We have a product, GreenArrow Monitor, that is a fairly standard inbox rate
monitoring tool.  Senders incorporate the Monitor seed list, our robot
collects and collates the data, users see the results, merriment may or may
not ensue.

Recently we had occasion to investigate weirdness in Hotmail stats.  We would
expect, for any campaign, given identical messages and uniform rules, they
should all go to the inbox or all to the bulk folder.  Additionally, if there
is zero inbox delivery, the open stats should be miserable.

What we have been seeing is fractional inbox rates (45%?) and cases where the
reported inbox rate was zero but the unique opens were at 40%.

What we found was that each seed account had extensive safe- and
blocked-sender lists.  These differed between accounts.  Since the accounts
have no human users, this is unexpected.

Checking my own outlook.com account, used for investigating individual client
problems, I see unsolicited entries in the safe-sender list.  

I begin to formulate a plausible hypothesis that explains why so many of my
clients see comparativey dismal open rates for their fully AUP-compliant email
at hotmail, whilst seeing excellent response rates elsewhere.

Anyone have insights on this?

mdr
-- 
We must not confuse statistical probability with some transcendental
and utterly compelling force. 
  -- Unspiek, Baron Bodissey (Life, Volume II)


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