The Sydney Morning Herald
http://www.smh.com.au/news/9912/08/text/world1.html

40,000 trapped as military closes in

Date: 08/12/99

By DAVID FILIPOV in Western Chechnya

Scores of terrified refugees were reported to be fleeing the Chechen 
capital, Grozny, after the Russian military issued an ultimatum saying they 
had five days to leave the city or die, but as many as 40,000 civilians 
remained trapped.

Many of them, too old, sick or frightened to leave, or with nowhere to go, 
have spent the past two months cowering, hungry and cold, in Grozny's 
cellars and bomb shelters.

Scores of people were making their way down this narrow road from Grozny 
after reading the Russian warning in leaflets distributed on Monday as 
troops closed in on the capital, offering civilians a single ''safe 
corridor'' out.

''You are surrounded, all roads to Grozny are blocked. You have no chance 
of winning,'' leaflets dropped over the city read.

Russia's migration service said that it expected 20,000 to 30,000 people to 
flee Grozny in the next five days.

Mr Nikolai Koshman, Russia's Chechnya boss, said he believed 40,000 
civilians were still there.

The Russian military is considering using aerosol explosive bombs, also 
known as ''fuel-air'' bombs, according to Mr Pavel Felgenhauer, an 
independent defence analyst based in Moscow.

The weapons first create a cloud of inflammable gas over a large area, 
which seeps into buildings, bunkers and anywhere there is a free flow of air.

The gas is then ignited by a second stage of the weapon, causing a 
terrifying explosion which, Mr Felgenhauer said, ''destroys men and 
buildings in the same fashion as a leaking gas cylinder can destroy an 
entire city block''.

Mindful of their huge losses in Moscow's failed 1994-1996 campaign to 
defeat the Chechen rebels, Russian commanders have pledged not to storm 
Grozny with ground troops.

The military is apparently hoping the aerosol bombs can help dislodge the 
rebels from their elaborate system of underground defences in tunnels, 
sewers and Soviet-era bomb shelters. But aerosol bombs would certainly kill 
many civilians huddled in ruined buildings and shallow basements.

On the highway leading west from Grozny, families came out on foot or by 
car, telling of a city in terror. Many people, especially the elderly and 
poor, remained trapped, they said.

Taisa, 37, said she had offered to help her neighbour, an elderly Russian 
woman, to flee. ''She said she would stay behind because she was too tired 
to flee. 'If God wills it, we will live,' she told me. I left her all the 
food and water we had.''

Russia completed its encirclement of Grozny at the weekend, but a rebel 
spokesman, Mr Movladi Udugov, said by phone from an unknown location in 
southern Chechnya that there were still ''enough fighters to ensure the 
city's defence. All [fighters] who are there are prepared for whatever 
happens, and nobody plans to abandon the city.''

Federal troops claim to have provided safe escape routes for refugees, but 
people who have fled the war say Russian aircraft regularly strafe convoys 
leading into neighbouring Ingushetia.

Last Friday, a refugee column was shot at by unidentified attackers. 
Federal spokesmen shrugged off the suggestion that they could have been 
Russian troops as ''disinformation''.

Chechen authorities claim about 5,000 civilians have been killed in the 
three-month war, but the figure is impossible to confirm.

Russian forces appeared to have taken control of the town of Argun, a key 
eastern entry point into Grozny, where they raised the Russian flag for 
domestic television cameras after days of intense fighting.

The battles have apparently shifted to the south, to the city of 
Urus-Martan, which Russian forces want to control before they attempt to 
seize Grozny.

The Boston Globe and agencies

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