You have anticipated many of the things that go in to the models! They use their own language of course, like “glacial rebound”.
> On Jul 15, 2020, at 2:33 PM, Poul-Henning Kamp <[email protected]> wrote: > > -------- > Demetrios Matsakis writes: > >> rise, and the Earth gets rounder. But the same people who do that math >> say today's warming, dramatic as it may be for our biosphere, is >> too little for this particular effect. People have gotten that stuff >> wrong since George Darwin, though. > > I think the basic redistribution of water will be a wash, pun > intended, for instance the water in the Greenland icecape gets > lowered some kilometers, but a lot of that water will end up in the > central pacific, right on the Equator, due to the local gravitation. > > If we get a negative leap, it will be because of "noise", both from > whatever is going on under our feet, but possibly also from climate > change transient phenomena, the crust under Greenland bouncing up > under lighter load, ocean current modulations or, more unlikely > reconfigurations. > > But still eyeballing the LOD curve, I'd give it 50/50 before 2038. > > -- > Poul-Henning Kamp | UNIX since Zilog Zeus 3.20 > [email protected] | TCP/IP since RFC 956 > FreeBSD committer | BSD since 4.3-tahoe > Never attribute to malice what can adequately be explained by incompetence. _______________________________________________ LEAPSECS mailing list [email protected] https://pairlist6.pair.net/mailman/listinfo/leapsecs
