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January 22, 2007
Intelligence vs. Evidence
The Axis of Deception is lying us into war - again
by Justin Raimondo
In his most recent peroration defending our escalating war of
"liberation" in the Middle East, our Dear and Glorious Leader opined that Iran
was stirring the Iraqi pot, and he strongly implied that they'd better back off
- or else. Vowing to guarantee Iraq's borders and territorial integrity, the
president declared:
"This begins with addressing Iran and Syria. These two regimes are
allowing terrorists and insurgents to use their territory to move in and out of
Iraq. Iran is providing material support for attacks on American troops. We
will disrupt the attacks on our forces. We will interrupt the flow of support
from Iran and Syria. And we will seek out and destroy the networks providing
advanced weaponry and training to our enemies in Iraq."
These charges have been persistently pressed by this administration since
the U.S. colonial administration set up shop in the Green Zone: first, the
insurgency was said to consist primarily of "foreign fighters" and Ba'athist
"dead-enders," as Rumsfeld put it. Later, however, as the popular character of
the insurgency became undeniable, the party line shifted to pointing the finger
at Iran and its ally Syria: the mullahs of Tehran are arming and funding the
Sunni insurgency, as well as aiding and encouraging Moqtada al-Sadr's Mahdi
Army, a radical Shi'ite militia. Resistance to the Americans has nothing to do
with the daily depredations and humiliations of an occupied people: Iraqis
acting at the behest of "foreign" influences, i.e., the Iranians, are killing
increasing numbers of American soldiers as well as their fellow Iraqis.
The British dispute this, with Defense Secretary Des Browne averring:
"I have not myself seen any evidence - and I don't think any evidence
exists - of government-supported or instigated armed support on Iran's part in
Iraq."
The British military backs him up. "It's a question of intelligence
versus evidence," says Basra-based Brig. James Everard of Britain's 20th
Armored Brigade. "One hears word of mouth, but one has to see it with one's own
eyes."
This "intelligence" vs. evidence dichotomy is useful in understanding how
we got dragged into Iraq in the first place. You'll recall that we had scads of
intelligence coming at us, including on the front page of the New York Times,
such that even most war opponents - present company excluded - conceded that
Saddam undoubtedly did have "weapons of mass destruction," but that, for other
reasons, we ought to at least delay attacking him. There was, however, as some
of uspointed out at the time, no hard evidence of Iraq's fabled WMD. Like tales
of the Yeti and the Loch Ness monster, breathless stories of the Saddam Bomb,
ubiquitous since the early 1990s, turned out to be utterly false, imaginative
narratives spun by Ahmed Chalabi and his fellow "heroes in error," with a
little help from Judith Miller. I suppose it takes a libertarian to fully
appreciate the irony of how American taxpayers paid for their own deception.
Once again, we are seeing the victory of "intelligence" over solid
evidence, this time in the run-up to war with Iran. Wayne White, until 2005 the
deputy director of the State Department's Bureau of Intelligence and Research's
Near Eastern Division, has this to say about allegations of Tehran's ties to
Iraqi insurgent groups:
"I have no doubt whatsoever that al-Quds forces are on the ground and
active in Iraq. That's about it. I saw evidence that Moqtada al-Sadr was in
contact with Sunni Arab insurgents in western Iraq, but I never saw evidence of
Iran in that loop."
The New York Sun piece in which this citation appears purports to reveal
"Iran's Secret Plan for Mayhem" in Iraq, supposedly based on captured "secret
documents" - and also reminds readers that "in 2003, coalition forces captured
a playbook outlining Iranian intentions to support insurgents of both stripes,
but its authenticity was disputed."
Yeah, I'll bet - not that the history of the gang that lied us into war
would in any way cause us to suspect the authenticity of key documents and
other "intelligence" produced by them. The same lie factory that churned out
war propaganda based on lies, half-truths, and outright forgeries is being
revved up once again, this time in the service of a new and even more dangerous
war plan.
White, who worked as a top analyst for the State Department's own
intelligence agency, has also revealed the frightening scope of this
administration's war intentions:
"I've seen some of the planning. . You're not talking about a surgical
strike. You're talking about a war against Iran that likely would destabilize
the Middle East for years. We're not talking about just surgical strikes
against an array of targets inside Iran. We're talking about clearing a path to
the targets by taking out much of the Iranian Air Force, Kilo submarines,
anti-ship missiles that could target commerce or U.S. warships in the Gulf, and
maybe even Iran's ballistic missile capability."
Forget the Iraqi civil war: the consequences of a U.S. military
confrontation with Iran could prove particularly deadly to our troops in Iraq,
where they are sitting ducks for Iranian attacks. As White puts it:
"'I'm much more worried about the consequences of a U.S. or Israeli
attack against Iran's nuclear infrastructure,' which would prompt vigorous
Iranian retaliation, he said, than civil war in Iraq, which could be confined
to that country."
Numerousreports that the president is determined to confront Iran, one
way or another, before leaving the White House have to be taken seriously, and
there are at least some indications that even the Democratic leadership in
Congress is finally beginning to notice that we're headed for war with Tehran.
Harry Reid has openly warned the administration that the president would need
congressional authorization before unleashing American bombers, and others,
including Joe Biden, have struck the same pose.
One wonders, then, why House Joint Resolution 14 - legislation recently
introduced by Rep. Walter B. Jones (R-N.C.) which explicitly forbids a U.S.
attack on Iran, except in response to a "demonstrably imminent" attack on U.S.
forces or interests - has yet to attract more than a dozen or so co-sponsors.
Unlike the weak palliatives offered up on the Iraq question by the Democrats,
the Jones resolution is a binding one.
Although I started making inquiries last week, I have yet to get an
answer from Speaker Nancy Pelosi's office as to her position on H.J. Res. 14.
It's now quite popular to be antiwar when it comes to Iraq, but Iran is a
different story altogether. Hillary Clinton, who seems on track to grasp the
Democrats' presidential nomination, has criticized the Bush administration for
being too soft on Tehran, and Howard Dean takes the kooky "Objectivist"
position that the Iraq war is a case of attacking the wrong enemy, the right
one being Iran.
Unless the Democrats and the fast-rising antiwar faction of the
Republicans in Congress are willing to go on record as explicitly forbidding an
attack on Iran, the presidential exercise of the military option will hang over
our heads like a veritable sword of Damocles.
Confronted with this obstacle to his war plans, will a president who
believes he has absolute power in wartime assert his supremacy and provoke a
constitutional crisis? Given the legendary cowardice of the Democrats on
questions of war and peace, we may never get to find out.
Find this article at:
http://www.antiwar.com/justin/?articleid=10368
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