http://www.marxist.com/what-the-assad-regime-was-and-what-it-has-become-2.htm

What the Assad regime was and what it has become – Part
Two<http://www.marxist.com/what-the-assad-regime-was-and-what-it-has-become-2.htm>
Written by Fred WestonFriday, 08 March 2013
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The false idea that the Assad regime is somehow progressive, is rooted in
the events of the 1960s, which were eventually to lead to the setting up of
a centrally planned, state owned economy, very similar to that in the
Soviet Union. However, a long drawn out process has changed the nature of
the Syrian economy from what was fundamentally a planned economy to one
where the private sector dominates and this has to be understood if one is
to make a correct appraisal of the nature of the regime headed by Assad
today.[part 
1]<http://www.marxist.com/what-the-assad-regime-was-and-what-it-has-become-1.htm>
Early years of the Ba’ath regime

The events in the 1950s and 1960s are key to understanding what kind of
regime was established by the Ba’ath party coming to power. And the events
of those decades can only be understood in the context of the growing
social polarisation that had emerged in the 1950s after independence. After
the Second World War French imperialism was pushed out, but the country
remained under the domination of imperialism. The local bourgeoisie was
weak and unable to create a truly modern, independent bourgeois state. It
was a compradore bourgeoisie at the service of imperialism. This explains
the radical mood among the masses and their desire for social change.

In the late 1950s to cut across this rising movement of revolt among the
Syrian masses, a section of the military elite turned to Egypt for help.
Thus in 1958 a group of army officers pushed for union with Nasser’s Egypt,
and the short-lived United Arab Republic (UAR) came into being. The
measures adopted during the UAR period included land redistribution, social
welfare for workers and the poor, and a push to industrialise the country.
These popular measures, however, were combined with a ban on strikes and
also of independent trade unions and peasant organisations.

[image: Nasser and Khrustev during the construction of Aswan
Dam]<http://www.marxist.com/images/stories/egypt/Nasser_and_Khrustev_during_the_construction_of_Aswan_Dam.jpg>Nasser
and Khrustev in 1964What has to be remembered is that at that time Nasser
began moving to the left and was adopting measures against imperialism and
also against the local capitalists and landlords. That explains why the
reactionary military caste in Syria very quickly decided to break the union
with Egypt in 1961. Union with Nasser’s Egypt instead of solving their
problems was actually exacerbating them, by introducing precisely the
measures this officer caste wanted to avoid!

In spite of their wishes, however, the underdeveloped nature of the economy
required major investments in infrastructure projects such as roads, ports,
and irrigation systems, all of which the local bourgeoisie was incapable of
providing. Only the state could provide the levels of investment required
for such development.

In these conditions, on the basis of capitalism Syria could not emerge from
its historical backwardness. The peasants could play no independent role
and therefore the task of modernising the country, which could only be
achieved through the socialist transformation of the country, fell to the
working class. Unfortunately, the workers were led by parties such as the
Syrian Communist Party which had no perspective of overthrowing the
bourgeoisie through socialist revolution. On the contrary its leaders were
constantly seeking alliances with the so-called “progressive” bourgeoisie,
which did not exist!

This was the heritage of the Stalinist “two-stage” theory, which was based
on the idea that in backward, semi-feudal countries, the task of the
working class was first to support the so-called “progressive bourgeoisie”
in eliminating the remnants of feudalism and establishing a modern
bourgeois state. This was the “first stage”. Only much later, once
capitalism had been built and consolidated, would the socialist tasks be
posed. In practices in meant that in every revolution the workers had to
subordinate themselves to the interests of the bourgeoisie.

Thus, we had a situation where the bourgeoisie was incapable of taking the
country forward but the working class did not have the leadership required
for it to be able to take on the unfinished historical tasks of modernising
the country. In these circumstances the military officer caste assumed a
much greater role than would normally be the case. The military was
constantly involved in the political affairs of the country.

These objective conditions, combined with a general worldwide swing towards
statisation, such as was the experience in countries like Egypt, Algeria
and many other underdeveloped countries that had emerged from the colonial
period, determined the events that unfolded in Syria at that time.

The impact of the Soviet Union and China also played a key role. Economic
growth in both countries was still very strong. Thus the idea that a
planned economy was the answer to the problems of these countries was
growing among whole layers of the population, and this was also the case
among intellectuals, the petit-bourgeois and *a section of the officer
caste in Syria, expressed through the development of the Ba’ath party.*
The 1963-66 coups

In this context, in 1963 a section of the military officer caste carried
out a coup. But this coup was very different from the ones that had
preceded it. It set in motion a process that was to lead the
nationalisation of more and more sections of the economy, including
measures of land redistribution and the nationalisation of the private
banks, going much further than even Nasser had done, eventually setting up
a system modelled on that of the Soviet Union.

Thus, in spite of the manoeuvres to avoid radical measures being taken
against the local capitalists and landlords, the inability of the local
bourgeoisie historically to develop the Syrian economy is what led to the
1963 coup which brought to power a radical wing of the officer caste, in
the form of the Ba’ath, to power.

A note here also needs to be introduced on the nature of the Syrian army
officer caste. As in many underdeveloped countries, many of the army
officers were not directly linked to the bourgeoisie, as would be the case
in the advanced capitalist countries, through family ties and so on. Very
often they came from lower layers in society. That explains for example why
so many Syrian officers were from the Alawite minority, at that time
considered an oppressed section of society.

[image: General Salah
Jadid]<http://www.marxist.com/images/stories/syria/General_Salah_Jadid.jpg>General
Salah JadidSalah Jadid, who later led another more radical coup in 1966,
was an example of such an officer. Such officers sought the modernisation
of their countries, and because the local bourgeoisie was tied to the
interests of imperialism, they very often came into conflict with the class
they were supposed to represent. And with the pre-existing models of the
Soviet Union and China, which at that time seemed to provide a successful
economic alternative to capitalism, this layer of the officer caste saw
economic planning as the answer to the country’s woes. The Soviet Union and
China were also attractive to these officers, because they dispensed with
any form of democracy, in particular workers’ democracy, and also allowed
for the existence of a privileged, bureaucratic elite.

One of the first things the regime did was to carry out agrarian reform
taking from the large landowners their estates, and gave some land to the
landless peasants. Commercial banks and insurance companies were completely
nationalised, and by 1965 most large enterprises had been completely or
partially nationalised.

As we have seen, because the local bourgeois class were incapable of
developing the economy, the state was forced to step in, not partially in
this or that industry, but to run the whole of the economy. This provoked
an enormous backlash by the Muslim clergy and the “business community”.

The military regime, under pressure from these elements, was moving towards
compromise, but this merely led to another coup which was carried out by
radical young officers who were much more in tune with the mood of the
masses. It was these young officers who went even further in the social
transformation of Syria. For them it had become a life and death issue.
That explains why in 1966, the Jadid-led coup took place, which finally
completed and consolidated the process.

By 1966, the bulk of the economy was in the hands of the state, which now
controlled the development of natural resources, electricity generation,
and water supplies, most industrial plants, banking, and insurance,
sections of the transport system and most of foreign trade and the domestic
wholesale trade. The government also controlled most of the investments,
credit and pricing of many commodities.

What has to be noted here is that the radical army officers proceeded to
set up a militia and a massive peasant army to finally break the power of
the old rotten, pro-imperialist semi-feudal, semi-capitalist regime. In the
process a new state machine was created, with almost the whole of industry
in state hands and a large part of the land as well.

What was taking place was a struggle between revolution and
counter-revolution. The leaders of the Ba’ath regime, in attempting to
forestall counter-revolution were forced to lean on the masses, and this is
how Ted Grant described the process in 1965:

“In the early part of January, the Baath Socialist Party Government
nationalised 106 of the biggest industrial concerns and banks with capital
of over £25 million. To break the possible resistance of the capitalists,
special courts were organised with powers up to the death penalty for
anyone trying to obstruct these new measures.

“Within a week, the capitalists tried to organise a counter-revolution:
merchants and small shopkeepers organised a capitalist 'strike' of protest,
closing their shops and bazaars. The reactionary heads of the Moslem church
in Syria joined in the conspiracy and denounced the government as being
against “God and religion”. They launched together a campaign of civil
disobedience and demonstrations. However, the government had cast the die.
To retreat would have meant the collapse of the government and probably
execution for the leaders of the Baath Socialists.

“ ‘Demonstrators were carried away by the truckload; shops that remained
closed were broken open and their stock impounded; 22 leading merchants
were stripped of their possessions; the power of the religious foundations
were transferred to the ruling junta—including the power to appoint and
dismiss Moslem clergymen; and eight ‘ringleaders’ of an extremist religious
organization… were sentenced to death for plotting to assassinate the Head
of State, General Hafiz’.

“To carry out the struggle successfully, the Baath government had to appeal
to the workers and peasants of Syria for support. On Tuesday, January 26th,
in response to an appeal, thousands of peasants flocked into Damascus to
demonstrate their fervent support for these measures.

“As the *Observer *correctly comments:

“ ‘In Syria, the Baath's survival and stern repressive measures will have
profound effects. The private sector, has been dealt a mortal blow, at
least insofar as any large scale private enterprise is concerned. The
government has now no choice but to pursue to the end its socialisation of
the economy.

“‘At home this means that power has passed decisively away from the
bourgeoisie of the cities to the more radical countryside and to the
peasant army on which the regime depends.’”

“Thus these events mark the decisive beginning of the collapse of
capitalism in Syria. What should be the attitude of advanced workers and of
the Labour movement to these events? First, it is necessary to give
unconditional support to the measures of the Baath Socialist Party against
capitalism in Syria, a capitalism dependent on imperialism in the past for
its survival and sustenance. But it is also necessary to understand the
background to these events, their limitations, and the course of the
revolution.” (20th February 1965)

Genuine Marxists supported the nationalisations that were carried out back
then. At the same time, however, they had no illusions about the nature of
the regime. Although the widespread nationalisations were progressive, the
lack of workers’ democracy, of workers’ control and management of industry,
meant that what had come into being in Syria was a system like that in the
Soviet Union, i.e. a totalitarian one party dictatorship, with power
concentrated in the hands of a privileged bureaucracy resting on a state
owned economy. This was not “socialism”. For such a system to move towards
genuine socialism would have required a second, political, revolution.

As Ted Grant pointed out:

“The Syrian regime, deformed and Bonapartist right from its inception, *rests
on the peasant army*. It will lay the basis for an industrial plan by
ending the senseless anarchy of capitalism. But because there is no check
of workers' democracy, it can only end in creating a new privileged strata
of managers, army officers and bureaucrats, as in Russia and China.

“To introduce this [workers' democracy] will require a new revolution, not
a social but a political revolution. The masses in these countries will
have to pay with this second revolution because of the tardiness of the
Socialist revolution in the West.” (20th February 1965)

These quotes demonstrate the superiority of Marxism in its understanding of
the processes that unfolded in Syria at the time. Marxist harboured no
illusions in the regime, while at the same recognising and supporting
whatever progressive measures it carried out. The new regime was what
Marxists would define as a deformed workers’ state, i.e. a state where the
economy is state owned and planned, but power is in the hands of a
bureaucratic elite standing above the workers.
Permanent Revolution in distorted form

[image: Senior officials in the Baath Party
1969]<http://www.marxist.com/images/stories/syria/Senior_officials_in_the_Baath_Party_1969.jpg>Senior
officials in the Ba'ath Party, 1969The 1963 coup and the coups that
followed are an example of “permanent revolution”, albeit in a distorted
manner. Leon Trotsky had explained how, in the more backward underdeveloped
countries emerging from colonialism, the working class would have to take
the lead in carrying out the tasks that belonged to the bourgeois
revolution, i.e. breaking the grip of the old feudal ruling class, and
developing a modern industrial nation.

However, he also explained that because of the reactionary role of the
nascent bourgeoisie in these countries, and with the working class at the
head of the revolution, the struggle would inevitably move towards
socialism. In Syria due to the political forces leading it, the Syrian
working class did not emerge as an independent leading force in society.

In these conditions, the radicalized layer of petit bourgeois army officers
stepped in and carried out many of the tasks that belonged to the working
class. It was because of this, as we have already explained, that the
regime that emerged was Bonapartist in nature, while resting on
nationalized property relations.

The “Ideological Report” of the Syrian Ba’ath Party’s 6th Congress in
October 1963 states that the aim of the party was “to build a socialist
society”. It also referred to the need for Agrarian Reform, the
nationalization of commercial and industrial enterprises, economic planning
and the setting up of a state bank. At the same time it stated that the
Trade Unions were to be brought under state control. What this meant was
that no independent workers’ organizations were to be allowed, again
copying the Soviet Union.

The first to be affected were the private entrepreneurs, the big traders,
big landowners and bankers, many of whom fled the country with their
capital. In 1967 the private schools were nationalized. This was a measure
against the religious foundations. On the international arena the country
turned to the Soviet Union for both military and economic aid. De facto,
the country had come under the Soviet Union’s sphere of influence, in spite
of the fact that Brezhnev had not pushed for any such measures to be taken.

It was the state owned centrally planned economy of Syria that provided the
basis for rapid expansion and economic growth. In the 1960s as a whole GDP
per capita expanded by an overall 80%, and in the 1970s the figure was 336%.

The early years saw the most radical measures being taken. These were the
years when the most radical wing of the Ba’ath was most influential in
determining the regime’s policy.
The rise of Assad

However, as we have seen many times in history, once the more revolutionary
wing has played a role in establishing and consolidating the regime, given
the very nature of the more conservative bureaucratic apparatus that is put
in place, the more “pragmatic” elements within the regime take over and
displace the more radical elements.

This explains the frequent changes at the top of the regime between 1964
and 1966, and the subsequent struggle between Jadid and Assad, which
reflected the struggle between the more radical and the more conservative
wings of the Ba’ath party. This can be compared – with all the obvious
differences in the circumstances – to what Trotsky described as the
Stalinist Thermidorean reaction after the revolution in Russia.

It was this process that led to the rise within the regime of Hafez
al-Assad, the father of Basher, the present dictator of Syria. Initially
the old Assad had to share power with some of the more radical leaders, but
eventually he put on the regime the stamp of the so-called “pragmatist”
apparatchiks who wished to push to one side the “revolutionaries”.

The key leading figure in the Ba’ath party in the early days of the regime
was Salah Jadid, a Ba’athist army officer. Particularly after the defeat in
the 1967 war against Israel tensions began to grow within the regime
between Jadid and his followers in the Ba’ath on the one side and a more
conservative faction around Defence Minister Hafez al-Assad that argued for
a more moderate stance on Jadid’s policy of widespread nationalisation.
Jadid had the support of most of the civilian side of the Ba'ath, but
Assad, using his position as defence minister gradually gained control of
the military wing of the party. In 1969, Assad proceeded to remove Jadid’s
supporters from their positions of influence.

[image: Hafez 
Al-Assad]<http://www.marxist.com/images/stories/syria/Hafez_Al-Assad.jpg>Hafez
Al-AssadThe simmering conflict between the two factions eventually led in
1970 to Jadid attempting to remove Assad and his supporters at the Ba’ath
party congress, but it was the latter, through his control of the army,
that successfully launched an intra-party coup against Jadid, who was
arrested, and was kept in prison, and later under house arrest, until his
death in 1993.

The whole process led to the creation of a highly centralised regime, with
the military playing a key role at all levels, even of the economy.
Together with this we saw the growing Alawite nature of the regime, Hafez
al-Assad belonging to the Alawite minority. The Alawite minority within
Syria was always considered an oppressed layer and it is not by chance that
it is from this minority that a layer of radical officers emanated. Hafez
proceeded to promote Alawites to the highest levels of the state and
security forces. To this day some of the key forces are Alawite dominated.

What Syria became through this whole process was a totalitarian regime
based on a state owned, centrally planned economy, fundamentally the same
as that in the Soviet Union. As we have seen above, initially this provided
a big stimulus to economic growth.

In the decade of the 1970s GDP grew by an average annual rate of 9.7%, much
higher than was achieved in the advanced capitalist countries, even during
the height of the post-war boom. Together with this growth went many social
reforms in welfare, education, healthcare and so on. And it was this that
stabilised the regime for a period.

Even in the bourgeois media this is often referred to as the “socialist”
period; the economy is referred to as “socialist”. It was of course not
genuine socialism, as there was no workers' democracy. It was a terribly
deformed caricature of genuine socialism.
“Infitah” – opening up

What happened subsequently to the Syrian economy, however, is of interest
to us in understanding what Syria has become today. Already by 1970, once
Hafiz al-Assad had strengthened his grip on power, and in the aftermath of
the defeat in the 1967 war against Israel, a process of opening up of the
economy to private investment had begun

This economic “opening” was referred to as “infitah”, albeit a “modest” or
“moderate” one. Some degree of private capital was allowed in various
sectors, such as trade, real estate and services. Assad sought help from
expatriate Syrian capitalists and foreign investors. In this, some of the
previously expropriated property was handed back to its owners in an
attempt to attract private investment. In this first infitah the investment
that was attracted proved to be mainly of a speculative nature, an
indication of the fact that those investing did not trust the regime in
power. In spite of the modest infitah of the early 1970s the state
continued to control most of economic output.

However, the rapid growth of the 1970s peaked in 1981, when growth was
10.2%, and then sharply decelerated to 3.2% in 1982 and in 1984 went into
reverse with an actual fall in GDP of 2.1%. At this time the state still
controlled over 60% of output and through various means had a major
influence over the smaller private sector, but the system was clearly
entering into crisis.

All the limitations of bureaucratic control over production were coming to
the surface. This was taking place at the same time as the economy of the
Soviet Union and the East European Bloc was facing a major crisis. This is
when Gorbachev came to power (1985 to 1991) and promoted his policies of
Glasnost (“openness”) and Perestroika (the reconstruction of the political
and economic system of the country). Perestroika aimed at the introduction
of some semi-private businesses and to create a semi-free market system.

It was evident that within the Soviet bureaucracy the idea was growing that
the “market” worked better than planning. This has to be understood in the
context of a collapsing economy in the Soviet Union, while capitalism in
the West had partially recovered from the crisis of the 1970s and was back
in boom. One also has to add to this the “reforms” introduced by Deng in
China, where Special Economic Zones were set up in which capitalist
relations were allowed to develop.

The same process that we observed in the Soviet Union under Gorbachev and
in the East European bloc as a whole could be seen within the Assad regime
in the mid-1980s. In 1986 the state in Syria still controlled a majority of
the economy, but measures were introduced, known as the “second infitah”,
to open up the economy somewhat. More private sector activity and
investment were allowed and government controls were loosened to allow a
degree of private trade in the importation of certain goods.

This was the beginning of the dismantling of the state monopoly of foreign
trade, although over 100 of the key foreign commodities were still solely
imported by state trading organizations. Also, in 1986 the possession of
foreign currency was regulated and the limitations on importations
introduced in 1977 and generalized in 1981 were still in place, an
indication of the fact that the state was still holding on to its means of
control over the economy.

The government did, however, establish six free trade zones – clearly
taking a lead from Deng’s policies in China, where local traders and
manufacturers were allowed to freely import, process, and re-export goods.
Private investment, both domestic and foreign, was allowed in some sections
of industry. Measures such as tax exemptions and cheap credit were
introduced to facilitate the private investors.

The old state owned, centrally planned economy, however, had not been
broken down. The state sector still continued to dominate, although by now
the private sector dominated in agriculture and small trade. The private
sector was also growing in influence in light industry, construction,
transportation and tourism.

At this stage, the nature of the regime had not fundamentally changed,
although processes similar to what we have seen in China were taking place:
the private sector was growing in importance. The regime was still at the
stage of seeking market stimuli to generate growth within what remained
substantially a planned economy.

*[To be continued...]*
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