gratifying to see the ROW wake up slowly

- hanisha

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Can an Open-Source Database Threaten Microsoft,
Oracle, and IBM? 
MySQL still lacks many features big customers want,
but the software maker and CEO Marten Mickos have
dazzling opportunities ahead. 
FORTUNE
Wednesday, March 12, 2003 
By David Kirkpatrick 


Talking last week with Marten Mickos, CEO of MySQL,
took me back to the golden days of 1999. Here was a
fresh-faced, unbelievably enthusiastic CEO, raving
about the future prospects of his product, just like
so many executives I met back in those unreal times.
But Mickos has a very real opportunity. The
open-source movement has become a major factor across
the software industry, and MySQL is the world's most
popular open-source database. 

In contrast to typical commercial software,
open-source products have their underlying programming
code available for all to see and modify. The products
are also free or close to it, which, needless to say,
helps them grow rapidly if they're good. MySQL is used
in four million installations around the world, Mickos
estimates. The product gets downloaded for free off
the company's website about 30,000 times a day. And
here's what Sun CEO Scott McNealy said in a February
interview with Computerworld: "If you want to
save...money, make the default database MySQL. It's
free, it's bundled [with Sun's Solaris software],
you've got the whole open-source community working on
making it better. If Yahoo and Google can run their
entire operations on MySQL, then certainly there's a
huge chunk of your operations that could run on it as
well." 

McNealy slightly exaggerated the Yahoo and Google
stuff, but both companies do use MySQL extensively. I
e-mailed so-called "Technical Yahoo" Jeremy Zawodny,
who replied: "We use it all over the place-for batch
feed processing in Yahoo Classifieds and Yahoo
Finance, to serve live content in Yahoo Sports, Yahoo
News and Yahoo Finance, and even in some billing
systems. Our usage continues to grow." 

And the product has impressive capabilities. It is
mostly used to run websites, including
Alwayson-Network.com, Slashdot.org, parts of Sony
Pictures, and many more. In addition, it's built into
products from many technology companies. Aside from
Solaris, it goes into the server version of Mac OS X
and most commercial versions of Linux. Cisco puts it
into intrusion detection devices. 

MySQL employs a so-called dual licensing model.
Anybody can download the product for free and use it
for whatever they want, but in so doing they become
ethically obliged to share any modifications with the
company. However, there's a second option. Pay for the
product and you can do anything you want with it.
"We're not a charity," says Mickos. "Even when we give
it away free we always get a benefit out of it. We
have the world's largest quality assurance facility." 

This database costs only $395 for every server on
which it is installed, quite a contrast to the $20,000
you might pay for Oracle. The product also runs on
cheaper hardware and typically is cheaper to maintain.
MySQL had $5 million in revenues last year, a figure
that should double in 2003, says Mickos. Privately
funded, with ABN Amro lead investor, the Swedish
company just turned profitable. 

MySQL lacks many features big companies want for using
it with applications that are central to their
business, like manufacturing or finance software from
companies like SAP. But it is getting inexorably
better thanks to all those helpers bequeathed by its
business model. Says open-source expert Stacey Quandt
at the Giga Information Group: "As the
feature/functionality gap continues to narrow, MySQL
will eventually take market share away from Oracle,
[IBM's] DB2, and Microsoft SQL Server at the high
end." Charlie Garry at Meta Group says open-source
software is now supplanting costlier proprietary
software for well-defined, commoditized tasks. He
predicts that the established vendors will fight back
with free, stripped-down versions of their own
products, but he has no doubt about MySQL's prospects:
"MySQL will penetrate the enterprise similarly to the
way SQL Server did, but with much greater speed."
Yahoo's Zawodny makes a different analogy: "MySQL is
to Oracle as Linux is to Windows. It will slowly but
steadily creep up the food chain, just like Linux
has." 

Mickos is already seeing real headway. "I estimate we
command 20% of the worldwide installed base of
databases," he says , "but of revenues we only command
only .02%. So there's a factor of 1,000." He laughs.
"And we are making money. People ask me 'What's
wrong-why are you leaving money on the table?' We say
'You should ask the other database companies what is
wrong with their cost structure." His confidence may
be 1999, but his pragmatism and customer-centric
approach are very 2003. 

Questions? Comments? E-mail them to me at 
[EMAIL PROTECTED]

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