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Weekend Edition October 19-21, 2012 
 
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Rhetorically Speaking

The US Elections and the Middle East

by RAMZY BAROUD

US elections are manifestly linked to the Middle East, at least
rhetorically. In practical terms, however, US foreign policies in the region
are compelled by the Middle East's own dynamics and the US' own political
climate, economic woes, or ambitions. There is little historic evidence that
US foreign policy in the Arab world has been guided by moral compulsion.

When it comes to the Middle East - and much of the world - it is mostly
about style. The country's two leading political parties have proven equally
to be interventionists. In the last two decades Democrats seemed to lean
more towards unilateralism in foreign policy as in war, while Republicans,
as highlighted by the administration of George W. Bush, are much less
worried about the mere definitions of their conducts. The US administration
of Bill Clinton (1993-2001) maintained a draconian siege on Iraq that caused
what former US Attorney General Ramsey Clark described as 'genocide.' Two
years later, W. Bush chose the direct war path, which simply rebranded the
ongoing 'genocide'. In both cases, hundreds of thousands of innocent Iraqis
died.

Despite the warrior-like saber-rattling by former Massachusetts Governor
Mitt Romney about his intentions to transform the Middle East to suit US
interests shall he be elected, few would take that as more than despairing
attempts at reaching out to the most zealous members and groups of his
party, especially those who wield political influence, media access and, of
course, funds. The pro-Israeli gambling magnate Sheldon Adelson is
referenced more than others, but there are many others who demand such
satisfactory rhetoric before reaching out for their checkbooks.

Ultimately, "it's the economy, stupid" - a phrase that reached legendary
eminence after it was coined for Bill Clinton as he unleashed his successful
presidential campaign in 1992. Once again, the phrase is likely to be the
determinant factor come November 6.

American voters will decide whether to extend President Barack Obama's
mandate by four more years or hand a more impulsive, but equally
opportunistic Romney the fate of a country that has long crossed the line of
economic recession into uncharted territories since the Great Depression in
1929. Romney, the archetypal American elite with ample wealth, lifestyle and
language so detached from the average American is doing his very best to
exploit Obama's failing to rescue the currently tattered, and largely
struggling economy. The recovery, despite the hype, is still lacking at
best. With a large and growing deficit, and unrelenting government
borrowing, prospects for the future remain dim.

"Economic growth has never been weaker in a post-war recovery. Consumer
spending has never been so slack. Only once has job growth been slower,"
wrote Paul Wiseman, in the Huffington Post (August 15). These were his
thoughts on a thorough analysis produced by the Associated Press, which
concluded that Obama-championed recovery since 2009 has been the weakest of
all 10 US recessions since World War II.

The recession which dates back to 2007-2008, scaled back economic growth,
caused massive cuts and cost numerous jobs. Republicans often wish to omit
the eight-year legacy of George W. Bush and his colossal military
expenditure. It is in these instances that the Middle East becomes a victim
of omission, for heedless wars and an unprecedented strain on the economy as
a result of them seem too trivial to mention. Listening to Romney rambling
about his prospected foreign policy, one gets the impression that another
war is already in the making. Destination doesn't matter, what matters is
that Romney appears strong, decisive and ready for a combat at a moment's
notice.

Democrats are focusing their strategy on dividing their campaign messages
between the economy (placing the recovery within generally upbeat news of
positive economic indicators) and other issues that matter to large sectors
of American society: health care, abortion, immigration, civil rights
questions, and so on. With the economy continuing to follow an impulsive
line of logic, both parties are still busy defining the very problems facing
their nation, leaving the task of devising real solutions, if any, to a
later date.

The heavy sense of disappointment felt by many Americans is unmistakable.
Long gone is the 'hope and change' fervor of Obama's last election campaign.
Democrats are no longer offering sensational answers; it's mostly about
braving the difficult journey ahead. Republicans seem more united by their
own aversion of Obama than their affinity to Romney. The latter's lack of
consistency, inability to form and staunchly defend a cohesive vision, and
clearly expressed disinterest in 47 per cent of American voters (per a
leaked video recording) makes him hardly the long-awaited savior. Moreover,
disorganized and divided Republicans between traditional conservatives, Tea
Party supporters and religious zealots among others are hardly ready for the
coveted 'landslide', as boldly anticipated by Keith Edwards in the American
Thinker (October 02).

The importance of the elections is barely accentuated by the political forte
or aptitudes of its main candidates, but by the historic transition that the
United States is currently undergoing. This not just within the realm of the
devastated economy, but in its global standing as well. Here is where the
Middle East mostly fits in: The timing of the region's own transition -
exemplified by ongoing revolutions, political upheavals and civil wars -
couldn't be any more challenging or inopportune. Just as US foreign policy
was reconsidering neoconservative war wisdom, momentous events throughout
the Middle East are wreaking havoc on an already disorderly American
retreat. Unable to completely shift from its militant policy of old, the
Obama administration is trying to weather the storm until the elections are
over.

In a Wall Street Journal Op-Ed on October 1, Romney recharged, with the hope
of challenging mounting accusations that see his foreign policy expertise as
deficient and misguided. "Our country seems to be at the mercy of events
rather than shaping them," he wrote, once more demanding action against
Iran, even more US support of Israel, and greater intervention in Syria,
Libya and elsewhere. His administration, he said, will "encourage liberty
and opportunity" to replace extremism in the Middle East.

Although some real differences may be underscored between both candidates on
various issues in the Middle East, both are strong supporters of Israel,
both tirelessly vying for the backing of the strong pro-Israel lobby in
Washington. Obama, however, until now at least, refuses to concede to
Israeli demands of agreeing on 'redlines' on Iran's supposed quest for a
nuclear bomb. Romney is exploiting that diversion to the maximum.

There is little that Middle Eastern countries can expect from the outcome of
the upcoming elections. The region seems propelled by its own dynamics,
despite insistent US attempts at intervening or meddling to 'shape outcomes'
of ongoing conflicts. Equally important, regardless of who will reside in
the White House, the sluggish economy and the fear of getting entangled in
new military adventures, will likely redefine future US relations to the
region.

Ramzy Baroud is editor of PalestineChronicle.com
<http://www.palestinechronicle.com/> . He is the author of The
<http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/ASIN/0745325475/counterpunchmaga> Second
Palestinian Intifada: A Chronicle of a People's Struggle and "My
<http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/ASIN/0745328814/counterpunchmaga> Father
Was a Freedom Fighter: Gaza's Untold Story" (Pluto Press, London).

  _____  

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