http://www.marxist.com/nepal-a-revolution-adrift.htm


Nepal: a revolution
adrift<http://www.marxist.com/nepal-a-revolution-adrift.htm>
Written by Brian Conlon and Kamred Hulaki in Kathmandu Thursday, 23 May
2013
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The situation in Nepal is rapidly deteriorating. The living forces of the
revolution are witnessing the withering away of a process that abolished
one of the worst symbols of feudalism in the world, the monarchy. The hopes
of millions of Nepalis have been put on hold. As yet there has been no
meaningful land reform, poverty is still a major problem and the country’s
economy is being taken over by foreign capitalists; all this with the
former insurgency leaders in the government!

[image: nepal2] <http://www.marxist.com/images/stories/nepal/nepal2.jpg>The
mandate of the sitting Parliament has now expired and the masses are still
waiting for the long promised Constitution that was going to bring
prosperity and peace. The Constituent Assembly has been a total fiasco, it
did not manage to do the only thing it had to do: write a new Constitution.

The elections have been postponed several times and it is by no means
certain that they will take place any time soon. In all likelihood they
won’t at all as the dates keep being moved. If polls are not held by June,
before the onset of the monsoon season, they could be delayed by several
more months, which might mean an interim government until early
2014<http://www.hindustantimes.com/world-news/Nepal/Nepal-likely-to-miss-June-poll-date/Article1-1035066.aspx>
.

The Chairman of Nepal's interim election government, Khil Raj Regmi, has
stated that he wants to hold elections before this deadline expires. In the
meantime the main political force in the country has split and the Maoists
look like they might not win the upcoming election. Also the refusals by
nearly three dozen parties to take part in the polls are adding problems to
the electoral process. Their complaints over differences over electoral
lists, voter age and disruptions to voter registration are other factors
delaying the announcement of poll dates. US imperialism in the form of the
Carter Center has already shown its own interest in 'helping' the electoral
process.
How did we get here?

In September 2011, Dr. Baburam Bhattarai became the 35th Prime Minister of
Nepal, after Prachanda had sided with him, reinforcing the wing that wanted
more involvement in the government. A year and a half later it is time to
make a balance sheet, as this was the only self-proclaimed Maoist
government in the world.

The country has no Constitution, land reform is all but stopped, free trade
agreements have been signed to the benefit of imperialist powers (namely
India), the armed Maoists that had ensured the King was dismissed have
relinquished their arms and the powerful Communist movement is utterly
divided. As far as evaluation goes, there is not much positive.

On top of this, the opinion polls are not giving good news. A recent
comprehensive poll gives the view that although going for fresh elections
is the preferred option of the Nepalese, a high proportion of people (57
percent) are undecided as to the political party they would vote for if new
national elections were to be held. This proportion of undecided voters has
gone up by 10 percentage points compared to the previous survey. Only a
small proportion of those who voted for the UCPN (Maoist), NC, UML and
other political parties have made up their minds to
vote<http://www.nepalnews.com/contents/2011/englishweekly/spotlight/aug/aug19/opinion.php>for
those very same political parties if a new national election were to
be
held.

In fact the Nepali Congress has a core support of 10%, the Maoists have 6%
after the split and the CPN-UML has almost 5%. Opinion polls have to be
taken with a pinch of salt but they show the current mood of the masses.

The most worrying sign of these polls is that reaction is showing again its
ugly face. Some 9 percent want the revival of the King’s rule. This is
still marginal but in a situation of political farce with no real
improvement in living conditions, the counter-revolution could gain a real
social base.
Split in the movement

There was little surprise to anyone when a number of radical leaders from
Nepal’s Unified Communist Party-Maoist split from the party in June 2012.
Less than a year later, around 1,000 leading cadres of the regrouped
Communist Party of Nepal-Maoist (having taken the name of the party when it
led the “People's War”) have agreed to pursue a strategy of people's revolt
against the coalition government, including their former comrades. This is
going back to square one, but this time with Maoists in the government in a
republican set up.

CPN-Maoist Chairman Mohan Baidya described the current coalition-led Nepali
government as “puppets” (of imperialism).  The document called for the
scrapping of the Bilateral Investment Promotion and Protection Agreement
(BIPPA) and other economic treaties with India. The CPN-Maoist argues that
such agreements go against the interests of the Nepali people and
relinquish the country’s political and economic sovereignty to imperialism.
Another sticky issue is the disbandment of the guerrillas. In a previous
article we stated:

"From a Marxist point of view, seeking the support of the Madhesi bourgeois
nationalist parties is a serious mistake, but the handing over of the
weapons just shows how far from Marxism these so-called Marxist-Leninists
are. They have no serious understanding of the role of the state apparatus,
the role of the local bourgeoisie and/or of Imperialist forces in Nepal or
elsewhere " - Nepal: A Maoist heads the
government<http://www.marxist.com/nepal-a-maoist-heads-the-government.htm>

The same mistakes are being repeated again and again by the Maoist forces
in Nepal.

We forewarned that:

"The Constituent Assembly has not written the Constitution, land reform is
going backwards (we will return to this point) and on the contrary, the
armed wing of the party is abandoning its only guarantee of having any
negotiating power: their weapons. On top of that, the UCPNM may split,
becoming the second parliamentary force, which in turn would split all the
movements that they have created: unions, student organizations, peasants’
organizations…"

This is precisely what has happened. As Trotsky explained this in his
*Permanent
Revolution* <http://www.marxists.org/archive/trotsky/1931/tpr/pr-index.htm>:

"When the workers and peasants, through a revolutionary struggle, come to
power, they cannot simply stop at tackling the tasks of the bourgeois
revolution – in fact the solution of the tasks of the national democratic
revolution, such as land reform, and liberation from the domination of
foreign powers, can only be achieved and maintained through the
implementation of socialist measures.”

All this has come true in the months since our last article was written.
Now the movement is split down the middle and the imperialists and the
local bourgeoisie can breathe a sigh of relief. The split within the
Maoists drew around 30 percent of the party’s central committee and around
a third of the Maoist members of the now dissolved Constituent Assembly. In
addition, it also includes a large number of wartime cadres who feel
abandoned by the parent party and has managed to attract popular support in
Rolpa and other districts that were rebel strongholds during the conflict.
This will bring problems during the upcoming elections.

The Maoist splinters had managed to form parallel committees in many
districts in almost all of the party’s affiliate organisations (student
unions, trade unions and ethnic fronts).
A real alternative?

The “hardliners”, as they are currently called, argued that the rebels
should not be too eager to implement the commitments made in the peace
agreements; rather, they should maintain a “tactical approach” to the
entire peace process, hoping to be able to launch an armed struggle soon
enough. In their view, the game of multi-party politics would gradually
corrupt the Maoists as it has done with their former colleagues of the
CPN-UML and rob them of their revolutionary edge. They see the same process
without analysing its causes.

Convention declarations of CPN-Maoist also included harsh words for UCPN
Chair, Pushpa Kamal Dahal and Vice-Chair and Nepali Prime Minister, Baburam
Bhattarai, describing them as “stooges of foreign powers” and criticizing
them for betraying the revolution.  CPN-Maoist leaders say a strategy of
people’s revolt will be pursued on the foundations of the previous
“People's War”. The goal, according to CPN-Maoist cadres is...  a new
democratic revolution!

So after almost 20 years of guerrilla warfare they want to re-start without
taking into account the lessons of the uprising. Immediately after the
convention, Baidya publicly warned that his party would take up arms if the
“rights of the people” are not ensured by the present government.

The leaders of the UCPN quickly assured Western powers of their party's
desire to improve the country’s strained political and economic conditions.
One of its leaders, Mr. Dahal recently proposed an ideological shift away
from the goal of a “new democratic revolution” and towards a “Nepali
revolution”. For the new CPN-Maoist, Dahal’s recasting of the revolution’s
aim is a ploy to deceive the Nepali people. This is fundamentally true, but
is this split really the right solution to the problem posed by the
reformist wing of the party?
Party struggles and tactical moves

The split had been brewing for years. Bhattarai even claimed to be a
“Trotskyist” in the light of the debate on government participation, which
was used to polarise the party. Unfortunately for Bhattarai, reading the
Wikipedia page on Trotsky does not make him a Trotskyist; having an
understanding of the role of a revolutionary party and the international
working class does. This issue, the role of the party, is what has been
debated for a long time.

Baidya and Bhattarai both appealed to Prachanda to uphold their respective
positions as the party’s official line (People's war or Government
participation respectively). The chairman agreed with Bhattarai that the
Maoists could not immediately launch an insurrection and capture state
power, so they accommodated to the ministries and the cosy life of a
bourgeois regime.

The state institutions in Kathmandu remained “too powerful” for them to
take over by force, according to their logic. The party lacked the mass
support required for an urban insurrection, and major foreign powers would
not accept a one-party Maoist state (conveniently forgetting the mass
movement that overthrew the monarchy). Yet, Prachanda could not afford to
alienate Baidya and his supporters. After all, they had been loyal to him
since the days before Bhattarai had even joined the party. Moreover, during
his stint as finance minister, Bhattarai had gained a reputation as a
competent and reliable politician and became popular even among the
bourgeois classes that were otherwise ill-disposed towards the Maoists.
Bhattarai was also trying hard to establish his own faction of loyalists
within the party. The chairman felt it was necessary to retain Baidya’s
support to ensure that Bhattarai did not gain too much power.

To maintain party unity, Prachanda (in true Stalinist fashion) was forced
to say, “The great Lenin himself was able to lead a successful insurrection
only after 25 years of peaceful struggle.” Addressing PLA commanders in
2008, Prachanda said, “Yesterday, war meant holding a machine gun and
killing or being killed by our enemies. Today war means sitting with our
enemies at the same table and chatting over cups of tea. Although the war
looks different now, its essence is the same.”

Let's clarify a few issues. Unfortunately for Prachanda and Bhattarai,
Lenin was never the Prime Minister of a bourgeois government. Furthermore
whatever Prachanda might say about guerrilla warfare, fighting in the
mountains and taking cups of tea with the bourgeoisie are not quite the
same thing! But there is an alternative to an ultra-left policy
(guerrillaism) or class collaboration (the cups of tea) and it was Lenin
that actually gave the correct line to communists across the world.
His *Left-Wing
Communism, an Infantile
Disorder*<http://www.marxists.org/archive/lenin/works/1920/lwc/>explains:

“The immediate objective of the class-conscious vanguard of the
international working-class movement, i.e., the Communist parties, groups
and trends, is to be able to lead the broad masses (who are still, for the
most part, apathetic, inert, dormant and convention-ridden) to their new
position, or, rather, to be able to lead, not only their own party but also
these masses in their advance and transition to the new position. While the
first historical objective (that of winning over the class-conscious
vanguard of the proletariat to the side of Soviet power and the
dictatorship of the working class) could not have been reached without a
complete ideological and political victory over opportunism and
social-chauvinism, the second and immediate objective, which consists in
being able to lead the masses to a new position ensuring the victory of the
vanguard in the revolution, cannot be reached without the liquidation of
Left doctrinairism, and without a full elimination of its errors.

This is exactly what the 'radical' wing should do, a critical analysis of
their own past not to make the same mistakes. Lenin later on explains: ' A
political party’s attitude towards its own mistakes is one of the most
important and surest ways of judging how earnest the party is and how it
fulfills in practice its obligations towards its class and the working
people. Frankly acknowledging a mistake, ascertaining the reasons for it,
analysing the conditions that have led up to it, and thrashing out the
means of its rectification -- that is the hallmark of a serious party; that
is how it should perform its duties, and how it should educate and train
its class, and then the masses.”

And Lenin also had some comments for Prachanda & co. (and their cups of
tea). He advised to communist parties that had not yet taken power:* *

“In these circumstances, we must ask ourselves, not only whether we have
convinced the vanguard of the revolutionary class, but also whether the
historically effective forces of all classes—positively of all the classes
in a given society, without exception—are arrayed in such a way that the
decisive battle is at hand—in such a way that: (1) all the class forces
hostile to us have become sufficiently entangled, are sufficiently at
loggerheads with each other, have sufficiently weakened themselves in a
struggle which is beyond their strength; (2) all the vacillating and
unstable, intermediate elements—the petty bourgeoisie and the
petty-bourgeois democrats, as distinct from the bourgeoisie —have
sufficiently exposed themselves in the eyes of the people, have
sufficiently disgraced themselves through their practical bankruptcy, and
(3) among the proletariat, a mass sentiment favouring the most determined,
bold and dedicated revolutionary action against the bourgeoisie has emerged
and begun to grow vigorously. Then revolution is indeed ripe; then, indeed,
if we have correctly gauged all the conditions indicated and summarised
above, and if we have chosen the right moment, our victory is assured.

The differences between the Churchills and the Lloyd Georges —with
insignificant national distinctions, these political types exist in all
countries—on the one hand, and between the Hendersons and the Lloyd Georges
on the other, are quite minor and unimportant from the standpoint of pure
(i.e., abstract) communism, i.e., communism that has not yet matured to the
stage of practical political action by the masses. However, from the
standpoint of this practical action by the masses, these differences are
most important. To take due account of these differences, and to determine
the moment when the inevitable conflicts between these "friends", which
weaken and enfeeble all the "friends" taken together, will have come to a
head—that is the concern, the task, of a Communist who wants to be, not
merely a class-conscious and convinced propagandist of ideas, but a
practical leader of the masses in the revolution. It is necessary to link
the strictest devotion to the ideas of communism with the ability to effect
all the necessary practical compromises, tacks, conciliatory manoeuvres,
zigzags, retreats and so on, in order to speed up the achievement and then
loss of political power by the Hendersons (the heroes of the Second
International, if we are not to name individual representatives of
petty-bourgeois democracy who call themselves socialists); to accelerate
their inevitable bankruptcy in practice, which will enlighten the masses in
the spirit of our ideas, in the direction of communism; to accelerate the
inevitable friction, quarrels, conflicts and complete disintegration among
the Hendersons, the Lloyd Georges and the Churchills (the Mensheviks, the
Socialist-Revolutionaries, the Constitutional-Democrats, the monarchists;
the Scheidemanns, the bourgeoisie and the Kappists, etc.); to select the
proper moment when the discord among these "pillars of sacrosanct private
property" is at its height, so that, through a decisive offensive, the
proletariat will defeat them all and capture political power.”

“History as a whole, and the history of revolutions in particular, is
always richer in content, more varied, more multiform, more lively and
ingenious than is imagined by even the best parties, the most
class-conscious vanguards of the most advanced classes. This can readily be
understood, because even the finest of vanguards express the
class-consciousness, will, passion and imagination of tens of thousands,
whereas at moments of great upsurge and the exertion of all human
capacities, revolutions are made by the class-consciousness, will, passion
and imagination of tens of millions, spurred on by a most acute struggle of
classes. Two very important practical conclusions follow from this: first,
that in order to accomplish its task the revolutionary class must be able
to master all forms or aspects of social activity without exception
(completing after the capture of political power — sometimes at great risk
and with very great danger—what it did not complete before the capture of
power); second, that the revolutionary class must be prepared for the most
rapid and brusque replacement of one form by another. “

This is the best answer of Lenin to Prachanda. No, cups of tea are not the
same as machine guns. The cups of tea have to be taken once the communist
party has taken power, that is to say has taken political power and has
started on the road to Socialism, completing the tasks of bourgeois
democracy (land reform, national question) together with the socialist
tasks: the nationalisation of the commanding heights of the economy, the
state monopoly of foreign trade etc.
What now?

The “hardliners” have an objective mass base and they reflect discontent
with the UCPN-M. In November 2011, Prachanda and Bhattarai reached an
agreement with the other parliamentary parties that finally decided on the
future of the Maoist combatants who had been confined to cantonments since
the end of the war. According to the agreement, out of the 19,602
combatants still in cantonments, a maximum of 6,500 were to be recruited
into a newly formed directorate of the Nepal Army. Compromising on their
initial position, that their combatants should be recruited into the
national army en bloc, the Maoists agreed that potential recruits would
have to fulfill the “standard norms” of the army with regards to education,
age and marital status. It was clear that most combatants would not meet
these criteria, in particular the education requirements. As a result, only
1,451 former combatants were recruited in the end. Those who were
ineligible or didn’t wish to join were offered alternatives such as further
education and vocational training. But almost all of them regarded this
offer as an insult, and opted for the cash packages ranging from Rs500,000
to Rs800,000 before leaving the cantonments to re-enter civilian life.

Many of them thought that the compensation packages they were meant to
receive were insufficient. They also accused their commanders and political
leaders of embezzling funds that the state had allocated for their upkeep.
On the night of 10 April 2012, fights broke out between aggrieved
combatants and commanders who remained loyal to Prachanda. At the Maoist
chairman’s behest, the government sent in the Nepal army to the cantonments
to prevent further violence. For many former rebels, this was the ultimate
betrayal. Their own chairman had ordered the army that had until recently
been their enemy to intervene in the Maoists’ internal disputes.

Even the leaders of the new party have recognised that, embittered as they
are, the former Maoist combatants are too exhausted to plunge back into
more violence. Moreover, their leaders are now well-known public figures;
they cannot simply go underground and operate incognito as they had done in
the mid-1990s.

But the splinter Maoist party has no choice but to continue operating
within the existing system. Within this political framework, however, they
are an isolated and marginal force in the parliamentary arena. They are not
invited to any of the negotiations between the major political parties and
the media dismisses them. They have even refused to compete for positions
in government.

On top of that, and against their own credibility, they did try to form a
tactical alliance with the Nepali Congress and UML to bring down the
Baburam-Bhattarai government. But these parliamentary parties feared
Baidya’s eventual intention and did not trust him. The radical Maoists even
appealed to former royalists on the basis of their common “nationalist”
sentiments but the right-wing monarchists were not ready to make a deal
with their arch-rivals. However, this shows the ideological bankruptcy of
this new party, which with its policy is giving a breathing space to the
counter-revolution! Finally it tried to ally itself, as the UCPN-M had done
before, with the Madhesi and Janajati groups.

Prachanda has criticised them as “ideological dogmatists with a mechanical
[and] narrow interpretation of objective reality; leftist liquidationists…
with petty bourgeois impatience.” However, the party chairman is also
worried that the split has weakened the party’s electoral prospects. In the
end, the splinter party has inherited all the vices of the former UCPN-M
and few of its virtues. This is not good news for either the Nepalese
workers, peasants and youth, or for the communist movement as a whole.
Background of Nepal's Maoists

The roots of CPN-Maoist go back to 1991, when the Communist Party of Nepal
(Unity Centre) held its first convention and pledged to pursue a strategy
of “protracted armed struggle on the route to new democratic revolution”.
In practice, the party continued along the route of parliamentary struggle.
Three years later a militant faction broke away and named itself the
Communist Party of Nepal (Maoist).

In 1996, the new Maoist party launched its guerrilla “People’s War”,
kicking off a decade-long armed civil conflict. This conflict escalated
after a 2001 attack by the Maoist guerrillas on Nepalese Army forces.

The People's Liberation Army, the CPN-Maoist’s armed wing, controlled a
majority of Nepal’s rural territory by 2005. That same year the Maoists,
under the leadership of Dahal, changed their strategy and opted for
permanent peace accords while seeking a multi-party alliance against the
monarchy. In 2006, following a general strike and waves of popular
demonstrations in Kathmandu, King Gyanendra stepped down and a 240 year-old
dynasty was abolished.

In a bid to gain legitimacy, later in 2006 the Maoists signed the
Comprehensive Peace Accords, which promised that the insurgents would lay
down their arms in return for a seat in a U.N. sponsored political process.
In 2009, the CPN-Maoist merged with another communist party and renamed
itself the United Communist Party of Nepal. Since laying down its arms in
2006, the UCPN has achieved what bourgeois politicians would describe as
worthy goals. Both its Chairman Dahal and Vice-Chairman Bhattarai have
served as the country’s Prime Minister.

During the 2008 Constituent Assembly election, the UCPN came out ahead of
all other parties and won 229 out of 601 seats. In 2012 UCPN was removed
from the U.S. State Department¹s list of terrorist organizations, a great
victory according to the leaders of the party.

CPN-Maoist cadres contend that these achievements do not outweigh the
drawbacks that include a failure to implement revolutionary changes in
Nepali society. For example, the failure of the Constituent Assembly to
write a new constitution led to its dissolution in May 2012. Now that
members of CPN-Maoist have accomplished a vertical split, it is unlikely
that the UCPN will repeat its electoral success during the next Constituent
Assembly election in 2013.

In fact with the UCPN-M split it is unlikely that there will be a majority
to carry though changes in a parliamentary way (if this was ever possible)
so Prachanda and Bhattarai are bound to make more agreements with bourgeois
parties and push to one side the pressing needs of the masses of Nepal.
Maoist international relations

Besides leading to a split within his own party, the Dahal-led 2005
strategic reorientation has created tensions with the neighboring Communist
Party of India-Maoist (CPI-Maoist).

A 2009 open letter from CPI-Maoist questioned the strategic turn taken by
the UCPN, describing it as “right-deviationist” and “Euro-communist”. The
CPI-Maoist letter also partly blamed the UCPN for causing the collapse of
two international Maoist organizations: the Revolutionary Internationalist
Movement and the Coordination Committee of Maoist Parties and Organizations
in South Asia. Security analysts worry that the reconstitution of
CPN-Maoist may once again lead to cross-border operations and relations
between armed Maoist groups from both countries. The CPI-Maoist is the
largest party in India behind the Naxalite insurgency; an ongoing civil
conflict rarely reported in Western media. Maoist parties are also
currently engaged in armed conflicts with state forces in Bhutan,
Bangladesh, and India.

One of the controversies dividing CPN-Maoist from UCPN is the relationship
between Nepal's revolutionary movement and the neighboring states of India
and China. While in power the UCPN has fostered close ties with the Indian
state, a move that CPN-Maoist and CPI-Maoist cadres disapprove of.

The UCPN, on the other hand, accuses the leadership of the CPN-Maoist of
secretly meeting with Chinese state officials, a taboo within international
Maoism. Maoist parties have ideologically and practically distanced
themselves from the Chinese state and Communist Party since the early 1980s
because, according to the historical narrative followed by most Maoists
outside of the People's Republic of China, Maoist ideology was abandoned by
the ruling Chinese Communist Party after the death of Mao Zedong in 1976
and a subsequent coup led by supporters of Deng Xiaoping against the Gang
of Four.

Although China and Nepal are neighbours, they are economically and
politically cut off from each other by the mountainous terrain that lies
between them.  CPN-Maoist supporters contend that any meeting between the
Nepali Maoists and Chinese officials would serve to create the distance
from India necessary to carry forward the revolution in Nepal, arguing that
since India is a key regional ally of the U.S., moves by the UCPN to
further tie Nepal to India would strengthen U.S. Imperialism regionally and
globally.

This just shows the narrow-minded outlook that Maoism (as a local variant
of Stalinism) has. None of the branches of the Maoist movement in Nepal or
India have an internationalist revolutionary outlook. India has seen the
biggest general strike ever and is developing a massive proletariat; the
same goes for China that is seeing a rise in workers’ mobilisations against
the appalling working conditions in this major economic power. Instead of
appealing to the masses and workers of both countries, the tiny Maoists try
to position themselves in favour or against a local imperialist power. The
local narrow-mindedness of the Maoists (all of them) of siding with the
local bourgeoisie or trying to side with the monarchists against their
former comrades is just an indication of the prism they use to analyse the
world. They have in practice abandoned their faith in world revolution,
despite the fact that a popular revolt started two years ago in Tunisia,
brought down several regimes and put the masses of an entire subcontinent
on the move!

The international economic crisis is starting to have an impact in India
and this will have, sooner or later, its effects in Nepal. The Maoist
leaders continue to play games with Indian imperialism as the declarations
of the UCPNM show. A split UCPNM would have to rely more on the
pro-business elements of the Assembly, pushing them even further away from
the masses. This is a recipe for disaster.

We have explained many times that in a semi-feudal country like Nepal, when
the masses have succeeded in overthrowing the regime they cannot confine
themselves to the limits of bourgeois, capitalist democracy. The workers
and peasants have to take power into their own hands in order to implement
even the most basic democratic reforms. If the Maoists had had a
revolutionary and internationalist outlook they would have used the
Nepalese uprising as a tool to spark the Indian revolution. The Tunisian
analogy is there for all to see. Revolutions are unique to each country,
but one of the common features of all revolutions is that they generate a
wave of social mobilization; people say to each other “if they can, we also
can”.

The Maoists are at a crossroads, now more than ever. A few months ago we
said, “Time is ticking away and the divisions within the party will be
exploited by the bourgeois and imperialists in order to form a Government
and demobilise the masses as much as possible. Given the current wave of
revolution sweeping across the planet, letting the opportunity go would be
a criminal policy on the part of the Maoist leaders”. A split would be a
gift to the bourgeoisie and to the imperialists! This is exactly what has
happened.

The danger is that the Maoist leadership has disarmed a wing of the
revolutionary forces, and this will only encourage the bourgeoisie and the
imperialists to wage an even more militant campaign against any of the
achievements of the people’s uprising.
Prospects for Nepal’s Maoists

Though only six months old, the reformed CPN-Maoist has managed to draw
significant numbers away from the UCPN. During the week prior to its
general convention alone, 3,500 former cadres of the UCPN were recruited
into CPN-Maoist. This breakaway party has also absorbed well over a dozen
sister organizations created during the Nepali Maoists’ nearly
two-decade-long history. Now they will have to deal with how to implement
the newly adopted “people’s revolt” strategy.

The most likely outcome of the current debate is that the party will
prepare for elections as the ultimate goal. We have warned about the
dangers of parliamentarianism. The Maoists are infected with this disease;
only Marxism is the cure.

What is required is decisive and bold action to be taken to ensure that the
old state apparatus is removed and a new power is built, firmly in the
hands of the poor peasants, workers, youth and oppressed people. The
conditions for this now exist. In the past the Maoists successfully
organized the peasants and controlled large areas of the country. Now they
have shown that the urban masses can also be mobilized. The general strike
of May 2010 is proof of that. All the forces are lined up for the workers
and peasants to take power. The UCPN leaders should review their position
and understand the historical task that lies on their shoulders. They are
the leaders; they have the authority and they should use it. Otherwise we
will have paralysis and the initiative could pass into the hands of the
ruling elite.

By leading the masses to power and carrying through a genuine socialist
revolution in Nepal, they would be lighting a beacon in Asia that the
downtrodden masses would look up to in countries like Pakistan, India,
China, Bangladesh and beyond. Conditions for revolution are maturing well
beyond the borders of Nepal. The present world crisis of capitalism is
making unbearable living conditions even worse for many of the workers in
these countries. They would instinctively move in the direction of
solidarity with the Nepalese masses across the South-Asian subcontinent.
Parliamentary politics in Nepal has reached its limits. The power is there
for the taking and the working masses under the leadership of genuine
communists must take it. This is a decisive moment in the history of the
class struggle of Nepal.


[Non-text portions of this message have been removed]



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