I enclose details of our latest telecommunications & networks report. Annual report on access technologies: highspeed Internet, cable modems, Fibre-to-the-home (FTTH) xDSL, LMDS, broadband wireless, 802.11 (Wi Fi), KA-band satellites.
Report also contains: Technology information Global overview Trends and Developments Business Strategies User statistics Revenues and forecasts Industry policies Regulatory; research and marketing issues For a complete index of this report click on http://www.researchandmarkets.com/reports/28407 Executive Summary The huge and growing demand for broadband is slow in being met. This is predominantly due the resistance by the incumbent telcos that want to maximise the life of their existing networks, and to the lack of suitable marketing models and content. Most national governments have been unable to influence the incumbent telcos to speed up their activities. Korea and Japan are notable exceptions to this, and their development of broadband leads the world. Over the past years, incumbent telcos have been moving into the services and content areas, with their totally different marketing and management needs. This has slowed up the broadband process even further. There is a gradual move by governments around the world to separate the national carriers� high-technology activity of providing infrastructure from the high-marketing activities of providing content and services. Due to the slowness of the incumbents to provide suitable broadband infrastructure, it is interesting to see the efforts of some cities and large communities to provide their own infrastructures. This is allowing them to develop new local applications such as health care, job creation, export etc. With the gradual relaxation by the telcos, the constantly falling prices, the advent of new applications and the adoption of new marketing approaches, the availability of broadband is poised to expand quickly. Cable was the first successful platform to provide broadband services, but required the laying of entirely new networks. Digital Subscriber Line (DSL) technologies require only modifications to existing networks, are therefore cheaper to implement, and are overtaking Cable. Other delivery platforms such as Ka band satellite, Fibre-to-the-Home (FTTH), broadband wireless, wireless Local Area Networks (LAN) etc are being developed and will assist in the eventual total availability of broadband. The Report provides overviews of these developments and analyses of many of these trends and developments, allowing organisations to pursue those business opportunities that add to their bottom line, rather than chasing industry and technology hype. A range of statistics provides essential data for the development of business strategies and business plans. Report Index: 1.BROADBAND MARKET ANALYSIS � 2003 1.1 Executive summary 1.1.1 Broadband vision 1.1.2 An overview 1.1.3 Overview and analysis � markets 1.1.4 Market analysis by Paul Budde 1.1.5 Global policies 1.1.6 Broadbanding local communities 1.1.7 Services 1.1.8 Content networks 1.1.9 Multimedia 1.1.10 Access technologies 1.1.11 xDSL 1.1.12 Cable telephony and cable modems 1.1.13 Ethernets and FTTH 1.1.14 Wireless broadband 1.1.15 Ka Band 1.1.16 Infrastructure 1.1.17 Industry developments 2. BROADBAND � A VISION FOR NATIONAL POLICIES 2.1 Introduction 2.2 Visionary approach is needed 2.3 Significant economic and social benefits 2.4 National models 2.5 The roles of the players 2.5.1 Vision and cooperation pays off 2.5.2 Governments 2.5.3 The industry 2.5.4 National telecoms operators 2.6 Rural and regional users 2.7 How to get there? 2.7.1 Step 1 (always-on, affordable high-speed Internet access) 2.7.2 Step 2 (content-rich applications) 2.8 Broadband � a concept not a technology 2.8.1 The broadband experience 2.8.2 Broadband will move up to 50Mb/s 2.8.3 Infrastructure competition and infrastructure sharing 2.9 The costs of developing broadband 2.10 National Broadband Agendas 2.11 Broadband targets 2.12 Broadband campaign 3. AN OVERVIEW 3.1 Definitions 3.2 Thirty years in the making 3.2.1 Early developments dating back to 1970s and 1980s 3.2.2 The 1994 debacles 3.2.3 Government initiatives during the 1990s 3.2.4 Internet: missing link in the information highway 3.2.5 Global - Broadbanding Local Communities 3.3 Broadband � glimpses of the next stage 3.4 Policies and principles 3.5 Broadband services 3.5.1 Evolution not revolution 3.5.2 Broadband uncertainties 4. TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS - MARKETS 4.1 Introduction 4.2 Services are following high-speed access � 2003 4.2.1 VOD is growing 4.3 Prelude to massive growth � 2002 4.3.1 High speed outpaces dial up 4.3.2 Start of the early boom 4.3.3 Statistical overview from the OECD 4.4 Residential market 4.4.1 Internet households � the early adopters 4.4.2 User statistics 4.4.3 Strategy Analytics forecast � 2003 4.5 Business market 4.6 Market and revenues forecasts 4.6.1 Yankee Group 4.6.2 MRG: 80 million world broadband users by 2004 4.6.3 ARC Group 4.6.4 eMarketer 4.6.5 US forecasts 4.6.6 Ovum forecast 4.6.7 Reviewing a 1996 Datamonitor Forecast in 2002 4.7 Market trends 4.7.1 Another look at �always-on high-speed� 4.7.2 What broadband users want 4.7.3 Broadband users want more services 4.7.4 Summary 4.8 Broadband usage and attitudes study 5. MARKET ANALYSIS BY PAUL BUDDE 5.1 Broadband x Data Centre predictions are coming true 5.2 Market issues 5.2.1 The long wait for broadband 5.2.2 Over-promised and under-delivered forecasts 5.2.3 The price has to be right 5.2.4 User demand or industry prescription 5.2.5 And the leaders are�. 5.2.6 Critical mass by 2003/2004 5.3 Users in the driver�s seat 5.3.1 Customers first want lower access prices 5.3.2 Customers not operators indicate what is value-added 5.3.3 Permission based marketing 5.4 Broadband infrastructure 5.4.1 From information highway to information superhighway 5.4.2 Urgent need for open networks 6. GLOBAL POLICIES 6.1 Introduction 6.2 The deteriorated state of affairs by 2002 6.2.1 Less competition 6.2.2 The stranglehold of vertical integrated telcos 6.2.3 Are disasters needed before we see changes? 6.2.4 3G problems 6.2.5 Regulators will need to lift their game 6.2.6 Structural separation under discussion 6.3 Economic policy principles 6.4 Global Information Infrastructure Commission 6.5 Towards a Global Information Society (OECD) 7. BROADBANDING LOCAL COMMUNITIES 7.1 Framework for local government policies 7.2 Cities are taking charge 7.3 Visionary approach is needed 7.4 Significant economic and social benefits 7.5 The Local Council model 7.6 The roles of the players 7.6.1 Vision and cooperation pays off 7.6.2 Local Government 7.6.3 The industry 7.6.4 Broadband operators 7.7 Outlying areas 7.7.1 Economic non-viable areas 7.7.2 Local governments need to be involved 7.7.3 Councillors and bureaucrats need to be connected first 7.7.4 Pre-empt political action 7.7.5 Subsidies? 7.7.6 Cooperation with operators 7.8 How to get there? 7.8.1 Step 1 (always-on, affordable high-speed Internet access) 7.8.2 Step 2 (content-rich applications) 7.9 Broadband � a concept not a technology 7.9.1 The broadband experience 7.9.2 Broadband will move up to 50Mb/s 7.10 A city broadband agenda 7.11 Broadband campaign 7.12 City marketing 7.12.1 The concept of Telematica 7.12.2 Three strategic elements of telematica 7.12.3 City systems centre 7.12.4 High-speed communities 7.13 Examples of tele-cities 8. BROADBAND SERVICES 8.1 Convergence creates new demand for services 8.2 Services and content � key to success 8.3 Killer applications 8.4 Videophones for the blind! 8.5 Hollywood-on-demand 8.5.1 Twenty years in the making 8.5.2 Important killer-app. 8.5.3 DVD pirates triggered the studios 8.5.4 Movielink 8.6 Probing for demand 8.6.1 TV vs PC 8.6.2 PC still the main device 8.6.3 Next frontier � Video on Demand 8.7 Unmet demand 8.8 The 12 Principles of Killer App Design 9. CONTENT NETWORKS 9.1 Failing to see the tsunami coming 9.2 Market statistics 9.2.1 Content networking 9.2.2 Content and document management services market 9.3 Entry strategy is high-speed Internet 9.4 Content enterprise networks 9.5 The broadband Internet grid 9.6 Most incumbents have already lost the race 9.7 Intelligent content storage, routing and distribution 9.8 Business models for those who want to see them 9.9 Open networks with permission-based models 9.10 Looking for the wrong content 10. MULTIMEDIA 10.1 Introduction 10.2 Multimedia over networks 10.2.1 From VOD to ADSL and Internet and VoD 10.2.2 Business market applications 10.2.3 Multimedia access systems 10.2.4 Multimedia networking 10.3 Optical discs 10.3.1 CD-ROM � interactive TV on the PC 10.3.2 From CD-I to DVD 10.3.3 High Density Digital Video Disc (DVD) 10.3.4 Potential for DVD 10.3.5 DVD growth forecasts 10.3.6 DVD consoles 10.4 Digital video recorders 10.5 The future of optical drives 11. INDUSTRY DEVELOPMENTS 11.1 Convergence - IP applications 11.1.1 Technology forecast: 2002-2004 11.1.2 Converging networks 11.1.3 IP=IT 11.1.4 IP - enhanced services 11.1.5 Deploy IP or else � 11.2 Converging industries 11.2.1 From telecommunications to applications networks 11.2.2 Telcos and Cable TV operators 11.2.3 Broadcasters and the Internet 11.2.4 IT - key to the telecommunications industry 11.2.5 The brave new e-world 11.3 Industry structure 11.3.1 Industry re-alignment 11.3.2 Industry focus: marketing 11.3.3 Technology tools: Internet and ISDN 11.3.4 National broadband structure 11.4 Industry consortia 11.4.1 Introduction 11.4.2 Broadband Forum 11.4.3 Digital Audio Visual Council � DAVIC (Historic) 11.4.4 Digital Audio/Video Interactive Decoder � DAVID 11.4.5 DVB � DAVIC 11.4.6 European Telecommunication Standards Institute (ETSI) 11.4.7 IMTC 11.4.8 International Standards Organisation (ISO) 11.4.9 Internet Telecommunications Protocol Initiative (TIPIA) 11.4.10 MCCOI (historic) 11.4.11 Multimedia Home Platform (DVB initiative) 11.4.12 Multimedia Services Affiliate Forum (MSAF) (Historic) 11.4.13 TeleManagement Forum 11.4.14 TINA-C (Historic) 11.4.15 TV Anywhere 11.5 Analysis of the multi-utility market 11.5.1 The need to expand beyond electricity 11.5.2 Various business models 11.5.3 Costing and timeframes 11.5.4 Multi-services companies 11.5.5 Utilities important factor in facilities-based telecoms competition 11.5.6 UtiliTel national infrastructure cooperation 11.5.7 Start with existing network 11.5.8 Broadbanding of local communities 11.5.9 Conclusions 12. BROADBAND INFRASTRUCTURE 12.1 Industry trends 12.1.1 From narrowband to broadband Internet 12.1.2 Interactive multimedia 12.1.3 Push from telecommunications market 12.2 Industry focus: marketing 12.2.1 Money is in the residential market 12.2.2 Price elasticity is well above one 12.3 Network trends 12.3.1 Insatiable need for bandwidth 12.3.2 Bandwidth top priority for businesses 12.3.3 Bandwidth trading 12.3.4 Fixed will be wireless, wireless will be fixed 12.4 Fibre-to-the-Home is beginning 12.5 Voice over Broadband (VOBB) 13.INDUSTRY DEVELOPMENTS 13.1 Convergence - IP applications 13.1.1 Technology forecast: 2002-2004 13.1.2 Converging networks 13.1.3 IP=IT 13.1.4 IP - enhanced services 13.1.5 Deploy IP or else � 13.2 Converging industries 13.2.1 From telecommunications to applications networks 13.2.2 Telcos and Cable TV operators 13.2.3 Broadcasters and the Internet 13.2.4 IT � key to the telecommunications industry 13.2.5 The brave new e-world 13.3 Industry structure 13.3.1 Industry re-alignment 13.3.2 Industry focus: marketing 13.3.3 Technology tools: Internet and ISDN 13.3.4 National broadband structure 13.4 Industry consortia 13.4.1 Introduction 13.4.2 Broadband Forum 13.4.3 Digital Audio Visual Council � DAVIC (Historic) 13.4.4 Digital Audio/Video Interactive Decoder � DAVID 13.4.5 DVB � DAVIC 13.4.6 European Telecommunication Standards Institute (ETSI) 13.4.7 IMTC 13.4.8 International Standards Organisation (ISO) 13.4.9 Internet Telecommunications Protocol Initiative (TIPIA) 13.4.10 MCCOI (historic) 13.4.11 Multimedia Home Platform (DVB initiative) 13.4.12 Multimedia Services Affiliate Forum (MSAF) (Historic) 13.4.13 TeleManagement Forum 13.4.14 TINA-C (Historic) 13.4.15 TV Anywhere 13.5 Analysis of the multi-utility market 13.5.1 The need to expand beyond electricity 13.5.2 Various business models 13.5.3 Costing and timeframes 13.5.4 Multi-services companies 13.5.5 Utilities important factor in facilities-based telecoms competition 13.5.6 UtiliTel national infrastructure cooperation 13.5.7 Start with existing network 13.5.8 Broadbanding of local communities 13.5.9 Conclusions 14. ACCESS TECHNOLOGIES 14.1 From Internet to Information Highway 14.2 Different access strategies 14.2.1 Cable TV companies 14.2.2 The telcos 14.2.3 Multi-service utilities 14.3 Overview of major access technologies 14.4 Alternative access providers 15. xDSL 15.1 Technology 15.1.1 Common characteristics of xDSL 15.1.2 ADSL 15.1.3 xDSL technology and terminology 15.1.4 VDSL 15.1.5 VODSL � Voice over DSL 15.1.6 Standards 15.2 Marketing xDSL 15.2.1 Conquering the world 15.2.2 The growth of DSL 15.2.3 DSL market statistics 15.2.4 VDSL 15.2.5 Competition in the local loop 15.2.6 Technical and marketing issues 15.2.7 Forecasts and statistics 16. CABLE TELEPHONY AND CABLE MODEMS 16.1.1 Cable telephony 16.1.2 Cable modems 16.1.3 Cable modems vs xDSL 17. ETHERNET AND FTTH 17.1 Optical communications 17.2 Future infrastructure � strategic analysis 17.2.1 Future scenario planning 17.2.2 From telecommunications to information highway 17.2.3 Converging networks 17.2.4 The telecommunications market in ten years� time 17.3 Fibre-based access 17.3.1 Back on the agenda by 2005 17.3.2 Early trials 17.3.3 Massive changes in network management 17.3.4 Migration patterns 17.3.5 Full Service Access Network initiative (historical) 17.4 LAN Ethernet 17.5 Optical Ethernet networks 17.5.1 Alternatives to DSL and HFC networks 17.5.2 Technologies 17.5.3 The realities of Ethernet 17.6 ITU sets global standard for metro networks 17.7 Metro Ethernets in the Asia Pacific 17.7.1 Market overview 17.7.2 Australia 17.7.3 China 17.7.4 Hong Kong 17.7.5 Korea 17.8 Blown Fibre 17.8.1 Introduction 17.8.2 System overview 17.8.3 Key components 17.8.4 Applications 18. WIRELESS BROADBAND 18.1 Technologies 18.1.1 Introduction 18.1.2 Mobile-based technologies 18.1.3 Fixed wireless technologies 18.1.4 Local Multipoint Distribution Services (LMDS) 18.1.5 Multichannel Multipoint Distribution System (MMDS) 18.1.6 Industry boost for MMDS and LMDS 18.1.7 Digital TV 18.2 WLANs, 802.11, Wi-Fi 18.2.1 Wireless LANs 18.2.2 Analysis 18.2.3 Road warriors (Analysis) 18.2.4 Market forecasts 18.2.5 WLAN technology 18.2.6 Spread spectrum 19. SATELLITE-BASED BROADBAND (KA-BAND) 19.1 Preparing for a global data network 19.2 What is Ka-Band 19.2.1 C-band 19.2.2 Ku-band 19.2.3 Ka-Band 19.3 Market issues 19.3.1 Marketing is key to success 19.3.2 Business applications will drive the market 19.4 Internet-in-the-sky 19.4.1 Introduction 19.4.2 Internet opportunities for ISPs 19.4.3 Some of the first services 19.4.4 Internet pitfalls 19.4.5 Market forecast 19.5 Network issues 19.5.1Technical developments 19.5.2 Alternative network solutions 19.6 Industry issues 19.7 Market forecasts 19.7.1 Overall revenue 19.7.2 Applications 19.7.3 Residential markets 19.7.4 Business market 19.8 Ka-Band players and projects 19.8.1 What is Ka-Band 19.8.2 Major players 20. GLOSSARY OF ABBREVIATIONS List of Exhibits Exhibit 1 - Key points broadband Exhibit 2 � Information highway in 1858 Exhibit 3 � Superhighway principles Exhibit 4 � Evolutionary developments Exhibit 5 � Key starting-points for local broadbanding Exhibit 6 � Key broadbanding steps Exhibit 7 � Some application bit rates Exhibit 8 � From Kilobit to Yottabit Exhibit 9 � Information highway offerings Exhibit 10 - The issue will be network capacity Exhibit 11 � Some application bit rates Exhibit 12 � Multimedia developments Exhibit 13 � IP based enhanced services Exhibit 14 � Vision of the future � 2000 to 2025 Exhibit 15 � Communities, not telcos, should take the lead Exhibit 16 � Broadband infrastructure drivers Exhibit 17 � DAVIC (Digital Audio/Visual Industry Committee/Council) Exhibit 18 � DVB � DAVIC members, March 2001 Exhibit 19 - Key technical areas being addressed by ETSI in 2002 Exhibit 20 � IMTC�s mission Exhibit 21 � MSAF members 1999 Exhibit 22 � TINA-C Exhibit 23 � Listed energy information/energy management services Exhibit 24 - Business models Exhibit 25 � Telco technologies for utilities Exhibit 26 � Selection of utilities pursuing telecommunications Exhibit 27 � Three classes of utilities/carriers Exhibit 28 � E-services will improve our lifestyle Exhibit 29 � IP based enhanced services Exhibit 30 � Vision of the future � 2000 to 2025 Exhibit 31 � Communities, not telcos, should take the lead Exhibit 32 � Broadband infrastructure drivers Exhibit 33 � DAVIC (Digital Audio/Visual Industry Committee/Council) Exhibit 34 � DVB � DAVIC members, March 2001 Exhibit 35 - Key technical areas addressed by ETSI in 2002 Exhibit 36 � IMTC�s mission Exhibit 37 � MSAF members 1999 Exhibit 38 � TINA-C Exhibit 39 � Listed energy information/energy management services Exhibit 40 - Business models Exhibit 41 � Telco technologies for utilities Exhibit 42 � Selection of utilities pursuing telecommunications Exhibit 43 � Three classes of utilities/carriers Exhibit 44 � Key elements of the information highway infrastructure Exhibit 45 � Key information highway techniques Exhibit 46 � Strengths and weaknesses of existing networks with respect to the global information infrastructure Exhibit 47 � Some application bit rates Exhibit 48 � Overview of physical distribution networks for high-speed services Exhibit 49 � Comparison of access platforms� advantages and disadvantages Exhibit 50 � SDSL and ADSL compared Exhibit 51 � xDSL Technology and Terminology Exhibit 52 � Comparison of ADSL and HFC systems Exhibit 53 � The Universal ADSL Working Group (UAWG) � 2000 Exhibit 54 � 3DSL and PoDSL Exhibit 55 - VDSL technology Exhibit 56 � Overview of major cable modem operators and projects outside USA Exhibit 57 � Will ADSL be fast enough? Exhibit 58 � Traditional networks vs Optical Fibre Networks Exhibit 59 � Comparison of access platforms� advantages and disadvantages Exhibit 60 � LMDS countries � 2001 Exhibit 61 - Medium Speed WLANs (transmission rates in the range of 256kb/s to 2Mb/s) Exhibit 62 - Higher Speed WLAN (transmission rates greater than 10Mb/s) Exhibit 63 � Radiata�s wireless engine Exhibit 64 � About spread-spectrum wireless communications Exhibit 65 � 802.11a and b Exhibit 66 � Wi-Fi certification Exhibit 67 � Frequency spectrum allocation for common commercial US SATCOM bands Exhibit 68 � Satellite-based ISPs Table 1 � Broadband subscribers by country � 2002 Table 2 � Broadband access amongst Internet households � 2001 Table 3 � US broadband households forecast � 2002-2008 Table 4 � Residential European broadband penetration � 2002 Table 5 � US residential and SME broadband lines � 2001-2002 Table 6 � Broadband households in the US � 2000-2004 Table 7 � Interactive revenues by country � 1996-2001 Table 8 � Service providers� revenues received from interactive TV subscribers and services � 1995; 1998; 2001; 2004 Table 9 � 1996 revenue estimates of number of interactive video services in Europe � 1994-2005 Table 10 � Take up time to reach 10 million customers in mass market Table 11 � Broadband access amongst Internet households � 2003 Table 12 � Market share film output Table 13 � Killer applications revenues � 2005 Table 14 � Enhanced Services � what US broadband users are interested in Table 15 � US broadband users willing to pay* for Enhanced Services Table 16 � Information highway services � level of interest Table 17 � What is the service worth to you? Table 18 � Interactive services, subscribers will pay for Table 19 � What does it mean? (DSL, 1Gb/s, DWDM) Table 20 � DVD household penetration forecasts � 1998-2005 Table 21 � Growth of network traffic � 1999-2003 Table 22 � The new bandwidth providers � 2001 overview Table 23 � Growth of Network Traffic � 1999-2003 Table 24 � Access technologies: worldwide market share � 1998; 2002 Table 25 � Roll-out costs � residential information highway Table 26 � World top ten countries for DSL � 2001-2002 Table 27 � Worldwide DSL lines by region � 2002 Table 28 � DSL subscribers by operator � mid-2001 Table 29 � Regional breakdown DSL broadband deployment figures � 2001 Table 30 � Cable telephony subscribers � 2002 Table 31 � Cable modems in OECD � 1999-2001 Table 32 � Cable modem forecasts � 1996; 2005 Table 33 � Regional overview � 2000 Table 34 � Broadband subscribers by country� June 2002 Table 35 � LMDS bundling market opportunities Table 36 � Value of satellite ISP link marketplace � 1998-2001; 2006 Table 37 � Total value of the IP over satellite market � 1998-2000 Table 38 � Global capacity of transponders � 1997; 1999; 2002 Table 39 � Revenue predictions � 1998-2005 Report Pricing: Hard Copy EUR 530 Electronic EUR 637 Site Licence EUR 2,547 ORDERING - FOUR EASY WAYS TO PLACE YOUR ORDER: Order online: To order this report please click on http://www.researchandmarkets.com/reports/28407 Order via email: mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] Order via fax-back form: Click on http://www.researchandmarkets.com/reports/28407 Fax to +353 14957318 Order via post: Click on http://www.researchandmarkets.com/reports/28407 Mail to Research and Markets Ltd., Guinness Centre, Taylors Lane, Dublin 8, Ireland Related Reports Available from Research & Markets Ltd: Broadband Audience : Maximizing Revenue from the New Mainstream - http://www.researchandmarkets.com/reports/3353 Broadband Brokerage: Positioning for Growth Among Key Customers - http://www.researchandmarkets.com/reports/3345 Access 2003: A Market and Technology Assessment of the Broadband First Mile - http://www.researchandmarkets.com/reports/28437 European Broadband Internet Forecasts, 2001-2007 - http://www.researchandmarkets.com/reports/3361 Click on http://www.researchandmarkets.com for details. Thank you for your consideration. Kind Regards, Laura Wood Senior Manager Research and Markets Ltd [EMAIL PROTECTED] REPORT DATA SUMMARY: Broadband Market - 2003 Publisher Name: Paul Budde Communication Pty Ltd. Date Published: 28/04/03 Number of Pages: 242 Category: Telecommunications & Networks URL: www.researchandmarkets.com/reports/28407 Subscribe: Click on http://www.researchandmarkets.com/register.asp You can subscribe free for regular details on new research in your sector. If you no longer wish to receive our market research updates, please reply to this message with "Suppression Request" as the subject line, or email a blank email to [EMAIL PROTECTED] or access our unsubscribe page at: http://www.researchandmarkets.com/unsubscribe.asp ------------------------------------------------------- This SF.Net email sponsored by: Parasoft Error proof Web apps, automate testing & more. 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