Hi. I'll be off tomorrow morning for a long weekend, so if possible, please
hold emails to me until Wednesday. 
 
Here's an insightful article on the leader of Israel, Jewish history and
world-wide, changing feelings and opinions 
about Israel's current politics and atmosphere.  That includes Jews, here
and abroad.
 
Yesterday, I sent what I consider to be a very insightful analysis of Barack
Obama. To my surprise, I got only one
comment on it. Maybe you didn't catch it or expected and dismissed a caustic
rip by Maureen Dowd. It was not; 
rather and uniquely, was an important understanding of the wunderkind who
will likely be our President for the next 
4 years. I sincerely urge you to give it another look. --Ed

 <http://zope.gush-shalom.org/home/en/channels/avnery/1349435894/>
http://zope.gush-shalom.org/home/en/channels/avnery/1349435894/
 
Uri Avnery's Column 
 
Of Bombs and Comics
 
MY FIRST reaction to Binyamin Netanyahu’s exhibition of comics at the UN
General Assembly was shame.

Shame that the supreme elected representative of my country would stoop to
such a primitive rhetorical device, bordering on the childish.


(One Israeli commentator suggested putting him on a rug with a lot of paper
and Indian ink, and letting him play to his heart’s content.)

He was speaking to a half-empty chamber (Israeli TV was careful not to show
the entire hall during the speech), and the audience consisted of
second-grade diplomats, but these were still educated people. Even Netanyahu
must have realized that they would despise this display. But Netanyahu was
not talking to them at all. He was talking to the Jewish audience at home
and in the US.

THIS AUDIENCE was proud of him. He succeeded in touching their deepest
emotions.

To understand this, one must recall the historical memories. Jews were a
small, powerless community everywhere. They were completely dependent on the
Gentile ruler.

Whenever their situation was in danger, the Jews chose the most prominent
person among them to plead their cause before the emperor, king or prince.
When this “pleader” (Shtadlan in Hebrew) was successful and the danger was
averted, he won the gratitude of the whole community. In some cases, he
would be remembered for generations, like the mythical Mordecai in the Book
of Esther.

Netanyahu fulfilled this function. He went to the very center of Gentile
power, today’s equivalent of the Persian Emperor, and pleaded the case of
the Jews threatened with annihilation by the current heir of Haman the Evil
(same Book of Esther).

And what an idea of genius to exhibit the drawing of the Bomb! It was
reproduced on the front pages of hundreds of newspapers and on TV news
programs around the world, including the New York Times!

For Netanyahu this was “the Speech of his Life”. To be precise, as one TV
commentator dryly pointed out, it was the 8th Speech of his Life at the
General Assembly.

His popularity soared to new heights. Moses himself, the supreme pleader at
the court of Pharaoh, could not have done better.

BUT THE crux of the matter was hidden somewhere between the torrents of
words.

The “inevitable” attack on Iran’s nuclear installations to prevent the
Second Holocaust was postponed to next spring or summer. After blustering
for months that the deadly attack was imminent, any minute now, no minute to
spare, it disappeared into the mist of the future.

Why? What happened?

Well, one reason was the polls indicating that Barack Obama would be
reelected. Netanyahu had doggedly staked all his cards on Mitt Romney, his
ideological clone. But Netanyahu is also a True Believer in polls. It seems
that Netanyahu's advisors convinced him to hedge his bet. The evil Obama
might win, in spite of the Sheldon Adelson millions. Especially now, after
George Soros has staked his millions on the incumbent.

Netanyahu had the brilliant idea of attacking Iran just before the US
elections, hoping that the hands of all American politicians would be tied.
Who would dare to restrain Israel at such a time? Who would refuse help to
Israel when the Iranians counter-attacked?

But like so many of Netanyahu’s brilliant ideas, this one, too, flopped.
Obama has told Netanyahu in no uncertain terms: No attack on Iran before the
elections. Or else…

THE NEXT President of the United States of America – whoever that may be –
will tell Netanyahu the same after the elections.

As I have said before (excuse me for quoting myself again), a military
attack on Iran is out of the question. The price is intolerably high. The
geographic, economic and military facts all conspire to prevent it. The
Strait of Hormuz would be shut, the world economy would collapse, a long and
devastating war would ensue.

Even if Mitt Romney were in power, surrounded by a crowd of neocons, it
would not change these facts one bit.

Obama’s case is very much strengthened by the economic news coming out of
Iran. The international sanctions have had amazing results. The skeptics –
led by Netanyahu – are in disarray.

Contrary to the anti-islamic caricature, Iran is a normal country, with a
normal middle-class and citizens with a high political awareness. They know
that Mahmoud Ahmadinejad is a fool and if he had really wanted to produce a
nuclear bomb, would he have made all these idiotic speeches about Israel
and/or the Holocaust? Shouldn’t he have kept his mouth shut and worked hard
at it? But since he is about to go away anyhow, no need to make a revolution
just now.

The practical upshot: Sorry, no war.

THE WHOLE affair brings up again the Walt-Mearsheimer controversy. Does
Israel control US policy? Does the tail wag the dog?

To a very large extent, that is undoubtedly the case. Enough to follow the
present election campaign and perceive how both candidates treat the Israeli
government obsequiously, competing to outdo the other with words of flattery
and support.

Jewish votes play an important role in swing states, and Jewish money plays
a huge role in financing both candidates. (O tempora, o mores! Once there
was a Jewish joke: A Polish nobleman threatens his neighboring nobleman: “If
you hit my Jew, I shall hit your Jew!” Now one Jewish billionaire threatens
another Jewish billionaire: If you give a million to your Goy, I shall give
a million to my Goy!”)

The Obama administration’s Middle East policy staff is manned by Zionist
Jews, down to the US ambassador in Tel Aviv, who speaks better Hebrew than
Avigdor Lieberman. Dennis Ross, the grave digger of Middle East peace, seems
to be everywhere. Romney’s neocons, too, are mostly Jews.

Jews have a huge influence – up to a point. This point is extremely
significant.

There was a minor illustration: Jonathan Pollard, the American-Jewish spy,
was sent to prison for life. Many people (including myself) consider this
penalty unduly harsh. Yet no American Jew dared to protest, AIPAC kept quiet
and no American president was swayed by Israeli calls for clemency. The US
security establishment said No, and No it was.

The war on Iran is a million times more important. It concerns vital
American interests. The American military opposes it (as does the Israeli
military). Everybody in Washington DC knows that this is no side issue. It
touches the very basis of American power in the world.

And lo and behold, the US says NO to Israel. The President says coolly that
in matters of vital security interests, no foreign country can order the US
Commander in Chief to draw red lines and commit himself to a war. Especially
not with the help of a comic-book drawing.

Israelis are astounded. What? We, the country of God’s chosen people, are
foreigners? Just like other foreigners?

This is a very important lesson. When things really come to a head, the dog
is still the dog and the tail is still the tail.

SO WHAT about Netanyahu’s Iran commitment?

Recent I was asked by a foreign journalist if Netanyahu could survive the
elimination of the “military option” against Iran, after talking for months
about nothing else. What about the Iranian Hitler? What about the coming
Holocaust?

I told him not to worry. Netanyahu can easily get out of it by claiming that
the whole thing was really a ruse to get the world to impose tougher
sanctions on Iran.

But was it?

People of influence in Israel are divided.

The first camp worries that our Prime Minister is really off his rocker.
That he is obsessed with Iran, perhaps clinically unbalanced, that Iran has
become an idée fixe.

The other camp believes that the whole thing was, right from the beginning,
a hoax to divert attention from the one issue that really matters: Peace
with Palestine.

In this he has been hugely successful. For months now, Palestine has been
missing from the agenda of Israel and the entire world. Palestine? Peace?
What Palestine, What peace? And while the world stares at Iran like a
hypnotized rabbit at a snake, settlements are enlarged and the occupation
deepened, and we are sailing proudly towards disaster.

And that is not at all a comic book story.

  _____  

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