(Updated) Risky repair of Fukushima could spill 15,000x radiation of Hiroshima, 
create 85 Chernobyls
9/23/2013 10:00am by Gaius Publius   
UPDATE: I spoke about this issue with Nicole Sandler on the Nicole Sandler 
Show. That discussion is here. Start the player, then advance to 26:54 to hear 
our segment. Thanks.
________
Does the planned November 2013 removal of the spent 
fuel rods stored at Fukushima’s heavily damaged Reactor 4 need a global 
intervention, or should TEPCO (Tokyo Electric Power Co., a for-profit 
company) be allowed to go it alone?
So far, the Japanese government is allowing TEPCO to handle it. Why should you 
care? Read on.
As you should know by now, the nuclear power plant at Fukushima underwent a 
great deal of damage in 2011 due to an earthquake and a tsunami. Wikipedia (my 
emphasis; some reparagraphing):
The plant comprised six separate boiling water reactors originally designed 
byGeneral Electric (GE) and maintained by the Tokyo Electric Power 
Company(TEPCO). At the time of the earthquake, reactor 4 had been de-fueled and 
reactors 5 and 6 were in cold shutdown for planned maintenance.
>Immediately after the earthquake, the remaining reactors 1–3 shut down the 
>sustained fission reactions automatically, inserting control rods in what is 
>termed the SCRAM, following this, emergency generators came online to power 
>electronics 
and coolant systems. The tsunami arrived some 50 minutes after the 
initial earthquake.
>The 13m tsunami overwhelmed the plant’s seawall, which was only 10m 
high, quickly flooding the low-lying rooms in which the emergency 
generators were housed (The tsunami was photographed). The flooded 
diesel generators failed, cutting power to the critical pumps that must 
continuously circulate coolant water through a Generation II reactor for 
several days to keep it from melting down after shut down.
>After the secondary emergency pumps (run by back-up batteries) ran out, one 
>day after the tsunami, the pumps stopped and the reactors began to overheat 
>due to the normal high radioactive decay heat produced in the first few days 
>after nuclear reactor shutdown (smaller amounts of this heat normally 
continue to be released for years, but are not enough to cause fuel 
melting).
We want to focus on reactor unit 4. Here’s a schematic of what one of these 
reactor units looks like (skillfully designed by GE, who wants 
you to know they “bring good things to life”):
Fukushima Mark I-style reactor and fuel storage unit
What you care about is ” SFP,” where the fuel rods are stored. Here’s the 
legend provide with this sketch:
Rough sketch of a typical Boiling water reactor (BWR) 
Mark I Concrete Containment with Steel Torus including downcomers, as 
used in the BWR/1, BWR/2, BWR/3 and some BWR/4 model reactors.
>DW = Drywell
>WW = Wetwell
>SFP = Spent Fuel Pool
>RPV = Reactor Pressure Vessel
>SCSW = Secondary Concrete Shield Wall
Notice where the fuel rods are stored — high off the ground and in water, in 
the area marked SFP.
Here’s what Fukushima unit 4 looks like today:
Fukushima Reactor 4 today
Notice that it has no roof. The spent fuel rods (and about 200 “fully loaded” 
unspent rods — remember that “reactor 4 had been de-fueled” 
prior to the accident) are stored in a water-containing chamber high off the 
ground in a crumbling room and building without a roof.
How will “they” get the damaged fuel rods out of that crumbling room?
This is the problem today. There are about 1300 fuel rods stored in that room, 
packed together vertically in racks. Think of a pack of cigarettes standing 
upright with the top of the pack removed. Normally, the movement of fuel rods 
is done by a computer-driven 
machine that reaches into the room from above and removes or replaces a 
fuel rod by drawing it upward or lowering it downward.
The machine knows to the millimeter where each fuel rod is located. Also, the 
rods are undamaged — perfectly straight.
The problem is that this pack of cigarettes is crumpled, and the 
process must done manually. Therefore, the likelihood that some of the 
fuel rods will break is high. If that happens and fuel rods are exposed 
to the air — BOOM. What does “boom” look like?
Fukushima’s owner, Tokyo Electric (Tepco), says that 
within as few as 60 days it may begin trying to remove more than 1300 
spent fuel rods from a badly damaged pool perched 100 feet in the air. 
The pool rests on a badly damaged building that is tilting, sinking and 
could easily come down in the next earthquake, if not on its own.
>Some 400 tons of fuel in that pool could spew out more than 15,000 times as 
>much radiation as was released at Hiroshima.
Meanwhile, at the rest of the site:
More than 6,000 fuel assemblies now sit in a common pool 
just 50 meters from Unit Four. Some contain plutonium. The pool has no 
containment over it. It’s vulnerable to loss of coolant, the collapse of a 
nearby building, another earthquake, another tsunami and more.
>Overall,more than 11,000 fuel assemblies are scattered around the Fukushima 
>site. According to long-time expert and former Department of Energy official 
>Robert Alvarez, there is more than 85 times as much lethal cesium on site as 
>was released at Chernobyl.
If the whole site blows, “boom” could mean the release of85 times as much 
radioactive cesium into the air as was released at Chernobyl. Into the air. 
Into a stiff cross-Pacific breeze.
There are a number of people warning of this danger; none are getting much 
play. For example, this from the Japan Times (quoted here):
In November, Tepco plans to begin the delicate operation of removing spent fuel 
from Reactor No. 4 [with] radiation equivalent to 14,000 times the amount 
released by the Hiroshima atomic bomb. …. It remains vulnerable to any further 
shocks, and is also at risk 
from ground liquefaction. Removing its spent fuel, which contains deadly 
plutonium, is an urgent task….
>The consequences could be far more severe than any nuclear accident the world 
>has ever seen.If a fuel rod is dropped, breaks or becomes entangled while 
>being removed, possible worst case scenarios include a big explosion, a 
>meltdown in the pool, 
or a large fire. Any of these situations could lead to massive releases 
of deadly radionuclides into the atmosphere, putting much of Japan — including 
Tokyo and Yokohama — and even neighboring countries at serious risk.
A lot depends on what blows up, if anything. If only Unit 4 blows up, Japan is 
at risk, including Tokyo, and the nuclear dust will pass 
across the Pacific to the U.S. People on the West Coast will be warned 
to keep their windows closed for a while.
If the whole facility blows up, one scientist is talking about moving her 
family to the southern hemisphere. From the article quoted above:
Chernobyl’s first 1986 fallout reached California within 
ten days. Fukushima’s in 2011 arrived in less than a week. A new fuel 
fire at Unit 4 would pour out a continuous stream of lethal radioactive poisons 
for centuries.
We’re in very apocalyptic territory, with a wide and unknown range of outcomes. 
Take that for what it’s worth — little could go wrong, or 
much.
Should TEPCO be allowed to attempt this on its own?
Should Japan be allowed to attempt this on its own?
This is the heart of today’s problem. In reality, 
the events that are about to unfold at Fukushima in the next 60 days 
will affect much of the world. They could in fact change life in the 
northern hemisphere, if the worst of the worst occurs.
The Japanese government has ceded control of the next phrase — 
removing more than 1300 fuel rods from Reactor 4 — to TEPCO. (Seems that Japan 
has a “corporate capture of government” problem similar to our 
own.) Reuters (quoted here):
Tokyo Electric Power Co (Tepco) is already in a losing battle to stop 
radioactive water overflowing from another part of the facility, and experts 
question whether it will be able to pull off the removal of all the assemblies 
successfully.
>“They are going to have difficulty in removing a significant number 
of the rods,” said Arnie Gundersen, a veteran U.S. nuclear engineer and 
director of Fairewinds Energy Education, who used to build fuel assemblies.
>The operation, beginning this November at the plant’s Reactor No. 4, is 
>fraught with danger, including the possibility of a large release of radiation 
>if a fuel assembly breaks, gets stuck or gets too close to an adjacent bundle, 
>said Gundersen and other nuclear experts. … The utility says it 
recognizes the operation will be difficult but believes it can carry it 
out safely.
>Nonetheless, Tepco inspires little confidence. 
Sharply criticized for failing to protect the Fukushima plant against 
natural disasters, its handling of the crisis since then has also been 
lambasted.
Who has sovereignty here? Who has control? Better, who should have sovereignty 
and control?
TEPCO has sovereignty, ceded by the government of Japan. But should 
Japan itself be allowed sovereignty, or should “the world” take over the 
problem in its own interest?
Theoretically, it’s an interesting question, since we don’t generally talk 
about removing sovereignty from other first-world nations — only 
little guys in places like the Middle East or Latin America who bother us. Yet 
some writers are in fact worried that the 
consequences for Japan include bankrupting the economy and … loss of 
sovereignty. Japan Focus:
This is literally a matter of national security – another mistake by TEPCO 
could have incredibly costly, even fatal, consequences for Japan.
And according to former U.N. adviser Akio Matsumura (quoted here):
The meltdown and unprecedented release of radiation that 
would ensue is the worst case scenario that then-Prime Minister Kan and 
other former officials have discussed in the past months. He [Kan] 
warned during his speech at the World Economic Forum in Davos that such 
an accident would force the evacuation of the 35 million people in Tokyo, close 
half of Japan and compromise the nation’s sovereignty.
>Such a humanitarian and environmental catastrophe is unimaginable. 
Hiroshi Tasaka, a nuclear engineer and special adviser to Prime Minister Kan 
immediately following the crisis, said the crisis “just opened 
Pandora’s Box.”
That’s then-Prime Minister Kan quoted in the bolded comment. As I 
said, it’s an interesting theoretical problem. Too bad it’s not just 
theoretical. This will all happen in November.
Bottom line — Should TEPCO be allowed to manage the removal of the fuel rods in 
November?
It comes down to this — TEPCO has shown itself to be both incompetent and 
deceitful. The government of Japan has shown itself willing to allow TEPCO to 
control the “cleanup” and “decommissioning” of the Fukushima facility.
Who should have control at Fukushima? TEPCO (after 
all, they “own it”)? The government of Japan (after all, it’s “their” 
country)? Or others in the world, acting in their own real interest? 
Harvey Wasserman, writing in Common Dreams (my emphasis and paragraphing):
We are now within two months of what may be humankind’s 
most dangerous moment since the Cuban Missile Crisis. There is no excuse for 
not acting. All the resources our species can muster must be 
focused on the fuel pool at Fukushima Unit 4. … Neither Tokyo Electric 
nor the government of Japan can go this alone. There is no excuse for 
deploying anything less than a coordinated team of the planet’s best 
scientists and engineers. …
>We have two months or less to act. For now, we are petitioning the United 
>Nations and President Obama to 
mobilize the global scientific and engineering community to take charge 
at Fukushima and the job of moving these fuel rods to safety.
>If you have a better idea, please follow it. But do something and do it now. 
>The clock is ticking.
I swear, the world is closer and closer to reading like a series of 
thrillers, isn’t it? I’m not sure what to make of all this; it seems so … 
thriller-y.
If you want to read more, your key articles (including lots of embedded links) 
are these:
▪ The Crisis at Fukushima’s Unit 4 Demands a Global Take-Over [Harvey Wasserman 
at Common Dreams]
▪ The REAL Fukushima Danger [Washingtonblog; lots of links]
▪ The Top Short-Term Threat to Humanity: The Fuel Pools of Fukushima 
[Washingtonblog; lots of links]
▪ Fukushima Daiichi nuclear disaster [Wikipedia]
Guess we’ll find out in November whether this works out or not. In 
the meantime, I thought you should know that some people are having this 
discussion, even if it’s not happening on TV, yet. (Know anyone at 
MSNBC you’d like to alert? Feel free; you don’t need permission to talk 
to the media.)
GP
http://americablog.com/2013/09/risky-repair-fukushima-spill-15000x-radiation-hiroshima-85x-chernobyl.html


(Updated) Risky repair of Fukushima could spill 15,000x radiation of Hiroshima, 
create 85 Chernobyls
9/23/2013 10:00am by Gaius Publius   
UPDATE: I spoke about this issue with Nicole Sandler on the Nicole Sandler 
Show. That discussion is here. Start the player, then advance to 26:54 to hear 
our segment. Thanks.
________
Does the planned November 2013 removal of the spent 
fuel rods stored at Fukushima’s heavily damaged Reactor 4 need a global 
intervention, or should TEPCO (Tokyo Electric Power Co., a for-profit 
company) be allowed to go it alone?
So far, the Japanese government is allowing TEPCO to handle it. Why should you 
care? Read on.
As you should know by now, the nuclear power plant at Fukushima underwent a 
great deal of damage in 2011 due to an earthquake and a tsunami. Wikipedia (my 
emphasis; some reparagraphing):
The plant comprised six separate boiling water reactors originally designed 
byGeneral Electric (GE) and maintained by the Tokyo Electric Power 
Company(TEPCO). At the time of the earthquake, reactor 4 had been de-fueled and 
reactors 5 and 6 were in cold shutdown for planned maintenance.
>Immediately after the earthquake, the remaining reactors 1–3 shut down the 
>sustained fission reactions automatically, inserting control rods in what is 
>termed the SCRAM, following this, emergency generators came online to power 
>electronics 
and coolant systems. The tsunami arrived some 50 minutes after the 
initial earthquake.
>The 13m tsunami overwhelmed the plant’s seawall, which was only 10m 
high, quickly flooding the low-lying rooms in which the emergency 
generators were housed (The tsunami was photographed). The flooded 
diesel generators failed, cutting power to the critical pumps that must 
continuously circulate coolant water through a Generation II reactor for 
several days to keep it from melting down after shut down.
>After the secondary emergency pumps (run by back-up batteries) ran out, one 
>day after the tsunami, the pumps stopped and the reactors began to overheat 
>due to the normal high radioactive decay heat produced in the first few days 
>after nuclear reactor shutdown (smaller amounts of this heat normally 
continue to be released for years, but are not enough to cause fuel 
melting).
We want to focus on reactor unit 4. Here’s a schematic of what one of these 
reactor units looks like (skillfully designed by GE, who wants 
you to know they “bring good things to life”):
Fukushima Mark I-style reactor and fuel storage unit
What you care about is ” SFP,” where the fuel rods are stored. Here’s the 
legend provide with this sketch:
Rough sketch of a typical Boiling water reactor (BWR) 
Mark I Concrete Containment with Steel Torus including downcomers, as 
used in the BWR/1, BWR/2, BWR/3 and some BWR/4 model reactors.
>DW = Drywell
>WW = Wetwell
>SFP = Spent Fuel Pool
>RPV = Reactor Pressure Vessel
>SCSW = Secondary Concrete Shield Wall
Notice where the fuel rods are stored — high off the ground and in water, in 
the area marked SFP.
Here’s what Fukushima unit 4 looks like today:
Fukushima Reactor 4 today
Notice that it has no roof. The spent fuel rods (and about 200 “fully loaded” 
unspent rods — remember that “reactor 4 had been de-fueled” 
prior to the accident) are stored in a water-containing chamber high off the 
ground in a crumbling room and building without a roof.
How will “they” get the damaged fuel rods out of that crumbling room?
This is the problem today. There are about 1300 fuel rods stored in that room, 
packed together vertically in racks. Think of a pack of cigarettes standing 
upright with the top of the pack removed. Normally, the movement of fuel rods 
is done by a computer-driven 
machine that reaches into the room from above and removes or replaces a 
fuel rod by drawing it upward or lowering it downward.
The machine knows to the millimeter where each fuel rod is located. Also, the 
rods are undamaged — perfectly straight.
The problem is that this pack of cigarettes is crumpled, and the 
process must done manually. Therefore, the likelihood that some of the 
fuel rods will break is high. If that happens and fuel rods are exposed 
to the air — BOOM. What does “boom” look like?
Fukushima’s owner, Tokyo Electric (Tepco), says that 
within as few as 60 days it may begin trying to remove more than 1300 
spent fuel rods from a badly damaged pool perched 100 feet in the air. 
The pool rests on a badly damaged building that is tilting, sinking and 
could easily come down in the next earthquake, if not on its own.
>Some 400 tons of fuel in that pool could spew out more than 15,000 times as 
>much radiation as was released at Hiroshima.
Meanwhile, at the rest of the site:
More than 6,000 fuel assemblies now sit in a common pool 
just 50 meters from Unit Four. Some contain plutonium. The pool has no 
containment over it. It’s vulnerable to loss of coolant, the collapse of a 
nearby building, another earthquake, another tsunami and more.
>Overall,more than 11,000 fuel assemblies are scattered around the Fukushima 
>site. According to long-time expert and former Department of Energy official 
>Robert Alvarez, there is more than 85 times as much lethal cesium on site as 
>was released at Chernobyl.
If the whole site blows, “boom” could mean the release of85 times as much 
radioactive cesium into the air as was released at Chernobyl. Into the air. 
Into a stiff cross-Pacific breeze.
There are a number of people warning of this danger; none are getting much 
play. For example, this from the Japan Times (quoted here):
In November, Tepco plans to begin the delicate operation of removing spent fuel 
from Reactor No. 4 [with] radiation equivalent to 14,000 times the amount 
released by the Hiroshima atomic bomb. …. It remains vulnerable to any further 
shocks, and is also at risk 
from ground liquefaction. Removing its spent fuel, which contains deadly 
plutonium, is an urgent task….
>The consequences could be far more severe than any nuclear accident the world 
>has ever seen.If a fuel rod is dropped, breaks or becomes entangled while 
>being removed, possible worst case scenarios include a big explosion, a 
>meltdown in the pool, 
or a large fire. Any of these situations could lead to massive releases 
of deadly radionuclides into the atmosphere, putting much of Japan — including 
Tokyo and Yokohama — and even neighboring countries at serious risk.
A lot depends on what blows up, if anything. If only Unit 4 blows up, Japan is 
at risk, including Tokyo, and the nuclear dust will pass 
across the Pacific to the U.S. People on the West Coast will be warned 
to keep their windows closed for a while.
If the whole facility blows up, one scientist is talking about moving her 
family to the southern hemisphere. From the article quoted above:
Chernobyl’s first 1986 fallout reached California within 
ten days. Fukushima’s in 2011 arrived in less than a week. A new fuel 
fire at Unit 4 would pour out a continuous stream of lethal radioactive poisons 
for centuries.
We’re in very apocalyptic territory, with a wide and unknown range of outcomes. 
Take that for what it’s worth — little could go wrong, or 
much.
Should TEPCO be allowed to attempt this on its own?
Should Japan be allowed to attempt this on its own?
This is the heart of today’s problem. In reality, 
the events that are about to unfold at Fukushima in the next 60 days 
will affect much of the world. They could in fact change life in the 
northern hemisphere, if the worst of the worst occurs.
The Japanese government has ceded control of the next phrase — 
removing more than 1300 fuel rods from Reactor 4 — to TEPCO. (Seems that Japan 
has a “corporate capture of government” problem similar to our 
own.) Reuters (quoted here):
Tokyo Electric Power Co (Tepco) is already in a losing battle to stop 
radioactive water overflowing from another part of the facility, and experts 
question whether it will be able to pull off the removal of all the assemblies 
successfully.
>“They are going to have difficulty in removing a significant number 
of the rods,” said Arnie Gundersen, a veteran U.S. nuclear engineer and 
director of Fairewinds Energy Education, who used to build fuel assemblies.
>The operation, beginning this November at the plant’s Reactor No. 4, is 
>fraught with danger, including the possibility of a large release of radiation 
>if a fuel assembly breaks, gets stuck or gets too close to an adjacent bundle, 
>said Gundersen and other nuclear experts. … The utility says it 
recognizes the operation will be difficult but believes it can carry it 
out safely.
>Nonetheless, Tepco inspires little confidence. 
Sharply criticized for failing to protect the Fukushima plant against 
natural disasters, its handling of the crisis since then has also been 
lambasted.
Who has sovereignty here? Who has control? Better, who should have sovereignty 
and control?
TEPCO has sovereignty, ceded by the government of Japan. But should 
Japan itself be allowed sovereignty, or should “the world” take over the 
problem in its own interest?
Theoretically, it’s an interesting question, since we don’t generally talk 
about removing sovereignty from other first-world nations — only 
little guys in places like the Middle East or Latin America who bother us. Yet 
some writers are in fact worried that the 
consequences for Japan include bankrupting the economy and … loss of 
sovereignty. Japan Focus:
This is literally a matter of national security – another mistake by TEPCO 
could have incredibly costly, even fatal, consequences for Japan.
And according to former U.N. adviser Akio Matsumura (quoted here):
The meltdown and unprecedented release of radiation that 
would ensue is the worst case scenario that then-Prime Minister Kan and 
other former officials have discussed in the past months. He [Kan] 
warned during his speech at the World Economic Forum in Davos that such 
an accident would force the evacuation of the 35 million people in Tokyo, close 
half of Japan and compromise the nation’s sovereignty.
>Such a humanitarian and environmental catastrophe is unimaginable. 
Hiroshi Tasaka, a nuclear engineer and special adviser to Prime Minister Kan 
immediately following the crisis, said the crisis “just opened 
Pandora’s Box.”
That’s then-Prime Minister Kan quoted in the bolded comment. As I 
said, it’s an interesting theoretical problem. Too bad it’s not just 
theoretical. This will all happen in November.
Bottom line — Should TEPCO be allowed to manage the removal of the fuel rods in 
November?
It comes down to this — TEPCO has shown itself to be both incompetent and 
deceitful. The government of Japan has shown itself willing to allow TEPCO to 
control the “cleanup” and “decommissioning” of the Fukushima facility.
Who should have control at Fukushima? TEPCO (after 
all, they “own it”)? The government of Japan (after all, it’s “their” 
country)? Or others in the world, acting in their own real interest? 
Harvey Wasserman, writing in Common Dreams (my emphasis and paragraphing):
We are now within two months of what may be humankind’s 
most dangerous moment since the Cuban Missile Crisis. There is no excuse for 
not acting. All the resources our species can muster must be 
focused on the fuel pool at Fukushima Unit 4. … Neither Tokyo Electric 
nor the government of Japan can go this alone. There is no excuse for 
deploying anything less than a coordinated team of the planet’s best 
scientists and engineers. …
>We have two months or less to act. For now, we are petitioning the United 
>Nations and President Obama to 
mobilize the global scientific and engineering community to take charge 
at Fukushima and the job of moving these fuel rods to safety.
>If you have a better idea, please follow it. But do something and do it now. 
>The clock is ticking.
I swear, the world is closer and closer to reading like a series of 
thrillers, isn’t it? I’m not sure what to make of all this; it seems so … 
thriller-y.
If you want to read more, your key articles (including lots of embedded links) 
are these:
▪ The Crisis at Fukushima’s Unit 4 Demands a Global Take-Over [Harvey Wasserman 
at Common Dreams]
▪ The REAL Fukushima Danger [Washingtonblog; lots of links]
▪ The Top Short-Term Threat to Humanity: The Fuel Pools of Fukushima 
[Washingtonblog; lots of links]
▪ Fukushima Daiichi nuclear disaster [Wikipedia]
Guess we’ll find out in November whether this works out or not. In 
the meantime, I thought you should know that some people are having this 
discussion, even if it’s not happening on TV, yet. (Know anyone at 
MSNBC you’d like to alert? Feel free; you don’t need permission to talk 
to the media.)
GP
http://americablog.com/2013/09/risky-repair-fukushima-spill-15000x-radiation-hiroshima-85x-chernobyl.html

[Non-text portions of this message have been removed]



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