government admitted that there was no truth to
it. Afterward, the Israelis and their allies went back to estimating how
soon Iran will have the atomic bomb; and since the bomb never materialized,
they kept pushing the estimate back. Of course, as I will show in my book,
the alleged Iranian bomb, similar to the proverbial "weapons of mass
destruction" in Iraq, is an excuse. The real intention is to complete the
"dual containment" by "containing" or destroying the one country that is
still standing.

Q. The US is facing the anger of the Middle Eastern people as the result of
its support for Israel. Is it possible to continue this? Or will the US
reach a point when it will be ready to change the equation.

A: As long as the anger of the people of Middle East does not translate into
overthrowing the corrupt, tyrannical and reactionary regimes in the Middle
East who have symbiotic relation with the US and Israel, I don't see much
fundamental change in the US foreign policy. So far, the anger has resulted
mostly in sporadic, isolated and individual acts of violence. Such acts have
removed the veneer of US being an "honest broker" between Israel and her
opponents. Yet, at the same time, these actions have hardened the position
of the US, brought her even closer to Israel and resulted in more acts of
violence on the part of the US and Israel.

Q. How do you access the prospect of development in the Middle East in the
next year?
A. It is very difficult and dangerous to predict the future, especially if
one is familiar with the past and its complexities. This is particularly
true if one is dealing with individuals who appear to be irrational or
believe in a Hobbesian world. Will there be another election in Israel to
bring back Binyamin Netanyahu to office? Will he fulfill his promise of "a
pre-emptive air strike against Iran's nuclear installations if he were to be
re-elected"? Will "neoconservatives" push for the use of a "shock and awe"
air strike against Iran and carpet bomb Iranian nuclear and military sites,
however irrational that action might appear to be to the rest of the world?
Or will Iran capitulate, give up its right under Article IV of Nuclear
Non-Proliferation Treaty and accept the US-Israeli demand-which is now
backed by a UN sanction-to stop all enrichments activities? If Iran does
accept this demand, what other demands will be put forward by the US and
Israel, given that the nuclear issue, as I argued, is merely an excuse for
"containment" of Iran? If Iran does not accept the demand, and if rational
people around the world can stop the US and Israel from military
adventurism, will there be more severe sanctions drafted against Iran by the
UN? Will Russia and China be bribed, cajoled, arm twisted again to go along
with these sanctions? Will these sanctions bring about what the US and
Israel have been after for years, namely, to ruin the Iranian economy, bring
about unrest, and make Iran ripe for a US invasion, as was the case in Iraq?
These are difficult questions to answer and make predicting events in the
future nearly impossible. The ultimate question, however, is this: is Iran
ready to deal with all and every contingency? Does Iran know how this game
is played and does it have a well-thought-of, well-articulated and unified
game plan of its own? Is Iran fully aware that the US and Israel have
patiently and meticulously worked for decades to push Iran into the current
corner, where UN sanction has been finally imposed on it? Is Iran ready for
the further tightening of the UN sanction noose? Could the economy of Iran,
which is already under severe constraints, withstand further pressure? Are
Iranians willing to tolerate additional economic hardship, such as the
reduction in foreign investment, falling employment and rising inflation?
Having carefully studies the history of the US-Israel-Iran entanglement, and
having heard many voices from Iran, empty rhetoric and wishful thinking, I
am not sure if the answers to the above questions are all affirmative.

Q. In your view is the confrontation of the US with Iran directed toward the
strategic position of Iran and its potential impact in the region or is this
effort directed to weaken the political and spiritual influence of Iran in
the region?

A. It seems like most empires in the past the US does not tolerate
disobedience and will not accept any challengers in the world, whether it is
Iran, Syria, North Korea, Sudan, Somalia, Cuba or Venezuela it does not make
much difference. Thus, it is not necessarily the strategic position of Iran
or its political and spiritual influence in the region that has led to the
confrontation between the two countries. The confrontation, as it is well
known, goes back to 1979, when the US "lost" Iran. Ever since the US has
been trying to bring back the old order and make Iran another obedient,
client state. To use an American expression, until Iran says "uncle" to the
US and Israel it is considered to be an "out law," a "rogue nation" that
must be punished. Of course, the strategic position of Iran and its
political alignment with groups such as Hamas and Hezbolah puts her on the
top of the US's agenda.

Q. Will Iran be able to have the capacity to form an alliance against Israel
in the region? Or will Iran be forced to collaborate with Syria, Hezbollah
and Hamas to form an anti-Israel alliance as opposed to moderate Arab
countries?

A. As mentioned earlier, having failed to achieve the desired result in
Iraq, the US and Israel are now trying to create the myth of the Shiite
crescent headed by Iran. As I also indicated, the traditional Arab client
states of the US appear to be accepting this new myth and are going along
with the idea of joining US and Israel in the "containment" of Iran. Whether
Iran can change this trend appears to be doubtful given the nature of these
Arab regimes and their long, historical, and symbiotic relation with the US.
That leaves Iran with a very limited choice of allies, such as Syria,
Hezbollah and Hamas. But, obviously, this alliance doe not do much for Iran
in terms of security. Actually, a major reason for the US-Israel policy of
"containment," and the resulting insecurity that Iran faces, is Iran's
support for groups such as Hamas and Hezbollah. As I have argued elsewhere
and will argue in my book, when the policy of "dual containment" was
announced in the early 1990s, Iran was said to commit three "sins:" 1)
sponsoring terrorism worldwide-which was meant support for Hamas, Hezbollah
and Islamic Jihad-2) opposing Middle East peace efforts-which was meant the
Oslo "peace process"-and 3) developing weapons of mass destruction-which, at
the time, was left ambiguously defined. The sin of opposing the Olso "peace
process" was soon dropped out of the equation, since Israel opposed it as
well. But the other two sins remained; and, to paraphrase Paul Wolfowitz's
explanation for invading Iraq, for bureaucratic reasons the US and Israel
settled on the issue of weapons of mass destruction as the core reason for
"containing" Iran. In actuality, the main reason for Israel's belligerent
policy towards Iran has been the latter's support for Hamas and Hezbollah.
As long as that support remains, the attempt to "contain" Iran and the
resulting insecurity will remain.

Q. Will Israel serve as pressure lever against Iran? Or will she, by
exaggerating the nuclear threat of Tehran, try to create Western shield for
itself?

A. Israel, as I have alluded to above and will show in my book, has been the
prime force behind "containing" Iran since the end of the US invasion of
Iraq in 1991 and the subsequent UN sanctions imposed on the country. Also,
given what I said earlier, it is clear that Israel does not need a Western
shield and is not really worried about Iran building a nuclear weapon. It is
well known-and lately Olmert admitted it indirectly- that Israel has many
nuclear warheads. With those warheads, and her advanced Western technology,
Israel cannot possibly feel threatened by Iran supposedly developing a
primitive nuclear bomb. As President Jacques Chirac stated in his January
31, 2007, interview with The New York Times: "Where would Iran drop this
bomb? On Israel? . . It would not have gone off 200 meters into the
atmosphere before Tehran would be razed to the ground." As I have argued
above, the issue of Iran allegedly developing a nuclear weapon is an excuse
by the US and Israel to "contain" Iran in the same manner that they
"contained" Iraq. The "containment" of Iraq, of course, did not go exactly
as planned, but Iraq will be economically and militarily out of action for
decades to come. For some of the architects of the US invasion of Iraq, this
is a good enough "containment."

Mehran Ghassemi is an Iranian journalist. This interview is available in
Farsi at: http://www.roozna.com/Images/Pdf/1_23_12_1385.Pdf



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