Roger writes,

>> Drug Cartel Now Assassinates Its Enemies With Bomb-Toting Drones
>>
>> https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/36013/mexican-drug-cartel-now-assassinating-its-enemies-with-improvised-explosive-toting-drones
>
>
> It's always interesting to look back and see what a 
> summation-interpretation-and-modest-extension of knowledge
> a few years ago said about things ... 
> http://www.rogerclarke.com/SOS/Drones-E.html#AHLD
>
> ..  Although media attention is easily gained for terrorist uses .. [Roger 
> gets an 'F':  I omitted competition among
> crime gangs.]


Thanks Roger, it’s apparent you accurately nailed an aspect of our future in 
this regard.

However, an F is being a little hard on yourself? Many might say there’s little 
difference
between a terrorist gang and a criminal gang ... mainly just respective targets 
perhaps?

Cheers,
Stephen

_______________________

> Mexico's drug cartels are notoriously well armed and equipped, with some 
> possessing very heavy weaponry, including armored gun trucks sporting heavy 
> machine guns.
>
> Now at least one of these groups appears to be increasingly making use of 
> small quadcopter-type drones carrying small explosive devices to attack its 
> enemies.
>
> This is just the latest example of a trend that has been growing worldwide in 
> recent years, including among non-state actors, such as terrorists and 
> criminals, which underscores the potential threats commercially-available 
> unmanned systems pose on and off the battlefield.
>
> A civilian self-defense militia in the city of Tepalcatepec, in Mexico's 
> southwestern Michoacan state, reportedly recovered two dozen explosive-laden 
> quadcopters from a car that a team of sicarios – cartel hitmen – had 
> apparently abandoned, possibly after a failed or aborted hit, on July 25, 
> 2020. The bombs attached to the drones consisted of Tupperware-like 
> containers filled with C4 charges and ball bearings to act as shrapnel.
>
> The vehicle and its contents were said to be tied to the Cártel de Jalisco 
> Nueva Generación (CJNG), or Jalisco New Generation Cartel, which has its main 
> hub in neighboring Jalisco state, but exerts control over a wider swatch of 
> territory. This includes areas much further down Mexico's southwestern 
> Pacific coastline and along the Gulf of Mexico on the opposite side of the 
> country.
>
> CJNG first emerged in 2009 as an offshoot of the Milenio Cartel and has since 
> waged a particularly violent campaign against many of Mexico's other drug 
> cartels, as well as Mexican authorities and civilian self-defense 
> organizations, growing in size and scope in the process. As of July, American 
> authorities estimated that CJNG was responsible for the movement of 
> approximately one-third of all drugs from Mexico into the United States. It 
> has also been working to expand its operations into Europe and Asia.
>
> That revenue has clearly translated into new weapons, vehicles, and equipment 
> for the CJNG's sicarios and other footsoldiers. In July, the cartel released 
> a particularly striking video of a convoy of camouflage-painted trucks, 
> pickups, and SUVs, some with mounted weapons and very visible add-on armor, 
> together with heavily armed personnel in tactical gear, that all looked more 
> like a military unit than a criminal gang.
>
> These personnel, who all shouted of the nickname of their top boss, Nemesio 
> "El Mencho" Oseguera Cervantes, throughout the footage, reportedly belong to 
> a "special forces" contingent within the cartel's overall force structure. 
> This video followed a failed CJNG assassination attempt against Mexico City's 
> police chief Omar Garcia Harfuch in June. Harfuch was wounded in the shootout 
> and two of his bodyguard's died.
>
> CJNG's growing resources have also translated into its new aerial 
> capabilities. There were reports in April that CJNG had been dropping 
> improvised explosive devices from small, conventional manned aircraft in 
> attacks on members of the Tepalcatepec self-defense militia. The cartel 
> apparently dropped this tactic quickly after Mexican authorities stepped up 
> aerial surveillance in the region and has since shifted to using the 
> diminutive drones.
>
> Quadcopters with explosives believed to belong CJNG were recovered in the 
> city of Puebla, in the state of the same name, southeast of Mexico City, in 
> April, as well. Mexican officials said they believed those had been destined 
> for attacks on the Santa Rosa de Lima Cartel in Guanajuato state to the 
> northwest. The discovery of those drones led to raids that found more 
> quadcopters, as well as various electronics and bomb-making supplies, 
> including more C4.
>
> It's not surprising at all that CJNG, especially, has turned to small 
> unmanned systems as a means of carrying out its various violent campaigns 
> throughout Mexico. Mexican cartels, among other criminal groups, have already 
> been using them to carry drugs over walls and past other barriers, as well as 
> conduct surveillance. There have been more sporadic reports of other cartels 
> using small explosive-armed drones since at least 2017, too.
>
> The barrier to entry when it comes to crafting small bomb-carrying quad and 
> hexcopter-type drones is notably low, in general. This is something The War 
> Zone has highlighted on multiple occasions in the past, which makes the 
> concept particularly attractive to non-state actors.
>
> In 2018, a group opposed to dictatorial Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro 
> attempted to assassinate him at a public rally using a commercially available 
> multi-rotor drone system. This came years after ISIS terrorists had very much 
> brought the concept to an actual battlefield in Iraq.
>
> Small drones of various kinds of improvised munitions had steadily 
> proliferated among terrorists and other armed groups in Iraq and Syria since 
> then. Russia's Syrian outpost at Khmeimim Air Base has been subjected to a 
> regular stream of drone attacks since 2018.
>
> In July, authorities in the Iraqi capital Baghdad recovered a quadcopter 
> drone with a very purpose-built-looking looking bomb underneath in a 
> neighboring near the heavily fortified Green Zone area that is home to 
> various government buildings and Embassies, including that of the United 
> States. Iranian-backed militias often use these adjacent areas to stage 
> rocket attacks on the U.S. Embassy compound.
>
> These are just a small number of the readily available examples of this 
> tactic being employed. In fact, when it comes to the danger of drones being 
> used for gangland assassinations, Japanese authorities warned back in 2015 
> about Yakuza families doing exactly what CJNG is doing right now in Mexico.
>
> Even larger nation-state militaries are starting to leverage the relative 
> simplicity of hobby-like quadcopter drones as a starting place for more 
> complex weaponized systems, including designs capable of operating 
> cooperatively in autonomous swarms. Turkey is now putting such a drone system 
> into production, which you read all about here.
>
> This reality has left the United States, among others, scrambling to catch up 
> when it comes to developing countermeasures. The U.S. military, as a whole, 
> has been investigating a wide array of different counter-drone technologies 
> to handle these lower-tier threats, ranging from jammers to directed-energy 
> weapons, including both lasers and high-power microwave beams.
>
> "I argue all the time with my Air Force friends that the future of flight is 
> vertical and it's unmanned," U.S. Marine General Kenneth McKenzie, head of 
> U.S. Central Command, said at a public event in June. "I'm not talking about 
> large unmanned platforms, which are the size of a conventional fighter jet 
> that we can see and deal with, as we would any other platform. I'm talking 
> about the one you can go out and buy at Costco right now in the United States 
> for a thousand dollars, four quad, rotorcraft, or something like that that 
> can be launched and flown," he added. "And with very simple modifications, it 
> can make made into something that can drop a weapon like a hand grenade or 
> something else."
>
> CJNG's recent activities only underscore that there is a serious need for 
> countermeasures off the battlefield to safeguard VIPs, critical 
> infrastructure, and more from spying and potentially dangerous harassment, as 
> well as deliberate lethal attacks. The U.S. Department of Homeland Security 
> identified the need for some kind of mobile counter-drone capability as an 
> "emerging requirement" just this week.
>
> If this cartel successfully adds small armed drones to its already 
> significant arsenal, and shows that they can be useful on a more regular 
> basis, it could easily lead to an explosion of other criminal groups in the 
> country, and elsewhere, adopting this tactic, as well.
>
> Contact the author: [email protected]
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>


--
Roger Clarke                            mailto:[email protected]
T: +61 2 6288 6916   http://www.xamax.com.au  http://www.rogerclarke.com

Xamax Consultancy Pty Ltd      78 Sidaway St, Chapman ACT 2611 AUSTRALIA

Visiting Professor in the Faculty of Law            University of N.S.W.
Visiting Professor in Computer Science    Australian National University
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