On Thu 2012/01/19 08:33:14 PDT, Rob Seaman wrote
in a message to: Leap Second Discussion List <[email protected]>

>BTW, is there anything actually informative in the youtube video?

Yes.  This is what he said:

  "For the first years we won't notice, but as I said before, after
   a hundred years the deviation will be probably in the order of
   one minute and thirty seconds, and a quarter of an hour after
   one thousand years, and maybe one hour after three thousand or
   four thousand years."

The ABC reporter got it right - he asserts linearity.  I'm amazed
that noone on this list picked up that glaring error.

Approximately one hour after 600 years is the canonical figure.

Mark Calabretta
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