Good thing they are spending billions of dollars of money that we don't have.
  
http://today.reuters.com/news/newsArticleSearch.aspx?storyID=205899+28-Nov-2005+RTRS&srch=Govt+lacks+ways+to+gauge+wins+against+terrorism
  By Caroline Drees, Security Correspondent
  WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The Bush administration's yardsticks for progress in 
its fight against terrorism are inadequate and do not show whether the United 
States is winning or losing, a study by a congressional think tank says.
  "Although four years have gone by since September 11, government agencies 
have still not agreed on criteria to measure progress against terrorism, even 
though billions of dollars have been spent," said Raphael Perl, author of the 
internal report by the Congressional Research Service.
  "The risk is that without these criteria, we just take action and we measure 
progress retrospectively against what we've done. And of course since we've 
done some stuff, we've made progress," he told Reuters in an interview on 
Monday.
  Statistics often cited by U.S. officials -- such as the death or capture of 
more than two-thirds of top al Qaeda leaders and the seizure of over $200 
million in terrorist funds -- do not show how much damage has actually been 
inflicted on militant groups, the report said.
  A copy of Perl's study, which was made available to congressional officials 
on Friday when Congress was closed for the Thanksgiving holiday, was obtained 
by Reuters on Monday.
  Administration officials were not immediately available for comment.
  In the past, the administration has also pointed to developments such as the 
overthrow of the governments in Afghanistan and Iraq, the death or capture of 
insurgents in Iraq, Libya's decision to abandon weapons of mass destruction 
programs and other curbs to proliferation as milestones of progress in the 
fight against terrorism.
  The government also says it has tripled funding for homeland security since 
the hijacked plane attacks on New York and Washington in 2001. 
  GOING BEYOND THE NUMBERS
  But the study said the rising costs of anti-terrorism efforts had become an 
increasing problem, with billions of dollars being spent on steps such as 
developing new technologies and beefing up security staffing without methods to 
check if they are cost-effective.
  Perl said existing yardsticks tended to emphasize quantitative elements, 
while the government should "go beyond the numbers and look at the meaning of 
the numbers and their significance, and their significance to us (versus) to 
the terrorists."
  "Right now we are overly focusing on numbers. We kind of go for the 
low-hanging fruit on the tree. It's easiest to get. We tend to define progress 
in ways we're familiar with, like numbers and body counts we can quantify," he 
said.
  Militants, on the other hand, may consider lost fighters or greater U.S. 
security spending a victory, rather than a defeat, because of the symbolic or 
religious significance of dying in battle, or the damage the heightened costs 
are having on the United States, Perl said.
  Without broader and deeper yardsticks -- which the study says could include 
the economic and emotional impact of attacks, militants' ability to influence 
public opinion, trends in recruitment, goals or capabilities -- Perl said it 
was hard to see if and in what cases progress has been made.


© Reuters 2005. All Rights Reserved. 



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