On 20/4/20 6:03 pm, [email protected] wrote:
Just read on another discussion group. I can't recall if it was privacy
or link list where models were discussed, so am sending to both for
examination:
https://www.dhhs.vic.gov.au/theoretical-modelling-inform-victorias-response-coronavirus-covid-19
That points to the Doherty Institute paper of 7 Apr 2020.
It just uses a standard SEIR model, which is pretty limited in scope:
https://www.doherty.edu.au/news-events/news/covid-19-modelling-papers
https://www.doherty.edu.au/uploads/content_doc/McVernon_Modelling_COVID-19_07Apr1_with_appendix.pdf
I'm arguing that policy-makers need a lot more than that.
A broader state-transition model, plus some text is here:
http://www.rogerclarke.com/EC/CVM.pdf
http://www.rogerclarke.com/EC/CVMT.pdf
http://www.rogerclarke.com/EC/CVCT.pdf
This is a little off-topic for both lists, but I'd be delighted if
anyone's prepared to offer sanity-checking or technical critique.
Thanks!
--
Roger Clarke mailto:[email protected]
T: +61 2 6288 6916 http://www.xamax.com.au http://www.rogerclarke.com
Xamax Consultancy Pty Ltd 78 Sidaway St, Chapman ACT 2611 AUSTRALIA
Visiting Professor in the Faculty of Law University of N.S.W.
Visiting Professor in Computer Science Australian National University
_______________________________________________
Link mailing list
[email protected]
http://mailman.anu.edu.au/mailman/listinfo/link
