Hi.  Over the weekend Amy Goodman flew with President Zelaya on his historic
return to Honduras.  Her interview with him, and others, provide an
extraordinary broadcast on today's "Democracy Now".  9 AM, or at
http://www.democracynow.org/  -Ed

 

 

http://www.nytimes.com/2011/05/30/opinion/30krugman.html?nl=todaysheadlines
<http://www.nytimes.com/2011/05/30/opinion/30krugman.html?nl=todaysheadlines
&emc=tha212> &emc=tha212

 


Against Learned Helplessness


Paul Krugman

NY Times Op-Ed: May 30, 2011

 

Unemployment is a terrible scourge across much of the Western world. Almost
14 million Americans are jobless, and millions more are stuck with part-time
work or jobs that fail to use their skills. Some European countries have it
even worse: 21 percent of Spanish workers are unemployed. 

Nor is the situation showing rapid improvement. This is a continuing
tragedy, and in a rational world bringing an end to this tragedy would be
our top economic priority. 

Yet a strange thing has happened to policy discussion: on both sides of the
Atlantic, a consensus has emerged among movers and shakers that nothing can
or should be done about jobs. Instead of a determination to do something
about the ongoing suffering and economic waste, one sees a proliferation of
excuses for inaction, garbed in the language of wisdom and responsibility. 

So someone needs to say the obvious: inventing reasons not to put the
unemployed back to work is neither wise nor responsible. It is, instead, a
grotesque abdication of responsibility. 

What kinds of excuses am I talking about? Well, consider last week's release
of the latest report on the economic outlook by the Organization for
Economic Cooperation and Development, or O.E.C.D. The O.E.C.D. is basically
an intergovernmental think tank; while it has no direct ability to set
policy, what it says reflects the conventional wisdom of Europe's policy
elite. 

So what did the O.E.C.D. have to say about high unemployment in its member
countries? "The room for macroeconomic policies to address these complex
challenges is largely exhausted," declared the organization's secretary
general, who called on countries instead to "go structural" - that is, to
focus on long-run reforms that would have little impact on the current
employment situation. 

And how do we know that there's no room for policies to put the unemployed
back to work? The secretary general didn't say - and the report itself never
even suggests possible solutions to the employment crisis. All it does is
highlight the risks, as it sees them, of any departure from orthodox policy.


But then, who is talking seriously about job creation these days? Not the
Republican Party, unless you count its ritual calls for tax cuts and
deregulation. Not the Obama administration, which more or less dropped the
subject a year and a half ago. 

The fact that nobody in power is talking about jobs does not mean, however,
that nothing could be done. 

Bear in mind that the unemployed aren't jobless because they don't want to
work, or because they lack the necessary skills. There's nothing wrong with
our workers - remember, just four years ago the unemployment rate was below
5 percent. 

The core of our economic problem is, instead, the debt - mainly mortgage
debt - that households ran up during the bubble years of the last decade.
Now that the bubble has burst, that debt is acting as a persistent drag on
the economy, preventing any real recovery in employment. And once you
realize that the overhang of private debt is the problem, you realize that
there are a number of things that could be done about it. 

For example, we could have W.P.A.-type programs putting the unemployed to
work doing useful things like repairing roads - which would also, by raising
incomes, make it easier for households to pay down debt. We could have a
serious program of mortgage modification, reducing the debts of troubled
homeowners. We could try to get inflation back up to the 4 percent rate that
prevailed during Ronald Reagan's second term, which would help to reduce the
real burden of debt. 

So there are policies we could be pursuing to bring unemployment down. These
policies would be unorthodox - but so are the economic problems we face. And
those who warn about the risks of action must explain why these risks should
worry us more than the certainty of continued mass suffering if we do
nothing. 

In pointing out that we could be doing much more about unemployment, I
recognize, of course, the political obstacles to actually pursuing any of
the policies that might work. In the United States, in particular, any
effort to tackle unemployment will run into a stone wall of Republican
opposition. Yet that's not a reason to stop talking about the issue. In
fact, looking back at my own writings over the past year or so, it's clear
that I too have sinned: political realism is all very well, but I have said
far too little about what we really should be doing to deal with our most
important problem. 

As I see it, policy makers are sinking into a condition of learned
helplessness on the jobs issue: the more they fail to do anything about the
problem, the more they convince themselves that there's nothing they could
do. And those of us who know better should be doing all we can to break that
vicious circle. 

 

 

 

 



[Non-text portions of this message have been removed]



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