The last few paragraphs of this essay are really important.  The author
doesn't dismiss the charges of the two accusing women,
at all.  His analysis of what should be done, and why become even more
valuable, in my opinion.  This is the first such I've seen.
Hopefully it opens a couple of doors.  Read on... -Ed
 
http://www.irishleftreview.org/2012/08/23/julian-assange-sweden-ecuador-usa/
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Julian Assange, Sweden, Ecuador and the USA


Author: William Wall <http://www.irishleftreview.org/author/william-wall/>
of Williamwall.net <http://williamwall.net/> 

Irish Left Review: August 23rd, 2012

Possibly Related: Freedom of Information
<http://www.irishleftreview.org/tag/freedom-of-information/> , International
Politics <http://www.irishleftreview.org/tag/international-politics/> ,
Wikileaks <http://www.irishleftreview.org/tag/wikileaks/> 

Originally published on the Ice Moon Blog
<http://www.williamwall.net/Ice_Moon_Blog/Entries/2012/8/17_Entry_1.html>
on Friday the 17th of August, but as the debate continues to rage it seems
appropriate to post it here now as it provides a very balanced and
informative but clearly positioned account and may encourage further
discussion - DB. 

Julian Assange has not, as I write, been charged with anything. There are,
however two investigations under way. The first and most pressing is the
allegation by two former lovers that he engaged or attempted to engage in
unprotected sex with them when they had either expressed a wish that he use
a condom or resisted his attempt (the circumstances are slightly different
in each case). My understanding is that such actions would constitute an
offence under Swedish law and might reach the bar for 'coercive sex'. I'm
not sure whether it would be an offence in either Ireland or England, but
the European Arrest Warrant allows for the extradition of a person for
something which is not a crime in the host country.

There are suggestions that these allegations are a 'honey-trap' (see note
below) and, while I think that such a trap is perfectly possible, I believe
that the correct place for such suggestions to be tested is in the Swedish
courts. In any event, there is a distinct possibility that the charges will
not stick. They are hampered by the problems that face most sexual charges,
principally that the act occurs without witnesses, even though the balance
of credibility in Sweden seems to
<http://justice4assange.com/Fair-Trial-for-Julian-Assange.html> lie with the
complainant.

The question then arises: Why does he not permit himself to be questioned by
the Swedish authorities? For that is the entire purpose of the extradition
warrant.

He has not been charged with a crime, and in general, when a police force
wishes to question a suspect who resides in a different country, they buy a
plane ticket for two officers. Assange has offered himself to be questioned
in England, most recently inside the Ecuadorean embassy. Why does Sweden not
accept that reasonable offer? As far as I can judge, the type of offence
that Assange is accused of is likely to draw a suspended sentence. With such
a minor tariff, why is the Swedish government pursuing him with the
relatively expensive device of a European Arrest Warrant which must be
defended in a foreign court? Does it pursue all such sexual offenders
equally?

The answer may lie in the second case in preparation. This case is at much
the same stage as the Swedish one. The USA Department of Justice is
preparing a  <http://www.state.gov/r/pa/prs/dpb/2012/08/196589.htm> case
against Assange. Sweden has a rather straightforward extradition
<http://internationalextraditionblog.files.wordpress.com/2010/12/us-sweden-e
xtradition-supplementary-treaty-35-ust-2501.pdf> treaty with the USA, signed
under Ronald Reagan, agreeing that 'each contracting state undertakes to
surrender. those persons . who are wanted for the enforcement of any
offense'. In the event that Assange is returned for questioning it is
unlikely that he will be released on bail, having already demonstrated a
tendency to flight. At that point, it seems to me, highly likely that the
USA will issue an extradition request. Therein lies the real problem.

It is well-known at this stage that prominent politicians in the USA have
called for Assange to be charged with treason and that this is a capital
offence in a country that still executes its own citizens, not to mention
Guantanamo Bay or Extraordinary Rendition or any of the other practices for
which it is justly famous. Even if he were convicted of a lesser offence, it
is likely that he would receive a sentence such as no European state now
applies. In a country where multiple life sentences running to hundreds of
years are not unusual, a ten year sentence is regarded as relatively mild.
The  <http://www.ussc.gov/guidelines/2011_Guidelines/Manual_HTML/index.cfm>
tariff for the relatively minor offence of 'Gathering National Defence
Information', for example, is 35 years. the rather quaintly titled crime of
'Transmitting National Defense Information; Disclosure of Classified
Cryptographic Information; Unauthorized Disclosure to a Foreign Government
or a Communist Organization of Classified Information by Government
Employee; Unauthorized Receipt of Classified Information' attracts a tariff
of 29 years if top secret material is involved and 24 if not. And, as a
matter of comparison, you could get 6 years for tampering with your
odometer. I don't know what tariff odometer crime attracts in Ireland - I'm
finding it difficult to get information on it.

Considering the fate of Assange's alleged informant Bradley Manning, still
languishing in reportedly brutal
<http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2012/mar/12/bradley-manning-cruel-inhuman-t
reatment-un> conditions, amounting to torture in the opinion of UN special
rapporteur, in a military prison, it's not surprising that Assange is
reluctant to find himself in such a jurisdiction.

So, in a sense this arrest warrant stands as a proxy for a further
extradition. I believe that it is at least possible that the Swedish
government wishes to have Assange back on Swedish soil in order to make him
amenable to such an extradition request. I believe that many other
governments, including my own, would pursue the same policy in deference to
the USA. I believe that Assange is right to resist it, and that Ecuador was
justified in granting him diplomatic asylum. I believe Sweden could solve
the impasse very quickly by issuing a written guarantee that Assange would
not be extradited to the USA. That, of course, would escalate an already
fraught international incident.

Note: On the Honey-Trap Theory

My good friend Ola Larsmo <http://www.olalarsmo.com/> , writer and chairman
of Swedish  <http://www.pen-international.org/centres/swedish-centre/>
P.E.N. rightly takes me to task for appearing to lend my voice to the sexist
attacks on the women who have lodged complaints against Assange: 'The
Honey-trap theory has no practical or theoretical ground whatsoever. The two
girls, both organised in the Swedish social democratic left, have claimed
the same thing: that Mr Assange during sex wilfully damaged the condom,
either trying to get them pregnant against their will or, even worse, to
avoid their wishes not to be exposed to possible infections of an STD. This
is a tricky and personal business, but the information is all over the web
already. I think it's very, very sad how the so-called left has been
harassing these girls.'

I think there are two issues to understand here. The first is that women who
allege that they have been the subject of a sexual assault of any kind have
traditionally been subjected to harassment on the grounds that their
allegations are motivated by jealousy or revenge, or that they brought it on
themselves in some way. This is the disciplinary mechanism of the patriarchy
at work. I reject it completely. That is why I believe the women must be
accorded the state's support in having their allegations investigated. In
the absence of any convincing evidence to the contrary I must trust the
Swedish legal system to investigate the allegations. After all, if an Irish
woman were to make a complaint of sexual assault I would expect the Irish
police and courts to take it seriously and I would encourage her to follow
through with her complaint.

That is not to say that I have a blind faith in courts. Very often, courts
are sexist, classist and racist. However, there isn't another system to
which we can turn for justice at the present moment, and the Irish courts,
for one example have an abysmal record in relation to sex crimes.

The second issue is whether we can accept as constructed any event in
international politics. I do not intend to enter into the details of the
alleged events, the timescale, or the characters of any of the protagonists.
But in my view the handling of the case by the Director of Prosecutions and
the Swedish state clearly demonstrates that the investigation is driven by
political considerations.

I support the activities of Wikileaks, but I am not a particular supporter
of Julian Assange. I disagree in the main with his political views which he
<http://www.forbes.com/sites/andygreenberg/2010/11/29/an-interview-with-wiki
leaks-julian-assange/5/> has described as libertarian or market libertarian
- a mainly right-wing politics with which, for example, Mitt Romney should
feel very  <http://libertariansformitt.wordpress.com/> comfortable. However,
I believe, as I argue above, that the Swedish case (as opposed to the
allegations themselves) are a proxy for a USA prosecution, or a holding-case
for such a prosecution, and that this is an attempt to silence Wikileaks.
For that reason I support Ecuador. I do, however, believe that Assange
should answer the charges and that were he to be given a 'no extradition'
guarantee he should return to Sweden to face them. I reiterate again, the
central issue for me is the possibility that Assange could be extradited to
the USA to face serious charges of espionage specifically because of the
activities of Wikileaks.

Links

For an
<http://stopwar.org.uk/index.php/usa-war-on-terror/1644-how-julian-assanges-
private-life-is-used-to-conceal-the-real-triumph-of-wikileaks#.UDAL4_2Kbx4.f
acebook> excellent assessment of the work of Wikileaks (see especially the
video attached to this article. And for John PIlger's assessment, see
<http://stopwar.org.uk/index.php/usa-war-on-terror/1450-john-pilger-why-the-
julian-assange-case-is-important-for-us-all#.UDANMS6MFZU.facebook> this
article. (Thanks to Edward Boyne for drawing them to my attention)

For anyone interested in the events themselves, here are two websites:

Marianne
<http://thestandard.org.nz/marianne-ny-making-an-arse-of-swedish-law/> Ny:
Making an arse of Swedish law, The Standard, New Zealand

The Julian Assange Rape  <http://assangerape.tumblr.com/> Case

  _____  

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