What really annoys me is when the government tries to do a snow job on us all
Scotty from marketing today put on his salesman's hat and tried to convince the country that his presentation on coronavirus modelling was all they had. This was the slide deck he used: https://s3.amazonaws.com/files.scribblelive.com/2020/4/7/2928378_340853142bc011a4-b1b9-4fd2-9358-d26f2130b1a5.pdf A few little details. There is nothing in those slides that applies to Australia. He references the University of Melbourne (Doherty Institute) pandemic modelling team but not Quantium Health. According to this: https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2020/mar/28/government-increases-spend-on-covid-19-data-analytics-as-it-declines-to-release-modelling "The health department upped its spend on a contract with Quantium Health from $1.1m to $3.1m" Quantium Health is a Joint Venture between Discovery Ltd, and Quantium Group Discovery Ltd is a South African Financial services company en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Discovery and the Quantium group does data analytics. https://quantium.com/ Their web site says: "Translating raw data into actionable insight" It looks to me as though they have done a lot of economic modelling but a) don't want to own up to it and b) have done no pandemic modelling beyond what others have done and released weeks ago. If you want to see what modelling has been going on around the world look at this: https://coronavirustechhandbook.com/forecasting especially Imperial College work. https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/sph/ide/gida-fellowships/Imperial-College-COVID19-NPI-modelling-16-03-2020.pdf Scotty said in his presentation that more realistic models and plans will be developed and that the "Focus of future modelling is based on real world Australian data" The government must have a lot of data already otherwise Quantium Health would have nothing to show for its millions. What modelling has the government already done on that data but has not released? I can't believe they have been making decisions on the modelling they released today. They may cunning but they are not stupid. IMHO, the big questions are "What is he hiding and why?" -- Regards brd Bernard Robertson-Dunn Canberra Australia email: b...@iimetro.com.au _______________________________________________ Link mailing list Link@mailman.anu.edu.au http://mailman.anu.edu.au/mailman/listinfo/link
