By Amy Remeikis   Sun 10 Feb 2019 21.00 AEDT
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2019/feb/10/coalition-warned-its-energy-big-stick-could-scare-away-genuine-investors


“Cool-headed policy”, not “panic and politicking” is the answer to Australia’s 
future energy issues, a new report has found.

But government underwriting of new power generation investment, a key Coalition 
energy policy, could hinder, not help the bid to bolster network reliability, 
the researchers warned, by scaring away “genuine potential investors”.

Instead, researchers from The Grattan Institute recommended, among other 
things, a better management of the distribution of Australia’s existing supply 
of power while encouraging Australians to invest in their own back-up supplies, 
as the technology to store renewable energy such as solar becomes cheaper, 
among potential solutions to the nation’s future power problems.

The report comes as the government attempts to pass what is left of its “big 
stick” legislation, which, after jumping through some federal court hoops, 
would give the energy minister of the day the potential to earmark electricity 
companies for divesture if they were found to be misusing their market power 
for price gouging.

The Grattan Institute researchers reviewed the last 10 years of Australia’s 
power issues, and the potential for future problems, as ageing coal-fired power 
stations come off line, and found problems with transporting power was the 
“overwhelming source” of Australia’s power reliability problems to date.

But it also warned that would not always be the case, if policymakers did not 
find a sustainable and sensible solution to maintaining supply that did not 
rely on “false narratives” such as renewable energy sources were to blame for 
blackouts.

The report reviewed the mass blackout across South Australia in 2016, after 
which the researchers found reporting on power blackouts increased by up to 10 
times despite the actual number of power outages remaining stable.

“The overwhelming source of outages is problems in transporting power; it has 
nothing to do with whether the power was generated from renewables or coal, or 
some other technology,” the Grattan researchers concluded.

“Over the past 10 years, more than 97% of outage hours could be traced to 
problems with the local poles and wires that transport power to homes and 
businesses.

“If we respond to wrong information, we are likely to add to the cost of 
electricity while making little or no impact on reliability.”

The South Australian blackout, which led to the state’s entire grid failing, 
was found to be the result of several factors, including tornado damage to 
high-voltage power lines, wind farms disconnecting from the grid due to heavy 
disturbance and the Victorian Heywood interconnector disconnecting.

South Australian power stations had suffered from lightning strikes, delaying 
attempts to restore power at a local level, meaning power had to be reconnected 
through Victoria, which took longer.

But blame was immediately levelled at the then state Labor government’s 
renewable energy push, leading to an energy policy debate which helped topple 
Malcolm Turnbull as prime minister and looks set to continue into the next 
election.

Labor has committed to increasing investment in renewable energy technologies, 
while the Coalition maintains a “technology neutral approach”, which includes 
new coal-fired power stations, as long as it brings down costs.

The recent heatwaves across eastern Australia came with warnings of potential 
overloading of the energy networks, leading to further calls for ‘reliable 
baseload power’, particularly from coal proponents.

The Grattan report found just 0.1% of blackouts over the past 10 years during 
extreme weather were the result of a lack of power generation.

But the report also acknowledged that as power stations such as Liddell and 
Hazlewood came to the end of their life cycle and were decommissioned, more 
pressure would be put on the network to meet demand.

But they warned “cool-headed policy” not “panic and politicking” was needed to 
ensure Australia remained connected.

“As more old coal generators are closed and summer heatwaves become more 
severe, outages will increase unless investment in new supply follows,” it 
found.

“A stable policy framework to reduce emissions and ensure that retailers have 
enough supply will encourage that investment and keep this problem rare.

“Further reforms, such as a centralised capacity market, or direct government 
intervention to support investment are not required.

“… Increasing renewable generation does create challenges for an aging power 
system. But energy market authorities have taken significant steps since the SA 
blackout to ready the grid for a future with much more wind and solar 
generation.”
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