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Date sent:              Tue, 04 May 1999 18:03:51 -0500
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Subject:                WWN: New Worldwatch Paper

NEWS FROM THE WORLDWATCH INSTITUTE



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1. Register and download Worldwatch publications for free.

2. Press release for "Ending Violent Conflict," by Michael Renner,
Worldwatch Paper #146.

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New Worldwatch Paper Available for FREE download

Michael Renner's new Worldwatch Paper, "Ending Violent 
Conflict," is now available as a free Adobe PDF file on the 
Worldwatch web site. To download this free paper, please go to the 
Worldwatch web site and register for free downloads 
(http://www.worldwatch.org/register/reg.html).  

Once you have registered you can get your free copy of this very 
topical new study of the steps we need to take to deal with the 
realities of conflict in a post-Cold War world.  

As a registered user, you can also download a free copy of Mary 
Caron's feature article in the latest issue of World Watch, "The 
Politics of Life and Death." In the article, Caron looks at the deadly 
consequences when politicians and governments refuse to 
aggressively confront the challenge of HIV/AIDS. She reviews the 
experiences of various countries over the past two decades and the 
set of policies that have worked, at least at mobilizing communities 
to keep HIV in check.  

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Press release for Michael Renner's "Ending Violent Conflict," 
Worldwatch Paper # 146.

KOSOVO AND BEYOND:
PEACEMAKING IN A POST-COLD WAR WORLD

The unfolding humanitarian disaster in the Balkans has exposed 
the inadequacies of international peace and security strategies, 
dramatizing the need for an entirely new approach to security 
policy in the post-Cold War world, reports a new study from the 
Worldwatch Institute, a Washington, DC-based research 
organization.  

"The humanitarian disaster in Kosovo illustrates the choice we face 
at the beginning of a new century: Will we be overwhelmed by an 
endless string of internal wars capable of devastating entire 
countries and perhaps even re-igniting interstate confrontations, or 
will we build the foundations for a lasting peace?" said Michael 
Renner, author of Ending Violent Conflict.  

The Kosovo conflict brings to a close the most violent century in 
the history of humankind. Three times as many people--110 million--
fell victim to war in this century as in all the wars from the first 
century AD to 1899. As in Kosovo, most wars since World War II 
have been internal conflicts. Since 1989, 97 out of 103 armed 
conflicts were internal. And 70 percent of all war casualties since 
World War II have been civilians, rising to more than 90 percent in 
the 1990s.  

Given this change in the nature of conflict, Renner argues for a 
multi-layered strategy based on simultaneously pursuing 
disarmament, promoting conflict prevention and mediation, 
fashioning effective, permanent peacekeeping forces, protecting 
human rights, prosecuting war crimes, and invigorating global 
institutions such as the United Nations and the World Court.  

"To be successful, these steps will need to be linked with a 
broader human security agenda designed to strengthen the fabric 
of society," Renner said. This requires recognition of the underlying 
causes of these conflicts-poverty, social inequality, ethnic 
tensions, population growth, and environmental degradation-and 
how they interact and push people toward violent conflict.  

Governments may prefer what they regard as lightning-quick 
military action with "decisive" outcomes over the patient and early 
commitments required for successful conflict prevention and 
mediation. "Military means are usually inappropriate for 
humanitarian action and largely irrelevant for peacemaking efforts," 
Renner said. "And they absorb resources that could be better used 
for conflict prevention."  

Although conflict prevention is by no means an easy task, its 
difficulties pale beside those of ending fighting once large-scale 
bloodshed has occurred. Renner calls for investing in an array of 
preventive mechanisms: building early conflict detection networks; 
establishing permanent dispute arbitration centers; setting up an 
international corps of skilled and experienced individuals to serve 
as roving mediators; and positioning peacekeeping forces between 
adversaries in order to provide time and space for mediation.  

Conflict prevention may involve positioning peacekeepers between 
would-be-attackers and their intended victims. But more 
fundamentally, conflict prevention is about recognizing and 
ameliorating the underlying pressures that lead to violent disputes 
in the first place, from the unequal distribution of wealth to the lack 
of jobs to the degradation of ecosystems.  

Renner suggests that a much greater emphasis on human rights is 
a critical ingredient in ending violence, both at the individual level 
and at the level of moving toward a fair and just civil society. With 
good governance and accountability, there can be sufficient 
political space for societies to resolve disputes peacefully.  

"If individual and collective human rights are respected, then civil 
society can flourish," said Renner, citing the dramatic growth in the 
participation of citizens' groups and their involvement in the wide 
range of issues that are the preconditions for peace.  

Non-governmental organizations (NGOs) have scored some striking 
victories recently with the adoption of treaties to outlaw anti-
personnel landmines and to establish an International Criminal 
Court. And NGOs are now working to launch a campaign against 
small arms proliferation and to move toward the abolition of nuclear 
weapons. In a meeting echoing the first world peace conference 
100 years ago in the Hague, hundreds of NGOs will be coming 
together in the Hague Appeal for Peace conference, May 11-15, to 
establish a new peace and justice agenda for the twenty-first 
century.  

Renner also calls for international organizations, particularly the 
United Nations, to become more important actors in preventing 
violence. But the UN receives scant resources and commands little 
political power. And it is now increasingly in danger of being 
sidelined by interventions like the NATO bombing in the Balkans. 
"Now is the time to reinvigorate, not starve the UN," said Renner. 
He describes a number of measures to strengthen the UN, such as 
the overdue reform of the Security Council, to make it more 
representative of the world's nations.  

"It's also time to get serious about far-reaching disarmament," said 
Renner. "We must cut down on the arms already in circulation and 
limit new production." During the Cold War, weapons were 
dispersed indiscriminately across the planet. These military 
leftovers are a source for cheap and easily available arms, tempting 
people to rely on violence to resolve conflicts. In order to be just 
and effective, constraints on armaments need to be universally 
binding, applying to all states equally.  

Renner cautions against the facile argument that as national 
economies become more and more integrated into the global 
economy, an increasingly interdependent world will of necessity 
lead to growing global cooperation and make military-centered 
concepts of security far less relevant, that economic interest will 
automatically trump belligerence. But this is not an inevitable 
outcome. Globalization itself carries the potential for tension and 
conflict because the benefits and burdens are distributed in such 
spectacularly uneven fashion. "In the end, a sense of global human 
community does not come about simply as a result of economic 
structures and cold financial calculation," Renner said. "It needs to 
be carefully nurtured with all the tools at our disposal." 
-END-  


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