*Videos:*
**
http://www.facebook.com/video/video.php?v=10150100934521597
http://www.facebook.com/video/video.php?v=10150100993761597

http://www.facebook.com/video/video.php?v=10150101030116597
 The Call to Rally / Latest Updates: Guard Chief Reported Unsure of Troops by
MUHAMMAD SAHIMI in Los Angeles 13 Feb 2011 22:35110
Comments<http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/pages/frontline/tehranbureau/2011/02/wave-of-support-for-demonstrations-on-february-14.html#disqus_thread>[image:
25BahmanBoxChecks.jpg]*As of midnight Iran Standard Time (20:30 GMT, 3:30
p.m. EST), Tehran Bureau is providing updates on events in Iran via a 25
Bahman live 
blog<http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/pages/frontline/tehranbureau/2011/02/iran-live-blog-25-bahman-14-february.html>
.*

*Updates -- Sunday, 24 Bahman/February 13*

A group of university students and young people from Khoramshahr and Abadan,
in the southwest province of Khuzestan, invited people to take part in the
Monday marches "to give the world their message about their anger about the
present state of affairs."

A group of university activists in Mazandaran province issued a statement
supporting the 25 Bahman rally.

Emruz News, the website close to the reformist Organization of Islamic
Revolution Mojahedin, quoting Al-Arabiyah, reported that credible sources in
Tehran have said that security forces have been ordered not to confront the
marches if they are sizable, but simply try to control them.

Emruz News also reported that in the meeting of Iran's Supreme National
Security Council, Major General Mohammad Ali
Jafari<http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/pages/frontline/tehranbureau/2010/01/a-hardliners-hardliner.html>,
the Revolutionary Guard commander, has expressed concern that the Guard's
rank and file may disobey the orders of their superiors, if directed to
employ violence against marchers. Given that the Egyptian army did not open
fire on the demonstrators in Cairo, a violent crackdown on Monday's marches
may completely destroy the credibility of the force with the people. Thus,
he proposed that the police be made responsible fro imposing order Monday
marches, instead of Basij and Guard forces.

Isa 
Saharkhiz<http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/pages/frontline/tehranbureau/2009/11/courageous-principled-journalists-eisa-saharkhiz-and-ahmad-zeidabadi.html>,
the distinguished journalist who has been jailed since summer 2009, has sent
a statement from jail, supporting the call to march on Monday.

Tehran Prosecutor Abbas Jafari Dolatabadi said that the recent wave of
arrests has been for security reasons and due to the actions of the
"sedition's leaders."

Hossein Saffar Harandi, chief adviser to General Jafari and former minister
of culture and Islamic guidance, likened marches on Monday to "injecting
painkiller to the trapped United States" and said that "whoever wants to
create another day [of marches] instead of 22 Bahman [February 11,
anniversary of the Revolution] is a counterrevolutionary."

The Organization of University Graduates of Islamic Iran, known as Advaar-e
Tahkim-e Vahdat, issued a statement about the uprisings in Egypt and
Tunisia, and expressed hope that the government will create peaceful
conditions for Monday's demonstrations. The statement declared, "We announce
our support for the praiseworthy call of leaders of the Green Movement for
people's marches against dictatorship." Several leaders of the organization,
including Dr. Ahmad Zeidabadai, Abdollah Momeni, and Hassan Asadi Zeidabadi,
are currently imprisoned.
Iran Live Blog: 25 Bahman / 14 February by MUHAMMAD SAHIMI, JOSH SHAHRYAR,
TEHRAN BUREAU STAFF, and CORRESPONDENTS 14 Feb 2011 23:5910
Comments<http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/pages/frontline/tehranbureau/2011/02/iran-live-blog-25-bahman-14-february.html#disqus_thread>

[image: 25BahmanPeaceful.jpg][image: 25BahmanGandhiGreened.jpg][image:
25BahmanGreenLight.jpg]

*Iran Standard Time (IRST), GMT+3:30*

*2:30 a.m.* Female political prisoners in Evin Prison and Rejaee Shahr
Prison released a statement <http://www.kaleme.com/1389/11/24/klm-47542/> in
support of the planned protests. The statement reiterates their commitment
to the Green Movement's pursuit of political reform. It adds, "The Green
Movement that has continued to persevere in the past 20 months in the face
of brutal suppression by the regime will continue to demand the people's
rightful goals."

*2:20 a.m.* A resident of north Tehran writes:

Tonight, for about 15 minutes, I could hear the cries of "Allah-o akbar"
from the rooftops around my home. As I listened, I wondered how many people
would show up tomorrow afternoon in the proposed 25th of Bahman March. I can
not predict and do not know if in fact there is any life left in the
so-called Greens to come out again en masse and suffer the way they did and
have been suffering for the past year. The regime certainly is fearful
enough not to give them an official permit and proclaims their leaders and
the movement "same as dead." The media is clearly not able to provide any
coverage, since these days they don't just shut down the media outlet -- be
it daily newspaper, weekly, or Internet site -- they also jail, torture, and
if threatened enough, kill the journalists who would dare to report such an
event.

I see the frustration over higher prices for fuel and basic food stuff and
the jadedness of people toward the laws and regulations attacking their very
foundation, and I see the strength of the moneyed -- the privileged
importers *(ghachaghchis),* the big developers, the quasi-government
businesses -- keeping their grip on the economy by enriching the ruthless to
rule the innocent. The tragedy is beyond description. What to do? Not
knowing, I sit here and think through the whole mess and try to figure out
at least what the ending will look like. Figuring out is not predicting,
mind you, it's just seeing a path and extending it forward -- not
necessarily minding the bumps!

Egypt and the rise of its people, and capitulation of a dictator in less
than three weeks is clearly a danger signal and alarming to the regime here
in Tehran. Funnily enough, it is the same to the West. The regime here
clearly wanted Mubarak to go, but had hoped that he would kill a lot more
and ignite the radicalization (Islamization!) of Egypt, which would thus
find a real friend in the Islamic Republic! But he quit and with him went
the hopes of the regime here. [Majles Speaker Ali] Larijani saw that and has
been taking the public mantle away from Mr. Ahmadinejad by marching the
parliament around and doing shokr prayers [prayers of thanks]!

Our values are being given to us on a platter with a "don't ask" tag that is
getting to look pretty disgusting. The regime here has the advantage of
knowing how the religious dictators in the dark ages of Europe did it. They
used caste systems (we call them Hezbollahi), they used torture chambers (we
call them Evin, Kahrizak, and many other names of places with similar
functions), they used economic deprivation (we call it "goal orientation of
subsidies"), they used the fear of hell and reward of heaven (we do the
same, while describing the range of heaven's benefits in a bit more detail
for the edification of the masses), and most importantly they made sure the
Pope was accepted as the ultimate vicar of Christ on earth to complete the
dictatorship (we similarly call our chief vicar the *Vali-ye Faghih,* the
Supreme Leader, and hail him as the ultimate voice and leader of Muslims
around the world). So it is easy to see where the value systems of the
Islamic Republic come from.

In the West, it seems more and more the values are being established by the
media, mostly via television. They are the ones who tell us what the
Pentagon and the State Department, No. 10 Downing Street or the White House
tell them -- they tell us what they are told to tell us. They are the ones
who accept being "embedded" with the U.S. military on the battlefronts. They
are the ones who bring politicians to roundtable sessions and then ask them
preagreed-upon questions. They are the ones who don't show the real death
numbers in Iraq and Afghanistan. They are also the ones who bombard us with
the news of markets and oil prices moving up or down. They are the ones who
lead us to believe that our interest lies in the rise of Wall Street as
though we are all stockbrokers and major shareholders, and that higher oil
prices cause massive problems for the economy as though we are all
industrialists.

The question of norms and values is not answered in my mind. So long as they
do not clearly address the needs of humanity as enlightened human beings
like Nelson Mandela or Dalai Lama have taught, we will be waving the flag of
those who not only do not have our interests in mind but are set on getting
their way at our cost. The cost that the youth in Iran, the bright in Iran,
and the compassionate in Iran have paid is so very high that to wish them to
continue paying is out of the question for me.

I know this will not sit well with many, but the hope is that everyone will
stop the rage-based activism long enough to figure out what needs to be
done. Then and only then will the power of passive resistance cause the
foundation of dictatorships to crack. Green sprouts will find those cracks
sooner or later and dictators don't have enough legs to crush them in time.
I wish them light!

I pray for no blood and no death tomorrow.

 *1:45 a.m.* Kaleme, Mousavi's website, is reporting that nighttime chants
of "Allah-o Akbar" were heard not only in Tehran, but also in Tabriz,
Shiraz, Rasht, and Isfahan.

*1:40 a.m.* Ardeshir Amirarjmand, a senior adviser to Mir Hossein Mousavi,
just told <http://www.mardomak.org/blog/post/60139> BBC Persian that any
kind of communication with the Green Movement leader had become impossible
and that Mousavi's phone line has been cut off, as Mehdi Karroubi's was a
few days ago.

*1:20 a.m.* According to a Tehran correspondent:

As night falls over Tehran, many speculate about the events of tomorrow.
There are inspection posts all around the city. The inspection posts on
Seyyed Khandad and Haft Tir are manned by police officers and not by Basiji
militia, according to eyewitness accounts. One source told this
correspondent that he personally does not expect a huge turnout tomorrow.
Many others are also doubtful if anyone will come to the streets. Some
believe the event has a louder buzz in the online world than in the streets
of Tehran. There are
reports<http://irangreenvoice.com/article/2011/feb/13/10851>,
published by the Green Movement websites, that the IRGC has requested the
High Council of National Security to use only the police force tomorrow and
not Revolutionary Guard members to control the streets. However, no
independent source has confirmed this report. Despite the speculations,
there are those who say that they will be attending. They believe tomorrow
we will witness a silent demonstration.

*1:05 a.m.* A source in Tehran tells us:

The likelihood of violence in tomorrow's marches should be low, because
Turkey's President Abdullah Gul will be
visiting<http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-02-13/turkish-president-visits-iran.html>.
It is predicted that the number of people taking part will be larger than
that of 22 Bahman of last year [the celebration of the 31st anniversary of
the Revolution on February 11, 2010]. Since two days ago, 16,000 policemen
have gone on high alert, and tomorrow the entire police force will be on
alert. The police as well as the IRGC [Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps]
forces have also been using their cars that have private license numbers [in
order to conceal their purpose], and will do so tomorrow as well. All the
local Basij bases in different neighborhoods are on high alert tonight
[Sunday night] and have begun creating barricades at different places for
inspection of cars and other things. About 20 young people under 25 together
with one or two older supervisors have created artificial ramps to lower
cars' speed in order to search them. One can see the Kalashnikov rifles that
they carry. Their equipment indicates that new clothes, batons, and other
equipments for crowd control have been obtained]. I have also been informed
that an order has been placed to Imam Hossein University for 5,000 that were
designed there and have now reached mass production.

*12:55 a.m.* Television viewers around the world following events in Cairo
over the past few weeks have become familiar with the layout of Tahrir
Square, epicenter of the Egyptian uprising. Here's a bird's-eye comparison
with Azadi Square, the intended destination of the Monday march planned for
Tehran.
[image: AzadiTahrirSquares.jpg]

*12:30 a.m.* Demonstration in the dark. Shouts of "Allah-o akbar" (God is
great) ring out through the Tehran night in support of the call to rally.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=On60ZaOtWq0&feature=player_embedded#at=34

*12:00 a.m.* We begin our 25 Bahman live blog with an unconfirmed list of
demonstration sites and times in 24 cities. Given the nature of the
demonstrations and their planning, it is impossible to verify much of this
information in advance of actual events:

* Tehran: 3 PM (From Imam Hossein to Azadi Square)
* Babol: 4 PM (In front of Babol Technical University; Near Amir Kabir
Square)
* Shiraz: 3 PM (From Namazi Square to the Engineering Building #2; Mullah
Sadra Avenue)
* Isfahan: 3 PM (Enghelab Avenue)
* Ahvaz: 6 PM (Naderi Avenue)
* Mashhad: 5 PM (Rahnomayee Threeway)

* Rasht: 3 PM (Motahhari Avenue)
* Ardabil: 4 PM (From Sahriati Square to the Bazaar)
* Bushahr: 5 PM (From Layan Avenue to 6th of Bahman Square)
* Kerman 3 PM (Around Taryafard)
* Orumieh: 4 PM (Atayee Avenue)
* Tabriz: 5 PM (Saa'at Square)
* Hamedan: 4 PM (Bo-Ali's Tomb)
* Tonekabon: 5 PM (From Karimabad Square to Imam Square)
* Kermanshah: 3 PM (From 22nd of Bahman Threeway / Nowbahar Avenue to Azadi
Square)
* Sanandaj: 5 PM (6th of Bahman Avenue)
* Semnan: 5 PM (From Sa'adi Square to Kowsar Square)
* Khurramabad: 5 PM (Khurramrud Avenue)
* Shahre Kord: 5 PM (Enghelab Square)
* Kashan: 5 PM (15 of Khordad Square)
* Ghazvin: 5 PM (Khayyam Avenue / Adl Square)
* Sari: 5 PM (Enghelab Avenue)
* Gorgan: 5 PM (Palace Traffic Circle)
* Arak: 5 PM (Valiasr Square)

Copyright © 2011 Tehran Bureau


[Non-text portions of this message have been removed]



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