http://www.truthdig.com/report/item/sectarian_violence_undermines_syrian_reg
ime_20120618/
 
Sectarian Violence Undermines Syrian Regime
 
Juan Cole
Juan Cole's Blog: June 17, 2012
The Syrian upheaval has gone through several stages. It began with
relatively peaceful protests by crowds in a handful of small and medium-size
cities outside the large metropolitan areas of Damascus and Aleppo. Severe
repression by the national regime led some revolutionaries to turn to
guerrilla tactics. The ruling Baath government subjected the quarters held
by the Free Syrian Army to heavy artillery and tank assaults. More recently,
as the rebellion continued to spread in small towns, the military has
provided cover to death squads that have massacred civilians in an attempt
to scare them into submission. The most frightening thing about this spiral
of ever greater violence and brutality is that some of the now-hardened
lines have been sectarian. 

The
<http://www.cbsnews.com/8301-202_162-57453190/united-nations-observers-enter
-cleansed-syrian-town-of-haffa-after-days-of-trying-to-gain-access/> Syrian
army assault on the rebellious Sunni village of al-Haffa in Latakia
province, which has left it a ghost town, exemplifies this move toward
religious war. Latakia is heavily
<http://latimesblogs.latimes.com/world_now/2012/02/syrian-president-alawite-
what-does-that-mean-and-why-does-it-matter.html> Alawite, and protecting
members of this religious group from Sunni dominance is one of the latent
functions of the regime. The upper echelons of the ruling Baath Party and
its officer corps are
<http://www.unhcr.org/refworld/country,,MARP,,SYR,,469f3ad7c,0.html>
dominated by the Alawite sect of Shiite Islam. Only about 10 percent of
Syrians are Alawite. On the order of 70 percent of Syrians belong to the
rival Sunni branch of Islam. (Many Syrian Sunnis are secularists.) The
<http://www.khaleejtimes.com/kt-article-display-1.asp?section=middleeast&xfi
le=data/middleeast/2012/June/middleeast_June160.xml> car bomb that recently
damaged the Shiite shrine of Sayyida Zaynab in Damascus may have primarily
targeted nearby Intelligence Ministry buildings, but those who detonated it
may have been happy enough to hurt Shiite religious sensibilities. 

The death squads,  <http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-middle-east-14482968>
Shabiha, deployed by the regime against the towns of Houla and Mazraat
al-Qubair in recent weeks are drawn from the Alawi sect. Many of the Sunnis
being targeted have been organized by the Sunni Muslim Brotherhood. Houla
and Mazraat al-Qubair are largely Sunni hamlets surrounded by powerful Alawi
towns. 

The black-garbed Shabiha, or "ghost gangs," began as criminal organizations
in the Alawite-dominated port of Latakia in the 1970s after the Alawite
Assad family came to power in Syria, and some of its members are drawn from
the Assad and related Deeb and Makhlouf clans. Although the groups were
curbed in the 1990s after they became too arrogant even for the Assads to
countenance, they re-emerged in 2011 as paramilitary adjuncts to the army
and security police. In Alawite areas, they have been accused of detaining
Syrians with Sunni names at checkpoints and doing away with them.

The Baath Party was founded in the 1940s by two Christian intellectuals who
advocated a secular Arab nationalism. In some ways, the "Resurrection," or
Baath, party was to resemble the Communist Party, but instead of championing
the working class and being universal it would uplift ethnic Arabs and unite
them to throw off the vestiges of Western, colonial domination. This attempt
to subvert socialism with an appeal to essentially racist themes made the
Baath an odd hybrid of fascism and Third-Worldism. Non-Arab minorities in
Baath-ruled countries, such as the Kurds, often faced discrimination or
worse. 

Baathists came to power through coups in Syria and Iraq in the 1960s.
Ironically, the Baath one-party state became a vehicle for well-organized
minorities to take over the government. Thus, in Syria the Alawite Shiites
dominated the Baath regime from 1970, whereas in Iraq control of the ruling
Baath party was held by a Sunni clan from Tikrit (that of Saddam Hussein). 

Syria's Baath Party has lasted so long and attracted the loyalty of so many
Syrians over the decades in part because it aided Syria's transition from a
rural, peasant country to an urban one. It carried out a land reform that
redistributed land to peasants and liquidated the old big-landlord class.
The Baathists built dams and irrigation works for farmers, earning the
gratitude and support of many rural Sunni clans. Largely rural depot towns
such as Deraa in the south near the Jordanian border were among the biggest
beneficiaries of these Baath programs, and so were known as strong party
backers, producing several high regime officials and officers. 

Rural Syria has had a prolonged and severe drought, and the Baath government
has not been good in this decade about managing water resources. Rural Sunni
clans have suffered most from this water crisis.

A majority of Syrians now live in towns and cities, and their needs are
different from those of their farming parents. The Baath Party's
<http://www.mepc.org/journal/middle-east-policy-archives/political-economy-s
yria?print> reduction of fuel and other subsidies and encouragement of
unaccountable big business have angered the urban population. (These
policies, pushed by international banks and elites, are generally referred
to as "Neoliberalism.") Largely Sunni towns have seen high unemployment,
especially in slums on outskirts full of former farmworkers forced to seek
jobs in the cities, often unsuccessfully. 

At its heart, the Syrian crisis is a conflict that pits the urban
metropolises (Damascus, Aleppo and Latakia) that benefit from government
largesse against the medium-size cities and rural towns that have suffered
from drought and Neoliberal policies. It so happens that this divide also
aligns, if unevenly, with sectarian cleavages, with the provincial cities
and towns being mostly religiously conservative and Sunni, and the
big-cities bastions of minority power and secular Sunni business classes
dependent on the regime.

The Syrian government's resort to Alawite death squads in recent weeks,
however, has threatened the big-city alliance that has allowed the Baath to
survive. The sight of Sunni women and children massacred by the Shabiha in
Houla and Mazraat al-Qubair drove Sunni shopkeepers in the capital to
instigate a
<http://articles.cnn.com/2012-06-11/middleeast/world_meast_syria-battle-for-
cities_1_damascus-merchants-joshua-landis-daraa?_s=PM:MIDDLEEAST> general
strike. Protests and small insurgencies are now taking place even in
Damascus.

The regime of Bashar Assad squandered whatever good will it had in rural and
small-town Syria by its heavy-handed repression of the protests. Among its
few remaining assets was the support of Christian, Alawi and secular Sunni
middle classes in the large cities, groups that fear the rise of Sunni
fundamentalism, are disturbed by the decline of security for property, and
benefit from Baath government licenses and contracts. The deployment of
Shabiha death squads, however, has clearly pushed many of these former
supporters into the opposition. It is now the regime that is threatening
public security and fanning the flames of sectarian hatred. If the Syrian
revolution finally succeeds, it will be because the Baath regime betrayed
its commitments to secularism, socialism and public order, becoming in the
eyes of the public just another sectarian mafia. 

  _____  

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