Graphs show the impact Netflix is having on the Australian internet

April 2, 2015  By Ben Grubb. Reading now 40, Comments 93
http://www.smh.com.au/digital-life/digital-life-news/these-graphs-show-the-impact-netflix-is-having-on-the-australian-internet-20150402-1mdc1i.html


Netflix is having a huge impact on Australia's internet infrastructure, with 
some claiming it is leading to slower, congested internet speeds during peak 
evening use periods.

But exactly how much of an impact is the streaming giant's service having?

While many telcos don't publish or release their traffic graphs, non-profit 
organisation IX Australia — which helps physically connect smaller ISPs with 
content players — does. 

http://www.ix.asn.au
http://monitor.nsw.ix.asn.au/cacti/graph_view.php?action=preview

In the past week, public graphs from IX Australia show Friday night at about 
10pm was when most of its members' customers were using Netflix. Member ISPs 
include Exetel, M2 Telecom (which owns the Dodo and iPrimus brands), and the 
Australian Academic and Research Network (AARNET), which provides internet 
connectivity to Australian universities.

Yes, even the uni students and uni staff are making use of Netflix while on 
campus.

During Friday night, traffic peaked at about 13 gigabits per second. On Sunday 
it peaked again at about 11Gbps at the same time.

For context, search engine Yahoo peaks at about 0.8Gbps on IX Australia's 
network and Microsoft about 2Gbps (although this goes up when software updates 
are released).


Overall, the increase has seen the traffic IX Australia passes through its 
network jump 50 per cent - from 30Gbps to 45Gbps in recent days (and it's still 
growing).


Peering traffic — traffic exchanged between networks like Netflix and an ISP or 
an ISP and another ISP — for AARNET and M2 has jumped more than 100 per cent 
since Netflix launched.

Prior to Netflix's launch, AARNET was typically seeing 1Gbps of peering traffic 
traverse its network during peak periods. That's now jumped to 2.5Gbps thanks 
to Netflix.

For Exetel it has jumped 233 per cent from about 0.6Gbps to around 2Gbps. 
Meanwhile, M2 has seen peak peering traffic through IX Australia jump from 
4Gbps to 8Gbps.

While this is not representative of each network's entire traffic jumping by 
the above percentages, it does give an idea of just how popular and 
bandwidth-intensive Netlfix is.

Meanwhile, Megaport chief Bevan Slattery told Fairfax Media that Netflix 
traffic was already approaching 50 per cent of its entire traffic. Like IX 
Australia, Megaport connects telcos and content providers but is a for profit 
business.

Perth-based iiNet has also said Netflix is accounting for approximately 15 per 
cent of its overall internet traffic.

http://www.smh.com.au/business/media-and-marketing/iinet-data-points-to-big-start-for-netflix-in-australia-20150329-1m7ffq.html

Set up by smaller ISPs in the 90s, IX Australia provides what's known as a 
"peering exchange" which enables smaller Australian telco players to reduce the 
portion of their traffic which must be delivered through the backbone networks 
of telco giants such as Telstra and Optus, thereby reducing the average per-bit 
delivery cost of their service.

IX Australia does this by providing physical infrastructure through which 
internet service providers and web services, such as Netflix and Google, can 
exchange traffic between their networks, bypassing the larger providers.

In Sydney, IX Australia has two 10Gbps ports that connect directly into 
Netflix's Australian servers, according to information published on Netflix's 
website.

https://openconnect.itp.netflix.com/peeringLocations/index.html

A further two links are in Megaport's Sydney interconnection exchange. 
Meanwhile, one 10Gbps link is located in the Equinix Sydney data centre in 
inner-east suburb Alexandria.

Netflix also offers telcos private access to its network in Equinix, which 
larger providers such as Telstra, Optus and AAPT are likely to make use of.

Each of these 10Gbps links — which are 416 times faster than the fastest ADSL2+ 
connection, which can get up to 24Mbps (0.024Gbps) — is used to provide you 
with fast Netflix.

The CommsDay Crosstalk podcast recently questioned whether ISPs would need to 
increase their prices to deal with Netflix. 

You can listen to it here: 
https://soundcloud.com/crosstalkcommsday/will-you-be-paying-for-netflix-whether-you-want-to-or-not

Correction: Some of the percentages in this article were incorrect. The article 
has since been updated with the correct information.

Comments:

93 comments so far

        The Vertigan Ergas review of the NBN made the following assumptions 
about internet usage:
        We assume that in 2013, average Internet TV viewing is 80 minutes per 
user per month.
        We assume that Internet TV viewing grows to be 25% of all Australian TV 
viewing by 2023 (equivalent to 47 minutes per day or 1,395 per month for all 
adults).
        We have assumed that the proportion of HD households is 74% in 2013, 
growing at 2% per year (excluding those who upgrade to 4K TV).
        We have assumed that HD viewing represents 20% of Internet TV viewing 
in HD households in 2013, growing by 6 percentage points per annum, to 80% by 
2023.
        • The average console game size is 7GB for generation 7 devices (PS3, 
Xbox) and 17 GB for generation 8 devices (PS4, Xbox One)
        • Five downloads per year per using household, growing from 7GB to 17 
GB in 2020 when generation 8 consoles are at maturity
        • A 12% CAGR in file size from 2020, based on an 8 year console 
generation cycle
        • Initially only the 20% of households that are ‘high use’ download 
such files. Over time, a further 20% of households become downloaders
        • By 2023, 90% of the download is pre- or post-loaded (growing from 0% 
in 2013)
        • An arbitrary assumption that download expectation is 60 minutes, 
falling to 20 minutes in 2023

        Guess they have forgotten Elder Scrolls online 100GB or Star Citizen 
120GB with 20GB patches, hey that’s today not 2023.

    Commenter
        kevin Cobley
    Location
        Katoomba
    Date and time
        Thu Apr 02 04:35:36 UTC 2015

            It was always going to happen given the LNP's myopic view of 
broadband usage, what a difference fttp would and should have made.
            Their fraudband policy has already come back to bite them and they 
have hardly started rolling it out.

        Commenter
            tisgazz
        Date and time
            Thu Apr 02 05:00:32 UTC 2015

            Kevin,

            Pure gold thanks for the info........This government would have us 
still on dial up if they could.

        Commenter
            Auzmoz
        Location
            Sunshine Coast
        Date and time
            Thu Apr 02 05:16:53 UTC 2015

            More nonsense from Henry E. We will end up paying twice for the 
NBN, once to build the one that will meet consumer needs and once to build the 
one that the Liberals have foisted on us in service of policy as a populist 
political weapon.

        Commenter
            Stephen
        Location
            Sydney
        Date and time
            Thu Apr 02 05:22:56 UTC 2015

            So pissed off with this government and their politics before 
sensible policy I am speechless.

        Commenter
            ha!
        Location
            centre of the universe
        Date and time
            Thu Apr 02 05:43:58 UTC 2015

            I agree with all you have said, even if I do not know what you said.
            Anyway, Pirate Bay for me still rules.

        Commenter
            George
        Location
            George Street
        Date and time
            Thu Apr 02 06:04:21 UTC 2015

            No sweat, she'll be right kevin. A billion more taxpayer dollars 
will pay for our lifestyle choices.

        Commenter
            Ariel
        Date and time
            Thu Apr 02 06:13:06 UTC 2015

            Welcoming a new guest to our services, we should be embarrassed by 
our infrastructure Australia. Thats the shortest response to this issue.

        Commenter
            The Other Guy1
        Date and time
            Thu Apr 02 06:51:15 UTC 2015

            I'm also sure those figures were designed for politicians who think 
the internet can be used to stop terrorism by putting the whole population 
under 24/7 surveillance.

        Commenter
            Cynic
        Date and time
            Thu Apr 02 07:09:58 UTC 2015

            so Turnbull has been proved to b an incompetent fool, in his first 
term of office, and even if his watered down NBN was reversed today (which 
isnnt going to happen) he personally has probably increased the cost of the 
full NBN we should have had in the first place by $20b or more!

            I agree pensions should be cut, let start by removing lucrative 
politicians, and then move on to public servants ones.

        Commenter
            Peter
        Date and time
            Thu Apr 02 08:23:18 UTC 2015

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