Spain Home Expropriation Plans Seen Violating EU Bailout
 By Sharon Smyth - May 13, 2013 7:52 AM PT

  Angel Navarrete/Bloomberg
 A pedestrian pushes a baby buggy past new residential apartment blocks
with shuttered windows on a deserted street in Sesena, near Madrid, Spain.

Spanish politicians trying to cushion the blows of austerity plan to seize
foreclosed homes to house the needy, discouraging foreign investment and
threatening to violate terms of the European bailout of the country’s
banks.
   Enlarge image [image: Spain Foreclosure Seizure for Needy Seen Violating
EU]
<http://www.bloomberg.com/photo/spain-foreclosure-seizure-for-needy-seen-violating-eu-/324711.html>

A general view of houses at the town of Los Abrigos in Tenerife, the
biggest of the Canary Islands in Spain. Avoiding foreclosures is a top
priority, transcending all other considerations, said Martin Marrero,
spokesman for the regional government of the Canary Islands. Source:
EyesWideOpen/Getty Images

The regional governments of Andalusia, with the most vacant properties in
the country, and the tourist destination of the Canary
Islands<http://topics.bloomberg.com/canary-islands/>,
are planning to expropriate foreclosed properties for as long as three
years to house displaced families. The European Commission has asked Prime
Minister Mariano Rajoy <http://topics.bloomberg.com/mariano-rajoy/>’s
government for details on the regions’ actions, to ensure they don’t clash
with the country’s commitments.

“It’s third world, populist and akin to policies more commonly seen in
Bolivia <http://topics.bloomberg.com/bolivia/> and North
Korea<http://topics.bloomberg.com/north-korea/>,”
said Mikel Echavarren, chief executive officer of Irea, a Madrid-based
restructuring firm that has advised on 22 billion euros ($28.6 billion) of
refinancing. “Investors fear it will set a precedent and other regions will
follow suit, making Spanish real estate investment an extremely high-risk
activity.”

Rajoy’s People Party has pushed ahead with the harshest austerity measures
in the country’s democratic history to tame surging borrowing costs that
last year pushed Spain <http://topics.bloomberg.com/spain/> to the verge of
a bailout. While seizing homes may soften the impact, it threatens to
complicate the government’s task of meeting the terms of a 41 billion euro
rescue package for the banking sector, including selling 50.8 billion euros
of soured property assets transferred to the nation’s bad bank with a
return for its investors.
‘Key Element’

“We are talking about a key element, a very important element which
concerns the financial assistance that banks have been given by the
European Union,” Deputy Prime Minister Soraya Saenz de Santamaria said on
Friday at a press conference in Madrid <http://topics.bloomberg.com/madrid/>.
That agreement “obliges us to fulfill certain obligations, pacts and
memorandums. We all have to work together on the issue of foreclosures to
adopt balanced decisions.”

Simon O’Connor, spokesman for European Union Economic and Monetary Affairs
Commissioner Olli Rehn <http://topics.bloomberg.com/olli-rehn/>, said today
in Brussels that the commission is well aware of the “severe social
consequences of the crisis in Spain” and is in contact with the Spanish
authorities to request additional information about policies adopted at the
regional level.

Property investment in Spain already is a risky proposition after a
decade-long property bubble burst in 2008, tipping the nation into
recession and pushing
unemployment<http://www.bloomberg.com/quote/SPUNEMPR:IND>to a record
27 percent. Around 400,000 foreclosures have been ordered in
Spain since the start of the crisis, sparking a wave of demonstrations that
have seen protesters picket politicians’ homes to shame them over
evictions.
‘Terrible Idea’

Spain’s Economy Minister Luis de Guindos said the regions’ actions will
choke off mortgage lending and the chairman of Spain’s largest bank
described it as a “terrible” idea.

Andalusia, the most populous of Spain’s 17 autonomous regions, passed the
decree last month, allowing it to seize residences that have been
foreclosed on by banks and developers to house families who’ve lost their
homes and meet certain low-income requirements. In exchange, lenders will
receive 2 percent of the properties’ value per year in compensation and can
recover legal possession after three years, according to the April 9
decree.

The government also can impose fines of as much as 9,000 euros on dwellings
that have been unoccupied for six months in an attempt to force them to be
made available for rent. Andalusia has 637,221 empty units, according to
the National Statistics Institute.
‘Blindness, Desperation’

Given the state of Andalusia’s economy -- joblessness among under
25-year-olds stands at 66 percent -- it’s not surprising the measures were
introduced, said Carles Vergara, a Barcelona-based professor of Financial
Management at the IESE Business School.

“The measure has not been thought through properly and seems more the
result of blindness or desperation,” he said in a telephone interview.

“We are experiencing a state of economic, social and housing emergency,”
Amanda Meyer, general secretary of housing for the regional government of
Andalusia, a coalition of the socialist PSOE and United Left parties
elected last year, said in an e-mailed statement. “We are responding to
social demand and a problem that massively affects the victims of a crisis
that won’t let up.”
Protecting Families

Guindos, the economy minister, said on April 17 that the only result of
expropriating homes is that banks will no longer grant mortgages on
properties in Andalusia, located in the south of Spain and comprised of
eight provinces including Granada and Malaga. He said that the central
government already passed a law last year freezing bank repossessions for a
two-year period in the case of low-income families, a measure that “solves
problems without creating additional ones.”

The law, approved in November, protects families who can’t pay their
mortgages for a two-year period if they earn less than 1,597 euros per
month, have at least three children, have one child under three, a disabled
dependent to look after, are a single parent family with two children or a
victim of domestic violence; or being unemployed and not receiving
benefits.

On Jan. 30, the Economy
Ministry<http://topics.bloomberg.com/economy-ministry/>changed rules
so that mortgage recovery proceedings cannot start until
three payments have been missed, from one previously, and limited mortgage
arrears interest rate to three times the legal interest rate.

Emilio Botin, chairman of Banco Santander SA
(SAN)<http://www.bloomberg.com/quote/SAN:SM>,
Spain’s largest bank, added last week at a meeting in Malaga that the
Andalusian decree is “terrible” and won’t help the Spanish economy “in the
slightest,” news agency Europa Press reported. He added that Santander
hasn’t foreclosed on any homes since November and that the bank has delayed
repayment on 2 billion euros of credit for almost 20,000 families to help
them.
Canary Islands

The Canary Islands region, Spain’s most popular destination for foreign
tourists after Catalonia and the Balearic Islands, is studying adopting
similar measures, despite objections from national politicians and bankers,
said Paulino Rivero, the Canary Islands president.

Avoiding foreclosures is a top priority, transcending all other
considerations, said Martin Marrero, spokesman for the regional government
of the Canary Islands, a mix of the Peoples’ Party, socialist PSOE and
nationalist parties elected in 2011.

Foreclosures have surged as mortgage delinquency rates rose to 3.84 percent
from 2.36 percent in December 2008.

According to Meyer, 90,000 evictions have taken place in Andalusia alone
since the start of the crisis as families’ disposable incomes have dropped
more than 20 percent.

“The government understands it has an obligation to the thousands of people
who are suffering foreclosure procedures and that it must do everything in
its power to impede the drama involved with losing a home,” Marrero said in
an e-mailed statement.
Rising Delinquencies

The risk that mortgage loan default rates could double in the next three
years is “a good guess, having looked at the experience of other periphery
countries,” said Alberto Gallo <http://topics.bloomberg.com/alberto-gallo/>,
head of European macro credit research at Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc
in London <http://topics.bloomberg.com/london/>.

Even as unemployment peaks in the first quarter of next year at 28.5
percent, loan delinquencies will continue to rise as the depth of the
recession means joblessness is increasingly affecting 30 to 50 year olds,
higher-educated nationals on permanent contracts, who are far more likely
to own homes, according to Fitch
Ratings<http://topics.bloomberg.com/fitch-ratings/>.


“The jump in the percentage of households with no employed adults to 16
percent last year from 14 percent in 2011 also makes delinquencies more
likely,” Fitch Director Douglas Renwick wrote in a May 3 report.
‘Precarious’ Economy

Home prices <http://topics.bloomberg.com/home-prices/> in Spain have
already plunged 39 percent from their April 2007 peak, according to real
estate website Fotocasa.es and the IESE business school. They will fall a
further 20 percent over the next four years as “precarious” economic
conditions deter buyers and as “swaths” of unsold housing stock drag on
prices, Sophie Tahiri, a Paris-based economist for Standard &
Poor’s<http://topics.bloomberg.com/standard-%26-poor%27s/>wrote in a
report last month.

For Echavarren, expropriating foreclosed homes will accelerate price
declines and discourage foreign investors from buying properties the
country desperately needs to sell. Funds and real estate investment trusts
won’t spend a cent buying homes or purchasing property to rent in the
regions for the next three years, he said.

“The legal security of international investors in Spain is taking one step
closer to that of third-world countries,” Echavarren said. “The value of a
property is comprised of full ownership rights to it and the freedom to do
with it as you please,” Echavarren said, “Embargoing that right, albeit
temporarily, significantly lowers the property’s market value, liquidity
and damages the chances of selling it in the short or medium term.”
Punishing Success

Individual homeowners, who already have to compete to sell their homes
against lenders that can offer steeper discounts to asking prices and
provide vendor financing to shift the properties on their balance sheets,
will also suffer as banks cut prices even further to get rid of homes in
case they are expropriated, said Vergara, the IESE Business School
professor.

“In effect you are favoring families that have lost everything at the
expense of families who have faithfully honored their mortgage repayments.”

Sareb, Spain’s bad bank, set up last year to absorb soured real estate
assets from the nation’s ailing lenders, has around 90,000 homes on its
books and has pledged to sell around half of them in the next five years
while turning a profit for shareholders.

That task will be made more arduous as investors don’t distinguish between
Andalusia and the Canary Islands, where assets will be worth even less if
expropriations and fines come into force, and the rest of Spain, Echavarren
said.
Sareb’s Obligation

Sareb’s obligation is to manage its portfolio efficiently and any measure
or obstacle which affects that capacity may endanger the fulfillment of
agreements made with Spanish and European authorities and with its
shareholders and investors, said a spokeswoman for the entity who declined
to be named citing policy. Legal teams are studying the measures and will
take action deemed necessary, she said, adding it’s still too early to
establish the impact they will have on its accounts.

Rents, already under pressure after the number of homes to rent surged more
than 400 percent since a drought in mortgage lending paralyzed sales, may
also fall as private landlords struggle to compete with regional
governments to rent properties.
Rents Falling

Rents fell in March for an eighth consecutive month, with the average price
standing at 7.20 euros per square meter, down 4.7 percent from the year ago
period, according to Fotocasa and the IESE. In May 2008 Idealista.com,
Spain’s largest property website, advertised, 35,907 homes for rent. Today
it has 193,149 listings.

Spain needs investment in its real estate inventory and a return to a
stable rate of construction, said Vergara, who estimates that Spain went
from selling 700,000 homes per year at the peak to virtually nothing now.

“Construction will only resume once the viable stock of homes has been
absorbed and that won’t be bought up by investors who feel there is lack
legal security as measures such as these are introduced halfway through the
game,” he added.

In the third quarter, home sales were 71 percent below the peak in the
second quarter of 2006, according to data from the Ministry of Public
Works. Spanish banks granted 274,700 new mortgages in 2012, a drop of 80
percent from 2006, data from the National Statistics Institute shows.
Investment in commercial property declined 45 percent to 1.81 billion euros
in 2012, according to a January report by Deloitte & Touche
LLP<http://topics.bloomberg.com/deloitte-%26-touche-llp/>.

Citizens’ Rights

Andalucia states in the decree it has an “exorbitant” amount of empty
properties and justifies the measures on the grounds that Spain’s
constitution guarantees all citizens the right to a dignified home. It said
50,000 families in the region need rental accommodation, yet there’s
insufficient supply at adequate prices, so empty homes must “urgently” be
put to use.

“The same could be said of the right to employment and to eat, but you
don’t see anyone expropriating factories and supermarkets, Echavarren said.

Jose Antonio Grinan, president of the regional government of Andalusia,
said he doubts that Brussels wants to challenge the decree. “If that is
what Europe <http://topics.bloomberg.com/europe/> wants, then Europe isn’t
worth the trouble,” he said on Friday on Spain’s La Sexta television.

To contact the reporter on this story: Sharon Smyth in Madrid at
[email protected]

To contact the editors responsible for this story Andrew Blackman at
[email protected]; Rob Urban at [email protected]

-- 
JAI
RAC-LA


[Non-text portions of this message have been removed]



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