Red Alert: Radiation Rising and Heading South in Japan
Read more:  Red Alert: Radiation Rising and Heading South in Japan | STRATFOR 

The nuclear reactor situation in Japan has deteriorated 
significantly. Two more explosions occurred at the Fukushima Daiichi 
nuclear power plant on March 15. 


The first occurred at 6:10 a.m. local time at reactor No. 2, which 
had seen nuclear fuel rods exposed for several hours after dropping 
water levels due to mishaps in the emergency cooling efforts. Within 
three hours the amount of radiation at the plant rose to 163 times the 
previously recorded level, according to Japan’s Nuclear and Industrial 
Safety Agency. 
Elsewhere, radiation levels were said to have reached 400 times the 
“annual legal limit” at reactor No. 3. Authorities differed on whether 
the reactor pressure vessel at reactor No. 2 was damaged after the 
explosion, but said the reactor’s pressure-suppression system may have 
been damaged possibly allowing a radiation leak. After this, a fire 
erupted at reactor No. 4 and was subsequently extinguished, according to
 Kyodo. Kyodo also reported the government has ordered a no-fly zone 30 
kilometers around the reactor, and Prime Minister Naoto Kan has expanded
 to 30 kilometers the range within which citizens should remain indoors 
and warned that further leaks are possible.





(click here to enlarge image)





Reports from Japanese media currently tell of rising radiation levels
 in the areas south and southwest of the troubled plant due to a change 
in wind direction toward the southwest. Ibaraki prefecture, immediately 
south of Fukushima, was reported to have higher than normal levels. 
Chiba prefecture, to the east of Tokyo and connected to the metropolitan
 area, saw levels reportedly two to four times above the “normal” level.
 Utsunomiya, Tochigi prefecture, north of Tokyo, reported radiation at 
33 times the normal level measured there. Kanagawa prefecture, south of 
Tokyo, reported radiation at up to nine times the normal level. Finally,
 a higher than normal amount was reported in Tokyo. The government says 
radiation levels have reached levels hazardous to human health. Wind 
direction, temperature, and topography all play a crucial factor in the 
spread of radioactive materials as well as their diffusion, and wind 
direction is not easily predictable and constantly shifting, with 
reports saying it could shift west and then back eastward to sea within 
the next day. It is impossible to know how reliable these preliminary 
readings are but they suggest a dramatic worsening as well as a wider 
spread than at any time since the emergency began. 


The Japanese government has announced a 30-kilometer no-fly zone and 
is expanding evacuation zones and urging the public within a wider area 
to remain indoors. The situation at the nuclear facility is uncertain, 
but clearly deteriorating. Currently, the radiation levels do not appear
 immediately life-threatening outside the 20-kilometer evacuation zone. 
But if there is a steady northerly wind, the potential for larger-scale 
evacuations of more populated areas may become a reality. This would 
present major challenges to the 
Japanese government. Further, the 
potential for panic-induced individual evacuations could trigger even 
greater problems for the government to manage.

Editor’s note: A previous version of this piece 
incorrectly stated that the fire at the No. 4 reactor took place at a 
facility in Daini. It also incorrectly reported the range of the 
government’s no-fly zone as 20 kilometers. The piece has since been 
corrected.
Read more:  Red Alert: Radiation Rising and Heading South in Japan

http://www.stratfor.com/analysis/20110315-red-alert-radiation-rising-and-heading-south-japan?utm_source=redalert&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=110315&utm_content=RDtitle&elq=dd955d697eaa4eabb9639e8b7c3183d5



      

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