Deadlock in Syria<http://angryarab.blogspot.com/2012/04/deadlock-in-syria.html>
 "Syria’s opposition — or parts of it — are incapable of offering any
serious guarantees for the future. Some of their earlier supporters have
even turned away from the opposition. The Kurds, who were among the first
to protest (to get national identity cards, which they had been denied),
are now keeping their distance, shocked by the refusal of the Syrian
National Council (SNC) to recognise their rights
(4<http://mondediplo.com/2012/04/03syria#nb4>).
The government has re-launched the PKK (Kurdistan Workers Party), which it
had already used in its military confrontations with Turkey in the 1990s
and which remains popular among Syria’s Kurds.

 *There is a new split at the heart of the SNC, led by people such as
Haytham al-Maleh and Kamal al-Labwani, former political prisoners who
reject the SNC’s foreign alignment. Ammar Qurabi, the former head of
Syria’s National Organisation for Human Rights and leader of the National
Current for Change, has accused the SNC of marginalising Alawite and
Turkmen activists (**5* <http://mondediplo.com/2012/04/03syria#nb5>*).
Syrian Christians, who have watched many Christians flee Iraq, are worried
by the rise of the jihadists and the anti-Christian and anti-Alawite
slogans chanted by protestors.  *
**
*The SNC has many opponents, including the National Coordination Committee
for Democratic Change, which rejects foreign military intervention. It has
gone through a series of internal splits, and is now dominated by the
Islamists, though it is fronted by a few liberal figures*. Its dependence
on western countries and Gulf monarchies has gone down badly.

 *The result is total deadlock. The opposition cannot bring down the
government, and the government cannot put down an uprising that has a
surprising determination and courage. It would be impossible to return to
the status quo ante: the government could never maintain the control it
used to have over a nation that has been politicised over the last few
months. The government’s reforms (a new constitution, successive amnesties)
are meaningless since the secret services and the army have a free hand to
bomb, torture and kill opponents.  There is a real risk of civil war, which
could spill into Lebanon and Iraq. Foreign military intervention would
intensify sectarian fighting and make the gun the only arbiter of religious
divisions. It could destroy hopes of democracy in the
**region.*<http://mondediplo.com/2012/04/03syria>
*"* (thanks Bassam)

 Posted by As'ad AbuKhalil
----------------------------------------
 *We, the Tarabut-Hithabrut movement
<**http://www.tarabut.info/en/home*<http://www.tarabut.info/en/home>
*>,
support unequivocally the Syrian people in their struggle for their
liberty and their rights...<**
http://bandannie.com/2012/04/02/supporting-the-syrian-people-fighting-for-their-freedom-a-response-to-widespread-objections
*<http://bandannie.com/2012/04/02/supporting-the-syrian-people-fighting-for-their-freedom-a-response-to-widespread-objections>
*>*
 --------------------------------------------
*“**Syrian activists targeted with Facebook phishing
attack*<https://www.eff.org/deeplinks/2012/03/pro-syrian-government-hackers-target-syrian-activists-facebook-phishing-attack>
*” the Electronic Frontier Foundation documents the latest phishing attacks
on Syrian activists*

*“**The Syrian school boys who sparked a
revolution*<http://www.thenational.ae/lifestyle/the-syrian-schoolboys-who-sparked-a-revolution>
*” Amal Hanano writing in the The National about the beginnings of the
uprising in Deraa
*

*“Hezbollah’s subtle shift on
Syria”*<http://mideast.foreignpolicy.com/posts/2012/03/30/hezbollahs_subtle_shift_on_syria>
* Nicholas Noe reflects on Nasrallah’s indirect condemnation of the Syrian
regime.*

*“Tales from Cafe Tahrir: Syria’s Greater
Revolution”*<http://www.aljazeera.com/indepth/opinion/2012/03/2012325102234283361.html>
* Five Syrians exiled in Cairo discuss their experiences with the Syrian
regime in the years under Hafez and Bashar.*

*“Syrian rebels form local command
structure”*<http://english.al-akhbar.com/content/syrian-rebels-form-local-command-structure>
* Latest attempts by the FSA to organize the armed opposition into a
cohesive group.*

*------------------------------------------------------------*



 dedacted from

 http://www.marxist.com/world-perspectives-2012-draft-5.htm
Syria

As in Libya, the effects of the revolutions in Tunisia and Egypt were felt
in Syria, with similar results. The masses believed that to overthrow the
regime all that was needed was to organise mass rally after mass rally. But
the situation has proven to be more complicated than that. The regime
clearly had some remnants of support among at least a section of the
population. This together with the lack of a clear revolutionary
leadership, and crucially without the working class coming out decisively,
is what led to the stalemate for months.

[image: July 22. Photo:
Syriana2011]<http://www.marxist.com/images/stories/syria/jul_22-syriana2011.jpg>July
22, Hama. Photo: Syriana2011 <http://www.flickr.com/photos/syriana2011/>The
Syrian Ba’ath regime in the past was based on a planned economy modelled on
that of the former Soviet Union, which allowed for significant economic
development in the 1960s and 1970s. In the 1980s, however, the economy
began to slow down. After the collapse of the USSR the regime began to move
towards capitalism. As a consequence of this transition, greater and
greater social polarisation emerged with a minority elite enriching itself
at one end of the social spectrum and growing poverty at the other end.
Unemployment shot up and some estimates indicate that it stands above 20
percent; for the youth this figure would be far higher.

It is this growing social polarisation that is at the root of the
revolution in Syria. The Syrian regime is now more hated than ever by the
masses, but as in Libya, the imperialists have seen an opportunity to
intervene and attempt to impose their own stooges on the Syrian revolution
and divert it along safe channels.

Splits have emerged within the armed forces, with many officers declaring
themselves the “Free Syrian Army”. This indicates that many rank and file
soldiers are in sympathy with the revolution and a section of the army
elite seeing the writing on the wall, in an attempt to gain credence among
the masses, have jumped ship before it sinks completely. These officers
have called for a no-fly zone to be imposed by the imperialists, which
indicates they will play a counter-revolutionary role within the revolution.

What is lacking in Syria is a clear Marxist leadership that can explain to
the masses that the regime must indeed and can be brought down, but that in
its place, what is required is a planned economy under the direct control
of the workers. Without such a leadership the revolution is being pushed in
the direction of a “democratic bourgeois counter-revolution”. This will not
solve any of the burning problems of the masses. In fact, social
inequalities will increase further and at an even faster pace than before.
Over time, the masses will learn that it is not enough to merely overthrow
a dictator like Assad. They will learn that on a capitalist basis, none of
their problems will be solved.

The imperialists are seriously concerned at developments in the Arab world,
which occupies a central place in their geopolitical calculations.

also a very important read:
In Defence of the Syrian Revolution: The Marxist position on the revolution
and Assad’s so-called “anti-imperialism” – Part
Two<http://www.marxist.com/in-defence-of-the-syrian-revolution-the-marxist-perspective-2.htm>


[Non-text portions of this message have been removed]



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