On 6/04/2016 10:35 AM, Brendan wrote:
...
Are you saying they'll all/mostly become taxis? ...
More or less, that's the end game. I've heard it succinctly put:
From cars to kilometres.
The business model goes from selling vehicles to selling a service:
kilometres of travel. If the appropriate vehicle can come to you, why
would you own one?
For example, I live on the land. I often need a vehicle that can go
off-road and carry a load. I can only afford to own, maintain, register
and insure one vehicle. Therefore, I go shopping in a 4WD diesel light
truck.
In the self-driving scenario, I probably wouldn't own a vehicle. I'd
call for hardware appropriate to each job. The vehicle would arrive
under it's own control and, once the job is complete, depart for the
next assignment.
There might still be reasons to own machinery, but private ownership
will be a tiny fraction of what it is now.
<http://reneweconomy.com.au/2016/tesla-rivals-software-may-kill-petrol-car-as-soon-as-2025-2025>
GM is also investing in the “mobility services” business, snapping up interests
in companies investing in lifts and autonomous cars. Google and Apple are
investing heavily in similar technologies.
Tesla also has a “master plan”, as we noted on Monday. This does not centre
around selling units so much as miles or kilometres travelled. Morgan Stanley
says Tesla’s future will rely not on EV deliveries, but the network of service
and free charging that is “critical to delivering mobility service-based
revenue in the future.”
--
David Boxall | The more that wise people learn
| The more they come to appreciate
http://david.boxall.id.au | How much they don't know.
--Confucius
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