EAST TIMOR ON THE BRINK OF FREEDOM OR CHAOS?

By Rob Durbridge, Federal Secretary, AEU


In chaos theory there's the beat of a butterfly's wing in the forest which 
can cause a hurricane or nothing at all...it feels a bit like that in East 
Timor today.  Everyone is hanging between hope and despair, victory or 
chaos.  Whenever stones are thrown or shots are heard at night people 
wonder, "Is this it? Will the military move in now?"

Despite these fears the process continues to move forward a little 
further.  All observers believe that if the people get the chance to vote 
freely, they will vote overwhelmingly for independence.  The main factor 
staying the hand of the Indonesian military is world opinion, with the 
knowledge that the people will fight on forever if necessary as the grim 
alternative.

The independence umbrella organisation CNRT is running a successful 
low-risk campaign which involves the tried and true "doorknock" method of 
successful elections.  The spirit and discipline of the supporters who 
gathered for the independence campaign launch on Sunday last was inspiring 
and confidence-building.

Currently the independence army, Falantil, is in cantonments created by the 
UN Agreement.  The 25th anniversary of this force will be celebrated on the 
20th of August when people will converge on these areas to celebrate and 
pay tribute to the sacrifice the fighters have made.   While Falantil has 
been observing the agreement, it is apparent that the pro-integration 
militias are not, with provocations in the western border areas and some 
cold-blooded murders of independence supporters.

The Indonesian military have a new commander in East Timor who is 
projecting a non-intervention policy.  A billboard on the ABRI headquarters 
in Dili reads, "If you love East Timor, whether pro-autonomy or 
independence, you will keep the peace." The Fretilin leadership has met 
with the commander and is participating in a Security Commission under the 
auspices of UNAMET.

After 30 August, an interregnum between Indonesian and UN authority will 
occur pending the Indonesian Congress decisions.  That now looms as a 
dangerous period for provocations designed to panic the UN out of the 
country and leave it to the warlords. CNRT are working on a reconciliation 
approach to prevent retaliation on both sides and to undermine those 
Indonesian interests who are using the cover of pro-autonomy Timorese.

The Australian union movement is recognised by the independence leadership 
for the material and political support we are providing to the campaign. We 
can be proud of our contribution to the freedom of what should be the first 
new nation of the new millennium; it is in the highest traditions of our 
movement.

The CNRT opened its campaign at its new headquarters on the seafront in 
Dili with an inspiring combination of traditional dance and music, 
flagraising, popular music and speechmaking on Sunday 15th August..  The 
atmosphere was electric...for the first time since 1975 there was open and 
legitimate mass political activity.  Great joy was shown at the songs of 
the Falantil guerilla army choir and at the taped message from Xanana 
Gusmao from detention.

The first edition of "Vox Populi" the campaign newpaper was distributed at 
this launch, containing messages of support and reports on various aspects 
of the campaign. A message was composed from the ACTU to be run in "Vox 
Populi" on the basis of ACTU policy in support of independence and 
non-violence.   This paper costs around several thousand dollars  per day, 
is  published by a commercial printer and will run throughout the period 
leading up to 30 August.

Time has been booked on a local radio station run by the Catholic Church to 
address the population which will cost around $4000. Another need is for 
communications equipment for campaigning and for security.  These sets cost 
approximately $500 and donations for them can also be made direct to the 
CNRT account.

Contributions to the  campaign can be made at the bank account number 
provided by CNRT.  This can be obtained from Alan Matheson, International 
Officer at the ACTU, or from the writer.

The Campaign directors have asked for the maximum number of observers to be 
present particularly in the Western regions of the country, such as the 
troublespot in Maliana.  The Australian Council for Overseas Aid has 
representatives in Dili and the countryside to assist in this work and will 
accredit observers for UNAMET which is the body supervising the poll.  One 
difficulty with this process is the lack of seats on flights to get into 
East Timor.  However, volunteers willing to undertake this role before, 
during or after the ballot, should contact ACFOA for details through Pat 
Walsh at 03 9417 7505.  ACFOA can provide the best outline of health 
requirements and equipment needs.

The ACTU has become the only non-Timorese organisation to be directly 
involved in the campaign through the provision of office and computer 
resources and a full-time worker who speaks English and Bahasa and can 
liaise with international media.

Rob Durbridge has visited East Timor twice in recent months for the AEU and 
the ACTU, , and returned on the 16th of August.





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