When former federal justice minister Allan Rock proposed his national gun control registry in the 1990s, he estimated that the cost would be only $85 million to complete the job, and consist after that only of ongoing maintenance of the registry.

The price would be well worth it, he claimed. The registration of all long guns -- that is, rifles and shotguns; Canada has required the registration of handguns for almost seven decades -- would dramatically reduce the rate of gun-related crime.

That was seven years ago. Last week, Treasury Board officials told the Senate committee on national finance that by the year 2005, the gun registry will have cost Canadians at least $1 billion: "From the Treasury Board Secretariat perspective, we are very concerned about this file," deputy comptroller Richard Neville told the senators when asked why, seven years after the $85-million price tag had been promised by Mr. Rock, and after almost 10 times that amount -- more than $800 million -- had already been spent on the project, the Department of Justice was asking for an additional $72 million to continue preparing the registry.

A billion-dollar price tag is pretty stiff by anyone's standards. Even so, if there were evidence that the gun registry were accomplishing the goals promised by Mr. Rock -- a significant reduction in gun-related crimes; the facilitation of solving those crimes by the police -- it might be justifiable.

Unfortunately, there is no such evidence. Canadian taxpayers have spent $800 million on this project already -- they are looking at $1 billion and counting by 2005 -- and it has not brought those goals closer. In fact, the contrary is the case. In the last five years, the number of killings committed with firearms has increased by almost 15 per cent, and most of those are committed with handguns, which have long been subject to registration. The use of long guns in criminal acts, the focus of the registry law's attention, remains relatively rare.

In the face of the evidence, work on the registry proceeds in the belief that registration will diminish the criminal use of firearms. The Treasury Board's report and the crime statistics suggest that the money might be better spent on upgrading police forces and emergency response services.

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Scott MacLean
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http://www.nerosoft.com

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