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Today's Topics:
1. O/t US Defence Secretary says Trump's 'supportive' of AUKUS
deal (Stephen Loosley)
2. The US Government Computing Experts Say They Are Terrified
(Stephen Loosley)
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Message: 1
Date: Sat, 08 Feb 2025 15:05:29 +1030
From: Stephen Loosley <[email protected]>
To: "link" <[email protected]>
Subject: [LINK] O/t US Defence Secretary says Trump's 'supportive' of
AUKUS deal
Message-ID: <[email protected]>
Content-Type: text/plain; charset="UTF-8"
US Defence Secretary says Trump's 'supportive' of AUKUS deal
Story by Mikala Theocharous, 1 hour ago
https://www.msn.com/en-au/news/australia/us-defence-secretary-says-trump-s-supportive-of-aukus-deal/ar-AA1yCWcg
US Defence Secretary Pete Hegseth has said the US will aim to deliver its first
nuclear submarine on time to Australia after the Federal government sent $798
million to Washington as part of the AUKUS deal.
Hegseth said Trump was "supportive" of the $3 billion deal in a meeting with
Australia's Defence Minister and Deputy Prime Minister Richard Marles at the
Pentagon on Friday (Local time).
The Albanese government made a $US500 million ($798 million) payment to
Washington as part of the AUKUS deal ahead of the meeting between? Marles and
Hegseth.
The plan will provide Australia with three Virginia-class submarines from the
US, which is supposed to boost America's lagging rate of submarine production.
"The president is very aware, supportive of AUKUS and ? the investment
Australia is willing to make," Hegseth said.
He also said the Trump Administration "sure hopes" to have them delivered on
time, with the first one due by the early 2030s.?
It's the first time the administration has expressed the President's opinions
on the deal, which was ?made under Joe Biden's presidency.
"We're really pleased that the first payment in respect of that half a billion
dollars we've been able to make in the first couple of weeks of the Trump
administration," Marles said ahead of the meeting.
"We're really pleased to make it in the first week of your tenure as the
Secretary of Defence."
Australia, the US and Britain signed the AUKUS pact nearly four years ago, with
the aim of maintaining a "free and open Indo-Pacific", amid growing
assertiveness by China in the region.
The deal meant Australia would purchase three submarines from the US and build
five of a new AUKUS-class submarine in cooperation with Britain.?
However, there were doubts that Australia would ever receive a submarine ?at
all.
Concerns were sparked last year over the US's ability to produce
nuclear-powered submarines for its own military needs, aside from its deal with
Australia.
However, Hegseth seems to have confirmed today that the Trump administration
would hold up America's end of the bargain.
------------------------------
Message: 2
Date: Sat, 08 Feb 2025 23:44:26 +1030
From: Stephen Loosley <[email protected]>
To: "link" <[email protected]>
Subject: [LINK] The US Government Computing Experts Say They Are
Terrified
Message-ID: <[email protected]>
Content-Type: text/plain; charset="UTF-8"
The Government?s Computing Experts Say They Are Terrified
Four IT professionals lay out just how destructive Elon Musk?s incursion into
the U.S. government could be.
By Charlie Warzel and Ian Bogost February 7, 2025
https://www.theatlantic.com/technology/archive/2025/02/elon-musk-doge-security/681600/
(If you have tips about the remaking of the federal government, you can contact
Charlie and Ian on Signal at @cwarzel.92 and @ibogost.47)
Elon Musk?s unceasing attempts to access the data and information systems of
the federal government range so widely, and are so unprecedented and
unpredictable, that government computing experts believe the effort has spun
out of control.
This week, we spoke with four federal-government IT professionals?all
experienced contractors and civil servants who have built, modified, or
maintained the kind of technological infrastructure that Musk?s inexperienced
employees at his newly created Department of Government Efficiency are
attempting to access.
In our conversations, each expert was unequivocal: They are terrified and
struggling to articulate the scale of the crisis.
Even if the president of the United States, the head of the executive branch,
supports (and, importantly, understands) these efforts by DOGE, these experts
told us, they would still consider Musk?s campaign to be a reckless and
dangerous breach of the complex systems that keep America running.
Federal IT systems facilitate operations as varied as sending payments from the
Treasury Department and making sure that airplanes stay in the air, the sources
told us.
Based on what has been reported, DOGE representatives have obtained or
requested access to certain systems at the U.S. Treasury, the Department of
Health and Human Services, the Office of Personnel Management, and the National
Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, with eyes toward others, including the
Federal Aviation Administration.
?This is the largest data breach and the largest IT security breach in our
country?s history?at least that?s publicly known,? one contractor who has
worked on classified information-security systems at numerous government
agencies told us this week.
?You can?t un-ring this bell. Once these DOGE guys have access to these data
systems, they can ostensibly do with it what they want.?
What exactly they want is unclear. And much remains unknown about what,
exactly, is happening here. The contractor emphasized that nobody yet knows
which information DOGE has access to, or what it plans to do with it.
Spokespeople for the White House, and Musk himself, did not respond to emailed
requests for comment. Some reports have revealed the scope of DOGE?s incursions
at individual agencies; still, it has been difficult to see the broader context
of DOGE?s ambition.
The four experts laid out the implications of giving untrained individuals
access to the technological infrastructure that controls the country. Their
message is unambiguous: These are not systems you tamper with lightly.
Musk and his crew could act deliberately to extract sensitive data, alter
fundamental aspects of how these systems operate, or provide further access to
unvetted actors. Or they may act with carelessness or incompetence, breaking
the systems altogether.
Given the scope of what these systems do, key government services might stop
working properly, citizens could be harmed, and the damage might be difficult
or impossible to undo.
As one administrator for a federal agency with deep knowledge about the
government?s IT operations told us, ?I don?t think the public quite understands
the level of danger.?
Each of our four sources, three of whom requested anonymity out of fear of
reprisal, made three points very clear: These systems are immense, they are
complex, and they are critical.
A single program run by the FAA to help air-traffic controllers, En Route
Automation Modernization, contains nearly 2 million lines of code; an average
iPhone app, for comparison, has about 50,000.
The Treasury Department disburses trillions of dollars in payments per year.
Many systems and databases in a given agency feed into others, but access to
them is restricted.
Employees, contractors, civil-service government workers, and political
appointees have strict controls on what they can access and limited visibility
into the system as a whole. This is by design, as even the most mundane
government databases can contain highly sensitive personal information.
A security-clearance database such as those used by the Department of Justice
or the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives, one contractor told
us, could include information about a person?s mental-health or sexual history,
as well as disclosures about any information that a foreign government could
use to blackmail them.
Even if DOGE has not tapped into these particular databases, The Washington
Post reported on Wednesday that the group has accessed sensitive personnel data
at OPM. Mother Jones also reported on Wednesday that an effort may be under way
to effectively give Musk control over IT for the entire federal government,
broadening his access to these agencies.
Trump has said that Musk is acting only with his permission. ?Elon can?t do and
won?t do anything without our approval,? he said to reporters recently. ?And we
will give him the approval where appropriate. Where it?s not appropriate, we
won?t.?
The specter of what DOGE might do with that approval is still keeping the
government employees we spoke with up at night. With relatively basic ?read
only? access, Musk?s people could easily find individuals in databases or clone
entire servers and transfer that secure information somewhere else.
Even if Musk eventually loses access to these systems?owing to a temporary
court order such as the one approved yesterday, say?whatever data he siphons
now could be his forever.
With a higher level of access??write access??a motivated person may be able to
put their own code into the system, potentially without any oversight. The
possibilities here are staggering.
One could alter the data these systems process, or they could change the way
the software operates?without any of the testing that would normally accompany
changes to a critical system. Still another level of access, administrator
privileges, could grant the broad ability to control a system, including hiding
evidence of other alterations.
?They could change or manipulate treasury data directly in the database with no
way for people to audit or capture it,? one contractor told us. ?We?d have very
little way to know it even happened.?
The specific levels of access that Musk and his team have remain unclear and
likely vary between agencies. On Tuesday, the Treasury said that DOGE had been
given ?read only? access to the department?s federal payment system, though
Wired then reported that one member of DOGE was able to write code on the
system.
Any focus on access tiers, for that matter, may actually simplify the problem
at hand.
These systems aren?t just complex at the code level?they are multifaceted in
their architecture. Systems can have subsystems; each of these can have its own
permission structures. It?s hard to talk about any agency?s tech infrastructure
as monolithic. It?s less a database than it is a Russian nesting doll of
databases, the experts said.
Musk?s efforts represent a dramatic shift in the way the government?s business
has traditionally been conducted.
Previously, security protocols were so strict that a contractor plugging a
non-government-issued computer into an Ethernet port in a government agency
office was considered a major security violation.
Contrast that with DOGE?s incursion. CNN reported yesterday that a 23-year-old
former SpaceX intern without a background check was given a basic, low tier of
access to Department of Energy IT systems, despite objections from department
lawyers and information experts.
?That these guys, who may not even have clearances, are just pulling up and
plugging in their own servers is madness,? one source told us, referring to an
allegation that DOGE had connected its own server at OPM.
?It?s really hard to find good analogies for how big of a deal this is.?
The simple fact that Musk loyalists are in the building with their own
computers is the heart of the problem?and helps explain why activities
ostensibly authorized by the president are widely viewed as a catastrophic data
breach.
The four systems professionals we spoke with do not know what damage might
already have been done. ?The longer this goes on, the greater the risk of
potential fatal compromise increases,? Scott Cory, a former CIO for an agency
in the HHS, told us. At the Treasury, this could mean stopping payments to
government organizations or outside contracts it doesn?t want to pay. It could
also mean diverting funds to other recipients. Or gumming up the works in the
attempt to do those, or other, things.
In the FAA, even a small systems disruption could cause mass grounding of
flights, a halt in global shipping, or worse, downed planes. For instance, the
agency oversees the Traffic Flow Management System, which calculates the
overall demand for airspace in U.S. airports and which airlines depend on.
?Going into these systems without an in-depth understanding of how they work
both individually and interconnectedly is a recipe for disaster that will
result in death and economic harm to our nation,? one FAA employee who has
nearly a decade of experience with its system architecture told us.
??Upgrading? a system of which you know nothing about is a good way to break
it, and breaking air travel is a worst-case scenario with consequences that
will ripple out into all aspects of civilian life. It could easily get to a
place where you can?t guarantee the safety of flights taking off and landing.?
Nevertheless, on Wednesday Musk posted that ?the DOGE team will aim to make
rapid safety upgrades to the air traffic control system.?
Even if DOGE members are looking to modernize these systems, they may find
themselves flummoxed. The government is big and old and complicated.
One former official with experience in government IT systems, including at the
Treasury, told us that old could mean that the systems were installed in 1962,
1992, or 2012. They might use a combination of software written in different
programming languages: a little COBOL in the 1970s, a bit of Java in the 1990s.
Knowledge about one system doesn?t give anyone?including Musk?s DOGE workers,
some of whom were not even alive for Y2K?the ability to make intricate changes
to another.
The internet economy, characterized by youth and disruption, favors inventing
new systems and disposing of old ones. And the nation?s computer systems, like
its roads and bridges, could certainly benefit from upgrades.
But old computers don?t necessarily make for bad infrastructure, and government
infrastructure isn?t always old anyway. The former Treasury official told us
that mainframes?and COBOL, the ancient programming language they often run?are
really good for what they do, such as batch processing for financial
transactions.
Like the FAA employee, the payment-systems expert also fears that the most
likely result of DOGE activity on federal systems will be breaking them,
especially because of incompetence and lack of proper care. DOGE, he observed,
may be prepared to view or hoover up data, but it doesn?t appear to be prepared
to carry out savvy and effective alterations to how the system operates. This
should perhaps be reassuring.
?If you were going to organize a heist of the U.S. Treasury,? he said, ?why in
the world would you bring a handful of college students?? They would be
useless. Your crew would need, at a minimum, a couple of guys with a decade or
two of experience with COBOL, he said.
Unless, of course, you had the confidence that you could figure anything out,
including a lumbering government system you don?t respect in the first place.
That interpretation of DOGE?s theory of self seems both likely and even more
scary, at the Treasury, the FAA, and beyond. Would they even know what to do
after logging in to such a machine? we asked.
?No, they?d have no idea,? the payment expert said. ?The sanguine thing to
think about is that the code in these systems and the process and functions
they manage are unbelievably complicated,? Scott Cory said.
?You?d have to be extremely knowledgeable if you were going into these systems
and wanting to make changes with an impact on functionality.?
But DOGE workers could try anyway. Mainframe computers have a keyboard and
display, unlike the cloud-computing servers in data centers. According to the
former Treasury IT expert, someone who could get into the room and had
credentials for the system could access it and, via the same machine or a
networked one, probably also deploy software changes to it.
It?s far more likely that they would break, rather than improve, a Treasury
disbursement system in so doing, one source told us.
?The volume of information they deal with [at the Treasury] is absolutely
enormous, well beyond what anyone would deal with at SpaceX,? the source said.
Even a small alteration to a part of the system that has to do with the
distribution of funds could wreak havoc, preventing those funds from being
distributed or distributing them wrongly, for example.
?It?s like walking into a nuclear reactor and deciding to handle some
plutonium.?
DOGE is many things?a dismantling of the federal government, a political
project to flex power and punish perceived enemies?but it is also the logical
end point of a strain of thought that?s become popular in Silicon Valley during
the boom times of Big Tech and easy money: that building software and writing
code aren?t just dominant skills for the 21st century, but proof of competence
in any realm.
In a post on X this week, John Shedletsky, a developer and an early employee at
the popular gaming platform Roblox, summed up the philosophy nicely: ?Silicon
Valley built the modern world. Why shouldn?t we run it??
This attitude disgusted one of the officials we spoke with. ?There?s this
bizarre belief that being able to do things with computers means you have to be
super smart about everything else.?
Silicon Valley may have built the computational part of the modern world, but
the rest of that world?the money, the airplanes, the roads, and the
waterways?still exists. Knowing something, even a lot, about computers
guarantees no knowledge about the world beyond them.
?I?d like to think that this is all so massive and complex that they won?t
succeed in whatever it is they?re trying to do,? one of the experts told us.
?But I wouldn?t want to wager that outcome against their egos.?
This article was a gift from an Atlantic subscriber.
--
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