http://eaworldview.com/2013/08/iran-today-kurdish-pjak-leader-threatens-rouhani/

[image: Women Guerrillas of the PJAK]

Published on August 19th, 2013 | *by Joanna Paraszczuk*
0
Iran Feature: Kurdish Movement PJAK Threatens President Rouhani with a
“Second Syria”

The Party for a Free Life in Kurdistan (PJAK), has
warned<http://vvanwilgenburg.blogspot.co.uk/2013/08/pjak-warns-iran-could-turn-into-another.html>
President
Hassan Rouhani that if Tehran continues military operations against Kurdish
forces in Iran, the group will “turn Iran into a second Syria”.

PJAK, affiliated with the Turkish Kurdistan Workers Party (PKK), has
carried out armed attacks in Iran’s Kurdistan Provinces since 2004, with
the aim of establishing an autonomous Kurdish region.

In October 2011, the President of Iraqi Kurdistan, Massoud Barzani, said
that the Iraqi Kurdistan Regional Government and the PJAK had agreed that
Iranian gorup would end its armed activities; however, clashes between PJAK
and the Iranian Revolutionary Guards Corps have continued, with deaths on
both sides.

Last week Fars News, close to the Revolutionary Guards, reported
that<http://farsnews.com/newstext.php?nn=13920521000570> an
IRGC officer had been killed in border clashes with “armed bandits” — a
likely reference to the PJAK.

Other Iranian media reported in
May<http://sardasht-ag.ir/tabid/1032/articleType/ArticleView/articleId/27730/-2-------.aspx>
that
two IRGC officers had been killed in clashes with the PJAK, posting images
of the “martyrs”:

[image: 
ImageHandler]<http://eaworldview.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/08/ImageHandler.jpeg>

Kurdish political activist Shamal Bashiri said that Tehran was passing
through “a sensitive stage and Hassan Rouhani is forming a new government,
and he is not ready to launch a large-scale military operation”.

Bashiri said that the declaration of a cease-fire with Iran was in Kurdish
interests, but warned that if Iran “proceeded to break the cease-fire, the
country will see military operations similar to the Syrian war”.

Analyst Wladimir van Wilgenburg adds another
dimension<http://vvanwilgenburg.blogspot.co.uk/2013/08/pjak-warns-iran-could-turn-into-another.html>
to
the increased tensions between the PJAK and Tehran:

*Iran is not happy with the PKK-Turkey talks for a political resolution,
although Ankara also received the [Syrian Kurdish leaders] Salih Muslim
[PYD] and Abdulhakim Bashar (KDP-S) recently. Iran wants the peace process
in Turkey to fail.*
**

*The PKK decided in its last meeting to uphold the ceasefire with Iran and
mostly focuses on Syria’s Kurds now.*

PJAK has also paid more attention to Syria, amid growing violence between
Kurdish militias and Islamist insurgent factions in the north of the
country.

Earlier this month, PJAK said
that<http://www.aawsat.net/2013/08/article55312452> it
was “ready to send fighters to Syrian Kurdistan to fight beside their
people.”

(Featured Images: Women PJAK insurgents at their camp in the mountains of
the Iran-Iraq border — Sebastian Meyer)

LATEST: Rouhani Government — “We Are Facing Serious Budget Shortfall”

*Jump to Latest
Update<http://eaworldview.com/2013/08/iran-today-rouhani-reaches-out-to-gulf-states/#latest>
*

*Press TV reports that Omani leader Sultan Qaboos bin Said, is to
visit 
Iran<http://www.presstv.ir/detail/2013/08/18/319360/omani-king-to-visit-tehran-next-week/>
next
week to “consolidate Tehran-Muscat ties”.*

It is no coincidence that the Omani ruler will be the first high-ranking
official to visit Tehran since President Hassan Rouhani was formally sworn
into office on August 4. Rouhani has emphasized his plans for Iran to
improve relations with the Gulf States and particularly Saudi Arabia, with
whom he said Tehran has “very close relations culturally, historically and
regionally”.

During Rouhani’s election campaign, his deputy campaign manager Morteza
Bank told pan-Arab newspaper Alsharq
Alawsat<http://www.aawsat.net/2013/06/article55305491> that
“the Persian Gulf region enjoys a special geostrategic and strategic
position in Mr. Rouhani’s government” and that “in order to improve
relations with the neighboring countries, Saudi Arabia is Rouhani’s top
priority”.

Speaking to Mehr News on Sunday about the Omani leader’s visit, Deputy
Foreign Minister Hossein Amir-Abdollahian referred indirectly to Rouhani’s
desire to improve relations with Gulf States, saying that “Tehran’s
relations with the Persian Gulf countries are based on friendship,
brotherhood and mutual trust” and that Iran and regional states are
“determined to upgrade their cooperation in different domains ranging from
the environment to security”.

**

Even before Rouhani’s election, senior political figures set the stage for
improved relations with the Gulf States including Saudi Arabia. In June,
Foreign Minister Ali Akbar Salehi met the Saudi Ambassador in Tehran,
saying that he hoped “misunderstandings between the two countries would be
cleared up in an appropriate way”. In July, during the last days of the
Ahmadinehad government, Salehi — a fluent Arabic speaker whom Rouhani has
appointed as head of the Atomic Energy Organization — showed off a gift he
had received from the Saudi king:
Rouhani Government: “We Are Facing Serious Budget Shortfall”

First Vice President Eshaq Jahangiri has
said<http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/international-business/iran-faces-one-third-budget-shortfall-report/articleshow/21899823.cms>
that
“more than one-third of the [Government] budget is unrealistic” and it must
be cut to about $45 billion.

“We face a serious budget shortfall,” Jahangiri said.

An aide to President Rouhani, Mohammad Baqer Nobakht, told State TV on
Saturday night that a revised budget will bepresented to Parliament by
mid-September.

“If the 2013-2014 budget law is revised, the government and the country
will not face a budget shortfall and resulting inflation,” Nobakht said.
[image: IRAN 17-08-13 ROUHANI ZARIF]

Published on August 18th, 2013 | *by Scott Lucas*
1
Iran Analysis: Interpreting a New Foreign Minister & a New Foreign Policy

Ever since the election of President Rouhani — and, behind him, his mentor
and former President Hashemi Rafsanjani — we have been anticipating a shift
in Iranian foreign
policy<http://eaworldview.com/2013/08/iran-analysis-what-can-we-expact-from-rouhani-government-a-4-point-guide/>
to
promotion of “engagement” with other countries, including the “West” and
the US.

Rouhani has borne out that prediction with statements since his
inauguration<http://eaworldview.com/2013/08/iran-today-tehran-continues-push-for-nuclear-talks/>,
including Saturday’s
declaration<http://eaworldview.com/2013/08/iran-today-rouhani-foreign-policy-engagement-while-standing-on-principles/>
that
“people in the June 14 elections declared that they want a new foreign
policy”.

In an interview with the journal Iranian
Diplomacy<http://www.irdiplomacy.ir/en/page/1919990/US%E2%80%99+Turn+to+Show+Its+Political+Determination.html>
—
run by former Deputy Foreign Minister and advisor to President Khatami,
Sadegh Kharrazi — the new Foreign Minister, Mohammad Javad Zarif, offers
further clues:

1. MODERATION WHILE STANDING ON PRINCIPLES

“Moderation means realism and the creation of balance between the different
needs of the country in the advancement of foreign policy and its goals in
the framework of prudent and wise methods and with an appropriate dialogue.
Moderation does not mean forgetting the values or leaving the principles
aside. Moderation does not mean ignoring the rights of the country either.”

The new Foreign Minister’s statement echoes Rouhani’s assertion on Saturday
— made at the welcoming ceremony for Zarif — “Reconsidering foreign policy
doesn’t mean a change in principles because principles remain unchanged.”

Interpretation?

Tehran will be forthcoming in seeking negotiations and dialogue with other
countries, including the US, but do not expect any concessions — for
example, on Iran’s right to enrich uranium or its provision of political
and military support to Syrian President Assad — in advance of those talks.

2. IRAN’S NUCLEAR PROGRAMME

“We have had numerous discussions inside the government with the President
with regard to how we should pursue the nuclear rights of the country and
remove the oppressive sanctions imposed upon the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Our basis for work is insisting on Iran’s rights and removing the logical
concerns of the international community. As the Supreme Leader and the
President himself have reiterated, this is easy provided that the objective
is the resolution of the nuclear issue.”

Interpretation?

See above on the principle of the right to enrich uranium — in addition,
Iran will not settle in the talks with the 5+1 Powers for anything less
than the full removal of major sanctions, including restrictions on the
energy and financial sectors.

And Rouhani and Zarif will ensure that, while they have room for manoeuvre
on Iran’s tactics, there is no visible distance between them and the
Supreme Leader.

3. ON THE POLITICAL SITUATION IN THE US

“It seems that the warmongers are concerned about the reduction of problems
and are trying their hardest to find an excuse to intensify the crisis. The
important point is for the decision-makers in Europe and the US to
comprehend the nature and goals of the warmongers well and not allow the
agenda of warmongering and tension-building – through oppressive pressures
on the Iranian people which have no basis in international law – to prevent
the usage of opportunities which can be used to find a solution.”

Interpretation?

Zarif, echoing 
Rouhani<http://eaworldview.com/2013/08/iran-today-tehran-presses-campaign-for-us-to-get-serious-ease-sanctions/>
and
other Iranian politicians, is telling President Obama, “Stand up to the
Congress” and pursue genuine negotiations — including sanctions relief,
rather than imposition of more economic punishment.

If Obama does this, then a deal is possible.

4. BILATERAL TALKS WITH THE US?

“The Supreme Leader has stated his opinion with regard to these
negotiations several times. There is no issue with negotiation itself, but
the question is what issues will be discussed in these talks and how much
of a political determination does exist on the other side to resolve the
problems.”

Interpretation?

See above — let’s not talk about mechanics first, but about a change in the
position of the US Administration.

5. THE MIDDLE EAST — FROM SYRIA TO EGYPT

“Due to the mismanagement of certain players, which we have seen especially
from outside the region during the past few years, conditions in the region
are moving towards chaos and necessitate practical measures by everyone
involved to contain the crisis. Fundamentalism, on one hand, and forgetting
and ignoring the votes of the people, on the other, and, of course, the
very clear intervention of foreign countries, have inflamed the region, the
result of which is the killing of thousands of innocent people.”

Interpretation?

A message to the “West”: pull back from support of the Syrian opposition
and insurgency — otherwise, you are fomenting more bloodshed and sectarian
violence.

And a message to the military and interim Government in Egypt: back off
from confrontation and engage in political talks, including with the Muslim
Brotherhood.


[Non-text portions of this message have been removed]



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