Cuba's National Assembly discusses proposed economic changes (morning
roundup)<http://miamiherald.typepad.com/cuban_colada/2010/12/top-news-in-other-news-a-cold-front-in-recent-days-has-led-to-31-record-low-temperatures-in-different-zones-throughout.html>

[image: 
Cuba-Raul-Castro-National-Assembl]<http://miamiherald.typepad.com/.a/6a00d83451b26169e20147e0c28eff970b-pi>

*Top News*: Cuba's National Assembly began a two-day
meeting<http://www.google.com/hostednews/ap/article/ALeqM5gq6-NMBn3EnMsn-HawkZ2ZVtuOzQ?docId=d144830fa22d4f95bd5b454348eae7a6>on
Wednesday -- its second and last session of the year -- to discuss
proposed economic reforms and the national budget.

The Castro government is organizing an overhaul of the Cuban economy and
this will be the first time that the National Assembly discusses the
proposed changes. Cuban authorities have outlined the goals of possible
reforms in a document called "Guidelines for Economic and Social
Policy,"<http://miamiherald.typepad.com/cuban_colada/2010/11/cuban-government-says-it-must-change-laws-to-modernize-economy-morning-roundup.html>which
will be discussed at the Communist Party congress in April.

The Guidelines are slated for discussion today. Foreign reporters were not
invited to attend, according to The Associated Press, and Cuban television
does not 
plan<http://www.juventudrebelde.cu/cuba/2010-12-16/diputados-debaten-desde-hoy-los-lineamientos-de-la-politica-economica-y-social-del-partido-y-la-revolucion/>to
broadcast the meeting. However, Cuban
state media published a lengthy
transcript<http://www.cubadebate.cu/noticias/2010/12/16/crecio-la-economia-en-un-ano-muy-dificil-evaluan-diputados/>of
some of the statements made at Wednesday's meeting.

Raúl Castro addressed the National Assembly
yesterday<http://www.granma.co.cu/2010/12/15/nacional/artic11.html>,
according to Communist party daily Granma.

*In Other News*:

   - A cold 
front<http://www.elnuevoherald.com/2010/12/15/854198/cuba-registra-31-records-de-temperaturas.html>in
recent days has led to 31 record-low temperatures in different zones
   throughout Cuba (link in Spanish).
   - The U.S. Senate will reportedly consider a bill on Thursday that
would block
   civilian trials of "war on terror"
suspects<http://www.google.com/hostednews/afp/article/ALeqM5gLFzzL0d-bBArJCxzIdfwSQZgSGA?docId=CNG.937a29e74a6fa43f33a85ed42e22fb84.9b1>,
   as well as the closure of the U.S. prison at Guantánamo Bay, according to
   The Associated Press.

*According to WikiLeaks Cables*:

   - When Fidel Castro got sick in 2006, it was from diverticulitis of the
   colon and an intestinal perforation, and he refused a colostomy to treat
   the 
problem<http://miamiherald.typepad.com/cuban_colada/2010/12/cable-gives-insight-on-fidels-health-crisis.html>.

   - If Fidel Castro dies, the U.S. Interests Section in Havana does not
   expect violence or a mass
exodus<http://miamiherald.typepad.com/cuban_colada/2010/12/cable-no-violence-no-exodus-if-fidel-dies.html>.

   - Cuban officials are
frustrated<http://www.miamiherald.com/2010/12/15/1974767/cable-cubans-say-jamaica-lax-on.html>with
Jamaican counter-drug efforts.
   - Raúl Castro was
upset<http://miamiherald.typepad.com/cuban_colada/2010/12/ra%C3%BAl-doleful-over-fidels-illness-and-wifes-death-could-lose-his-bearings-cable-said.html>when
his wife died.

*In Cuban State Media*:

   - Cuba and Mercosur
concluded<http://www.cubadebate.cu/noticias/2010/12/15/mercosur-y-cuba-firman-pacto-comercial-con-paises-en-desarrollo/>negotations
for a trade deal with six developing nations on Wednesday,
   according to CubaDebate (link in Spanish).
   - A new treatment for lung cancer developed in
Cuba<http://www.granma.cubaweb.cu/2010/12/16/nacional/artic01.html>will
be extended from clinical trials to general use, Granma reports.

*In the Blogosphere*:

   - Phil Peters at The Cuban Triangle criticizes the federal government's
   policy of extending the refugee
assistance<http://cubantriangle.blogspot.com/2010/12/federal-benefits-are-safe-and.html>benefits
to Cuban migrants who arrive through the family reunification
   program.
   - Arch Ritter at The Cuban Economy wonders whether the development of
   small enterprise in
Cuba<http://thecubaneconomy.com/articles/2010/12/cuba%E2%80%99s-12-to-20-chair-reform-can-the-small-enterprise-sector-save-the-cuban-economy/>will
be successful enough to create the 500,000 jobs lost in the state
   sector by April.
   - Gorki Águila of Cuban punk band Porno Para Ricardo
returned<http://cafefuerte.com/2010/12/15/gorki-aguila-en-estados-unidos-para-homenaje-a-walesa/>to
the United States to participate in an homage to Lech Walesa in Los
   Angeles, Café Fuerte reports.

*What did we miss? Send us links to relevant stories in the comments.*

*-- Roque Planas
*

Posted by Roque Planas at 9:10 AM in
Politics<http://miamiherald.typepad.com/cuban_colada/politics/>,
Raul Castro <http://miamiherald.typepad.com/cuban_colada/raul_castro/> |
Permalink<http://miamiherald.typepad.com/cuban_colada/2010/12/top-news-in-other-news-a-cold-front-in-recent-days-has-led-to-31-record-low-temperatures-in-different-zones-throughout.html>
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| TrackBack 
(0)<http://miamiherald.typepad.com/cuban_colada/2010/12/top-news-in-other-news-a-cold-front-in-recent-days-has-led-to-31-record-low-temperatures-in-different-zones-throughout.html#trackback>
 Cable: No violence, no exodus if Fidel
dies<http://miamiherald.typepad.com/cuban_colada/2010/12/cable-no-violence-no-exodus-if-fidel-dies.html>

USINT chief anticipated no major upheaval in 2009

Taking note of several indications that suggested *Fidel Castro's *health
had "taken a turn for the worse," U.S. Interests Section chief Jonathan
Farrar wrote a message to the State Department on Jan. 15, 2009, describing
the view from Havana.

The 
message<http://www.elpais.com/articulo/internacional/Cable/nuevas/especulaciones/efectos/sociales/enfermedad/Castro/elpepuint/20101215elpepuint_16/Tes>,
titled *"The speculation on Fidel's health," *was released by WikiLeaks and
appeared Wednesday in the Spanish [image:
(foto6)]<http://miamiherald.typepad.com/.a/6a00d83451b26169e20147e0c07f30970b-pi>newspaper
El País.

"Fidel has not written a 'Reflection' piece since December 15," Farrar
wrote, noting that "this is unusual. [...] It also appears true that Fidel
was not seen by the latest in a continuing stream of international visitors.
[...] Fidel was last photographed with Chinese President *Hu Jintao *in
November. In the picture he appeared alert but thin and weak."

"While the level of speculation in the international press has increased,
the local rumor mill is not producing much more than usual. [...] We have
noticed no notable change in the local security posture in Havana, e.g., no
additional police on the street or obvious military movements."

The USINT's conclusion?

"We do not believe the announcement of Fidel's death will spark either
violent demonstrations or a quick surge in migration. The

Continue reading "Cable: No violence, no exodus if Fidel dies"
»<http://miamiherald.typepad.com/cuban_colada/2010/12/cable-no-violence-no-exodus-if-fidel-dies.html#more>

Posted by Renato Perez at 12:45 AM in Fidel
Castro<http://miamiherald.typepad.com/cuban_colada/fidel_castro/>,
Security <http://miamiherald.typepad.com/cuban_colada/security/>, U.S.-Cuba
relations <http://miamiherald.typepad.com/cuban_colada/washington_dc/> |
Permalink<http://miamiherald.typepad.com/cuban_colada/2010/12/cable-no-violence-no-exodus-if-fidel-dies.html>
| Comments 
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December 15, 2010
Raúl wanted to set up a secret channel of communication to Obama, Moratinos
said
<http://miamiherald.typepad.com/cuban_colada/2010/12/ra%C3%BAl-wanted-to-set-up-a-secret-channel-of-communication-to-obama-moratinos-said-.html>

*U.S. release of 5 Cuban spies would enable Cuba to free ALL political
prisoners, the Cuban leader said*

*Excerpt from a cable sent from the State Department
<http://www.elpais.com/articulo/internacional/Cable/dice/Moratinos/afirma/Raul/Castro/quiere/crear/canal/comunicacion/Washigton/elpepuint/20101215elpepuint_26/Tes>to
several U.S. diplomatic stations worldwide. Dated Dec. 18, 2009, it is among
several Cuba-related cables purloined by WikiLeaks and published Wednesday
in the Spanish newspaper El País. It tells about a meeting on Dec. 14, 2009,
between Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and Spanish Foreign Minister
Miguel Ángel Moratinos.*

"The Secretary pressed for continuation of the E.U. Common Position on Cuba
as the most effective way to maintain pressure [image:
(foto5)]<http://miamiherald.typepad.com/.a/6a00d83451b26169e20147e0c04518970b-pi>on
the Cuban government on human rights conditions.

"Moratinos took note of U.S. serious concern but said that Spain believes a
bilateral agreement is a more effective way to keep up pressure on human
rights. However, he noted this would not be his 'main priority' during
Spain's presidency [of the European Union].

"During Moratinos' October trip to Cuba, he said, Raúl Castro confessed his
desire to establish a 'secret channel of communication' to the White House.

"Moratinos suggested that President Obama and [Spanish Prime Minister José
Luis Rodríguez] Zapatero might discuss details of such a channel at their
next meeting. While he understood U.S. domestic political difficulties,
Moratinos believed Castro's comment that U.S. release of the five Cuban
spies would enable Cuba to release all [repeat] all of its political
prisoners."

Posted by Renato Perez at 11:53 PM |
Permalink<http://miamiherald.typepad.com/cuban_colada/2010/12/ra%C3%BAl-wanted-to-set-up-a-secret-channel-of-communication-to-obama-moratinos-said-.html>
| Comments 
(0)<http://miamiherald.typepad.com/cuban_colada/2010/12/ra%C3%BAl-wanted-to-set-up-a-secret-channel-of-communication-to-obama-moratinos-said-.html#comments>
| TrackBack 
(0)<http://miamiherald.typepad.com/cuban_colada/2010/12/ra%C3%BAl-wanted-to-set-up-a-secret-channel-of-communication-to-obama-moratinos-said-.html#trackback>
 E.U. official's efforts to bolster Pérez Roque may have contributed to
minister's 
ouster<http://miamiherald.typepad.com/cuban_colada/2010/12/eu-officials-efforts-to-bolster-p%C3%A9rez-roque-may-have-contributed-to-ministers-ouster.html>

Other Cubans' views seemed 'frozen and delusional'

The rapport established between *Louis Michel*, the European Union's
Commissioner for Development, and Cuban Foreign Minister *Felipe Pérez Roque
*may have led to the Cuban functionary's dismissal in March 2009, a cable
filched by WikiLeaks says.

The cable was sent
<http://www.elpais.com/articulo/internacional/Cable/comisionado/europeo/Louis/Michel/afirma/hay/reforzar/Perez/Roque/mejorar/relaciones/elpepuint/20101215elpepuint_18/Tes>to
the State Department on April 18, 2005, by Rockwell Schnabel, U.S.
Representative to the European Union. It was published Wednesday by the
Spanish daily El País.

[image: 
(foto1)]<http://miamiherald.typepad.com/.a/6a00d83451b26169e20148c6ca0186970c-pi>The
document tells about a visit by Michel to Havana in March of that year
and is based on the recollections of that trip by an unidentified source, a
close aide to Michel. The source "repeated often that Pérez Roque was the
only Cuban official Michel met with whom it was possible to have a
give-and-take discussion. Pérez Roque appeared to be looking ahead to a
post-Castro era, and thinking pragmatically about how to pursue Cuba's
present and future interests.

"He listened with interest to Michel's suggestion that Cuba [...] establish
a comprehensive basis for closer political, trade and development-assistance
relations with the EU."

The source thought that Pérez Roque was a shrewd negotiator and said his
"style could be described as 'I'll tell you the time if you give me your
watch.'" The source "said Michel was quite aware that trying to buttress
Pérez Roque was a risk. No one could be sure whether he was acting in good
faith in his contacts with the E.U., or simply [was] 'the smartest' member
of a completely intransigent regime.

"Nonetheless, Michel felt that Pérez Roque represented the E.U.'s only hope
of influencing Cuba toward reform and respect for human rights. [The source]
said Michel's effusive public optimism about E.U.-Cuba relations after the
visit was meant to bolster Pérez Roque.

Continue reading "E.U. official's efforts to bolster Pérez Roque may have
contributed to minister's ouster"
»<http://miamiherald.typepad.com/cuban_colada/2010/12/eu-officials-efforts-to-bolster-p%C3%A9rez-roque-may-have-contributed-to-ministers-ouster.html#more>


Read more: http://miamiherald.typepad.com/cuban_colada/#ixzz18Iuj4bW5


[Non-text portions of this message have been removed]



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