No, actually, he'd probably get less than 5%. People in the District - and btw, I live right smack dab in the middle of TX CD 14 - would be royally pissed off at Ron for leaving the GOP and lying to his constituents, so much so, in fact that they'd probably support an Armadillo before Ron.
--- In [email protected], "terry12622000" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > > I did say might but I still doubt he would get as little as 5%.--- > In [email protected], "Eric Dondero Rittberg" > <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > > > > He would get crushed by any Republican running against him. Look, > > you obviously don't know squat about real world politics and even > > less about Texas politics. > > > > Republicans south of Houston have always been extremely suspicious > > of Ron Paul. They view him as a Libertarian infiltrator in the > > GOP. They like him personally, but think he's a bit of a crank > > oddball. And most are chomping at the bit for him to retire. > > > > I can think of 2 or 3 big-time GOPers that would cherish the > > opportunity of a Ron Paul run as a Libertarian. Ron would probably > > end up with less than 5% if that. > > > > Do you have any idea how badly organized the Libertarian Party is > > here in Texas? At least in Houston, the Harris County LP is able > to > > have meetings once a month that attract 5 to 10. In Ron's District > > there's maybe one single LP County Organization and that's in > > Brazoria (Ron's and my home County). They get maybe 2 to 3 people > > each month to meet at the Golden Corral for Buffet. There's maybe > 5 > > to 10 other LPers scattered in Ron's District. I imagine a few in > > Galveston. > > > > Are you seriously suggesting that less than 10 people and a few > > Houstinite Libertarians would have the strength, organization, and > > money to go up against the entire Republican establishment in CD > 14, > > along with the entire Republican volunteer network? > > > > It would be a slaughter. Utter embarrassment for Ron and the > entire > > libertarian movement. Would set us back here in Texas a decade. > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > --- In [email protected], "terry12622000" > > <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > > > You know he still might win by a lot though he might lose some > > points > > > to a Republican running in that district. Is a runoff required if > > no > > > one gets over 50%?--- In [email protected], "steven > > > linnabary" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > > > > ----- Original Message ----- > > > > From: "Eric Dondero Rittberg" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> > > > > > > > > > Ron is way too old. Believe me, he is not up to a > > Presidential > > > run. > > > > > He hardly even does any media here in Houston any more. As a > > > > > constituent and former long-time employee of his, if I had to > > > guess I'd > > > > > say he's probably a 50/50 for a reelection run. I wouldn't be > > > > > surprised at all if he decided not to run in 2006, certainly > > not > > > in > > > > > 2008 for reelection. > > > > > > > > > > Why don't you concentrate on someone more realistic like > Cong. > > > Jeff > > > > > Flake of Arizona or Cong. David Dreier of California. Both > > are > > > just as > > > > > libertarian, younger, more appealing candidates. > > > > > > > > > > Unfortunately, Ron is past his prime. > > > > > > > > > > > > > > Eric- > > > > > > > > Just out of curiosity, what would be the chances of Ron Paul > > > seeking his > > > > last reelection as a Libertarian? > > > > > > > > If he were to win, he would shake up the establishment > > republican > > > party more > > > > than anything else he could do. And, he would have two years > > for > > > the > > > > republicans to get their act together (I know it is a long > shot, > > > but if you > > > > believe the republican party has potential, then who am I to > > > argue?), and > > > > the LP would get far more media than without a member of > > congress. > > > > > > > > PEACE > > > > Steven R. Linnabary, Treasurer > > > > Franklin County Libertarian Party > > > > (614) 891-8841 > > > > P.O.Box#115; Blacklick, OH 43004-0115 > > > > > > > > "When you make peaceful revolution impossible, you make violent > > > revolution > > > > inevitable" John F. Kennedy > > > ------------------------ Yahoo! Groups Sponsor --------------------~--> Fair play? Video games influencing politics. Click and talk back! http://us.click.yahoo.com/VpgUKB/pzNLAA/cUmLAA/KlSolB/TM --------------------------------------------------------------------~-> ForumWebSiteAt http://groups.yahoo.com/group/Libertarian Yahoo! Groups Links <*> To visit your group on the web, go to: http://groups.yahoo.com/group/Libertarian/ <*> To unsubscribe from this group, send an email to: [EMAIL PROTECTED] <*> Your use of Yahoo! Groups is subject to: http://docs.yahoo.com/info/terms/
