On Mar 14, 2010, at 10:47 AM, Martin Hairer wrote:

> I am a bit worried that this is the beginning of a trend to reduce Apple's 
> commitment to the Mac platform in favour of the iPhone / iPad / iPod platform.

The *beginning*? Apple’s been showing their new focus on the iPhone for years, 
and the way they’ve presented the iPad has made it very clear that this is 
their general computing platform for the future, not the Mac.

I’m skeptical that the Mac will be canceled outright anytime in the immediate 
future because pro apps like Final Cut and Xcode are clearly unworkable on an 
iPad-like device. But I would absolutely put any amount of money on them 
working on an iPhone-Pro OS for a large-screen form factor and professional 
workflows. I think it’ll be a few years before it shows up, and it’ll take a 
few more years to phase over the transition, but I think the writing is on the 
wall.

> If this is true and we (i.e. the Mac developers in general) are forced to 
> rewrite our products almost from scratch for the iPhone OS just a few years 
> after being forced to rewrite them almost from scratch for Mac OS X, then I 
> start to seriously worry about Apple's ability to retain large software 
> developers.... Any thoughts?

Honestly, I think that the large software developers aren’t the ones to be 
worried about. In the timeframes we’re talking, any big corp would find it a 
reasonable investment to port most apps over to the iPhone OS in order to take 
advantage of the greater audience and to be a part of the trendy new thing. 
They’ve got money (so they can heavily advertise, etc., and be able to stand 
out in the marketplace), are only interested in money (so they don’t have 
philosophical/moral objections to the way the system is being run), have fairly 
“normal” apps that are supported by the OS, and there’s examples (like the 
recent “sexy” app purge) of the big guys getting better treatment than the 
little guys.

So really, I think the large developers are going to be fine. The small 
developers…well, we don’t have big advertising budgets, tend to listen more to 
our consciences, and many of us (like me) make utility-style apps that are 
forbidden or not supported by the OS.

There seems to be quite a division among the indies. I think almost everybody 
is excited about the new platforms and interaction models, and think that 
there’s some amazing user experience to be had. But there’s a (growing?) 
collection of us that are just too disturbed by the general hostility of the 
environment to want to embrace the platform. It would be nice if we could still 
have the Pro niche to work in (anybody who’s been a Mac developer for a 
significant amount of time is obviously comfortable being in a niche market), 
but I’m not sure how long that’s going to remain business-viable, or even a 
market that exists at all.

I don’t know what I’d do in that situation. I don’t really like developing for 
other alternative markets either, though that’s mostly for technical reasons. 
Most of the other objecting indies I’ve talked with are much the same. This 
being the Mac Software Business list, I’d be very interested in hearing any 
insight or ideas people have on the subject. It’s definitely a topic that keeps 
me up at night.

Best,
br

-- 
Benjamin Rister
President, Decimus Software, Inc.
http://decimus.net/



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