Hi Frank,
Frank Reichert wrote:
>> While I am certainly not a JBSer, I went to the site and voted, then looked
> at the results. Only 53% of those voting favored impeachment. If it's that low
> among the JBS faithful, I think we can safely conclude there is no real public
> support for this position.
>
> Not all who voted were the JBS faithful, since I am not a JBS member. I
> suspect the vote was likely pitched to a lot of groups who might be
> sympathetic with various JBS agendas however.
True enough. I voted and I'm not a JBS member by any means. That poll does, however, confirm other reports, including other polls, that suggest that support for an impeachment of President Bush is virtually non-existent. Put simply, he has not committed any high crimes or misdemeanors as the vast majority of people understand the term.
>
> Nonetheless, I noted 4% weren't sure. The breakdown of the remainder
> indicates that a significant segment of the 'no' vote didn't necessarily
> believe that the 'mistakes' Bush has made warranted impeachment -- not a high
> endorsement for Bush, or so it might seem in any case.
I wouldn't expect a high endorsement for Bush or any establishment politician from a JBS Web site.
>
> There are more important and serious issues looming on the horizon right now
> that might change the perception of the public against the Republicans, as the
> majority of the current controversy surrounding revelations of corruption and
> kick backs etc., are mostly Republican politicians, including Bush.
Not quite. If you look at the list of recipients, you find Harry Reid, Byron Dorgan, Hillary Clinton, Richard Durbin and others in the Senate, plus large numbers of Dems in the House, led by Patrick Kennedy. The leftwing "mainstream" media have spun this as mainly a GOP scandal, but that is not an accurate assessment. And Bush isn't tied too closely to Abramoff, so I don't see the scandal hurting him much if at all.
>
> I'm not so sure where that one is going to go at this moment, but the
> casualties are escallating again in Afghanistan and Iraq, and the cumulative
> effect of some of these revelations will in my judgement, continue to erode
> Bush's support in the middle of his second term. It could also spell the doom
> of the GOP hold on Congress in the aftermath of the mid-term elections this
> year.
I'm less confident than I was a few months ago when I thought the GOP would have stronger candidates in some races (like WV), but I think, contrary to the conventional wisdom, that the most likely result of the 2006 midterm elections is a 1-2 seat GOP pickup in the Senate and 3-5 seats in the House. If you look at the seats on a case by case basis, that is a more reasonable guess than the 6 seat pickup the Dems would need to get the Senate or the 18, IIRC, they would need in the house.
Regards,
Doug
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