On 17/05/2023 8:37 am, Tom Worthington wrote:
On 16/5/23 13:23, David wrote:
solidly founded on the national asset-base ...
Do any national currencies have an asset base? Isn't it all fiat money now? That is, an Australia dollar is worth whatever someone is prepared to exchange it for. The Australian government doesn't guarantee to give you gold, or anything else, in exchange for it.

As an armchair economist, I think "whatever someone is prepared to exchange it for" ultimately depends on the futures market for the various exports each nation produces.  However the futures market ultimately depends on whether foreign investors (usually big institutions) can make a profit with minimal risk.  And that depends on all sorts of things...

For example, the demand for thermal coal has been dropping very steeply for quite a while now as the reality of greenhouse warming dawns on the world generally and we begin to hear phrases like "stranded asset".  But the demand for gas, also a fossil fuel, has been rising due (in part) to Putin cutting off the supply of Russian gas to Europe, and everyone can see where that has led in dear old Oz.

Is there a real economist in the house?  Maybe they could speculate on the economic ramifications of a quick but inexorable rise of 1 metre in sea level along our east coast because a a large slab of ice has slid off the Antarctic rockshelf.

_David Lochrin

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