----- Original Message ----- 
From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
Sent: Thursday, January 10, 2008 7:03 AM
Subject: The Surprising Democratic Primary Results in NH, by me


The Surprising Democratic Primary Results in New Hampshire

compiled by Pokey Anderson
January 9, 2008
OpEd News
http://www.opednews.com/articles/genera_pokey_an_080109_the_surprising_democ.htm


Bloomberg:
Justin Wolfers, a professor of business and public policy at the Wharton School 
of Business at the University of Pennsylvania: 

"There was not a single pundit, poll or alternative prognosticator that got 
last night right.'' 

["Clinton's Win Enriches Bettors Facing 100-to-1 Odds," by Michael Tsang and 
Eric Martin, January 9, 2008, Bloomberg, 
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601109&sid=aDwt8YHCf1kY&refer=home ]


Reuters:

ABC's polling director Gary Langer:

"It is simply unprecedented for so many polls to have been so wrong. We need to 
know why," he said.

["Pollsters flummoxed by New Hampshire primary," Wed Jan 9, 2008 3:46pm EST, by 
Joanne Kenen, Reuters, 
http://www.reuters.com/article/politicsNews/idUSN0960368620080109 ]


Wall St. Journal:

"[I]t is no exaggeration to term the result truly historic. Not that there 
haven't been more dramatic upsets or come-from-behind wins that carried more 
significance -- this was just an early primary, albeit a pivotal one. But in 
terms of unpredictability, or at least the failure of everyone to predict it, 
it may have no modern match."

["Clinton's Historic Surprise; Political prediction markets, polls and pundits 
may never have got it so wrong," by Justin Wolfers, January 9, 2008, Wall 
Street Journal, 
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB119985909065777677.html?mod=googlenews_wsj ]


New Hampshire Public Radio:

With about 40% of the NH precincts in, Clinton was leading Obama by about 39% 
to 37%. New Hampshire Public Radio commentator asks guest commentators about 
this. 

Ray Buckley, state chair of the New Hampshire Democratic Party, interviewed on 
NH Public Radio about 9:42 pm EST:

"I don't think there is anybody here in the state of New Hampshire that 
predicted this. It is quite surprising.... people were projecting upwards of a 
15% victory [for Obama]. Certainly, it's made for a much more interesting 
evening than anyone thought last night." 

Wayne Lesperance, associate professor of political science at New England 
College, interviewed at about 9:48 pm EST:

"It's remarkable. I don't know that anybody predicted this. ... At Clinton 
events, the crowds haven't been as large as Obama. I don't have an explanation, 
really, except that a lot of folks are surprised. Women turned out larger in NH 
than Iowa. Young people -- a lot of people thought they would go for Obama in a 
much bigger way." 

[Live broadcast, evening of January 8, 2008, New Hampshire Public Radio.  NHPR 
comments are notes by Pokey Anderson, typed as heard, but may not be word for 
word.]


~~~~~~~

Pokey Anderson co-hosts The Monitor (http://themonitor.wordpress.com), a 
wide-ranging news and analysis program at KPFT Radio in Houston.  Her email is 
Pokey at kpft.org

***

----- Original Message ----- 
From: "Yoshie Furuhashi" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>


"Iran: Strait of Hormuz Incident from the Point of View of Iran":
<http://www.politube.org/show/341>

<http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/main.jhtml;;?xml=/news/2008/01/10/wiran110.xml>
Iranian video 'shows no threat to US navy'

By Richard Holt
Last Updated: 2:15pm GMT 10/01/2008

Iran has released a video which is claimed to show that its boats did
not threaten US navy vessels in the Strait of Hormuz, as has been
claimed by the Americans.

The confrontation at the weekend in the strategically vital Gulf
waterway was described by President George W Bush as a "provocative
act".

A Pentagon spokesman had said that five Iranian Revolutionary Guard
Navy boats harassed and provoked three US ships, giving a radio
warning saying: "I am coming at you. You will explode in a couple of
minutes."

The Americans said the Iranian boats came within 200 yards of the US
vessels, which were sailing in international waters.

The Pentagon released its own video which it claimed backed up their claims.

But the new video, broadcast by Iran's Press TV satellite station,
gives a completely different version of the incident.

Press TV said the video, released by Iran's Revolutionary Guards a day
after the force dismissed the Pentagon video as fake, included a
recording of what it said was the exchange between the two sides.

Guards Brigadier General Ali Fadavi said Iran's boats had only
approached the US ships to examine the registration numbers as they
had been unreadable, Press TV said.

The video showed an Iranian naval officer on a small boat speaking via
radio to a ship which can not be clearly identified. A total of three
ships can be seen on the video.

The Iranian officer says: "Coalition warship 73 this Iranian navy patrol boat"

"This is coalition warship 73. I read you loud and clear," the person
replied in what appears to be an American accent.

The Iranian officer then appears to ask for the ships to identify
themselves, although not all his words can be understood:

"Coalition warship 73 this Iranian navy patrol boat, request side
number ... operating in the area this time," the Iranian voice says.

Gen Fadavi, describing the Iranian action as normal inspections of
vessels, accused the United States of creating a "media fuss",
according to Iran's Fars news agency.

"The governing system of America, at the time of Bush's failed trip to
the region, is in need of such media fuss in order to reach its
specific political goals," he said.

In contrast, the Pentagon video included a voice from a US ship
informing one of the small craft that it was "straying into danger and
may be subject to defensive measures".

President Bush has warned Iran of "serious consequences" if it
attacked US ships in the Gulf and reiterated his country's strategic
position towards the Islamic Republic by stressing that "all options
are on the table".

The incident is the latest sign of tension between Washington and
Teheran. It coincides with Mr Bush's visit to the Middle East this
week.

--
Yoshie
<http://montages.blogspot.com/>

_______________________________________________
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***

      All Power to the People: The History and Legacy of the Black Panther Party

      Film Series at the REDCAT
      January 10-12, 2008 


      Tickets & Information: 213 237-2800
      Roy and Edna Disney/CalArts Theater
      631 West 2nd Street
      Los Angeles, CA 90012
      Northeast corner of the intersection with Hope St. Housed in the Walt 
Disney Concert Hall complex Separate street entrance on 2nd St.

      All Power to the People is co- curated by Sam Durant and REDCAT acting 
Gallery Director & Curator Clara Kim and is made possible with support from 
Martha T. Kim, Esq and the CalArts Schools of Art and Film/Video.

      Co-presented with The Museum of Contemporary Art, Los Angeles in 
conjunction with MOCA's exhibition
      BLACK PANTHER: 
      The Revolutionary Art of Emory Douglas 
      featuring posters from the Center for the Study of Political Graphics 
      at MOCA Pacific Design through February 24. (See notice below).



     
            Legacy of Torture: The War Against the Black Liberation Movement  
             
            Friday, January 11, 8:30pm 

            Dir. Andres Alegría, Claude Marks and the Freedom Archives, 2007

            In person: 
            Hank Jones, Ray Boudreaux, and Richard Brown of SF8; attorney John 
Philipsborn; and activist/actor Danny Glover. 





            Moderated by Sam Durant. Synopsis: Legacy of Torture chronicles a 
case that began in 1971 when thirteen alleged "Black militants" were arrested 
and tortured to obtain confessions. In 1975, a Federal Court in San Francisco 
threw out all of the evidence obtained in New Orleans. 34 years later, in 2005, 
two lead San Francisco Police Department investigators from over 30 years ago, 
along with FBI agents, have re-opened the case. Rather than submit to 
proceedings they felt were abusive of the law and the Constitution, five men 
chose to stand in contempt of court and were sent to jail. They were released 
when the Grand Jury term expired, but have been told by prosecutors that "it 
isn't over yet."


           

            Emory Douglas Exhibition Extended!  
             

            BLACK PANTHER: 
            The Revolutionary Art of Emory Douglas

            October 21, 2007 - February 24, 2008




            MOCA at The Pacific Design Center
            8687 Melrose Ave.
            West Hollywood 90069
            http://www.moca.org


            This exhibition was produced from the collections of the Center for 
the Study of Political Graphics and Mary and Alden Kimbrough. Curated by 
CalArts School of Art faculty member and MOCA Ahmanson Curatorial Fellow Sam 
Durant 


           
     





[Non-text portions of this message have been removed]



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