Do these accounts ever *SEND* email?
… Asking for a friend.

Aloha,
Michael.
--
Michael J Wise
Microsoft Corporation| Spam Analysis
"Your Spam Specimen Has Been Processed."
Got the Junk Mail Reporting 
Tool<http://www.microsoft.com/en-us/download/details.aspx?id=18275> ?

From: mailop <[email protected]> On Behalf Of Paul Kincaid-Smith
Sent: Wednesday, June 13, 2018 9:14 AM
To: Michael Rathbun <[email protected]>
Cc: [email protected]
Subject: Re: [mailop] Hotmail/msn/lutlook performing unsolicited updates to 
users' safe- and blocked-sender lists?

Hi MDR,

Like you, we see promotional/marketing email achieve much lower inbox placement 
rates at Outlook compared to other ISPs like Gmail, Yahoo! and AOL. Even from 
responsible senders.

At EmailGrades we analyze billions of data points a month using panel data for 
ESP-wide performance analysis and benchmarking. It's a large sample. Outlook is 
clearly treating email differently than Gmail, Yahoo! and AOL -- but that might 
not be a bad thing.

My metrics suggest that Outlook has found a way to keep *read* rates in line 
with Gmail and Yahoo! even though Outlook moves a greater proportion of mail 
out of the Inbox into the spam folder. It seems they've found a way to identify 
mail that's less relevant to each recipient and keep it out of the recipient's 
inbox. Nothing's perfect, so I'm sure there's some collateral damage, but... if 
Microsoft's filters were aggressively moving heaps of *wanted* email out of the 
inbox, I'd expect Outlook's read rates to be lower, but my metrics show that 
read rates at Outlook are often in line with read rates at Gmail and Yahoo!

Image attached -- to show how an ESP's overall read rates at Outlook are 
similar to read rates at Gmail and Yahoo! -- even though this same ESP's inbox 
placement is far lower at Outlook (55-65%) than Gmail and Yahoo! (~80%).

(I'm probably measuring read rates differently than you. I use IMAP's "message 
read" flag, not an open tracking pixel or click-tracking link.)

Cheers,
Paul Kincaid-Smith

On Wed, Jun 13, 2018 at 9:20 AM, Michael Rathbun 
<[email protected]<mailto:[email protected]>> wrote:
We have a product, GreenArrow Monitor, that is a fairly standard inbox rate
monitoring tool.  Senders incorporate the Monitor seed list, our robot
collects and collates the data, users see the results, merriment may or may
not ensue.

Recently we had occasion to investigate weirdness in Hotmail stats.  We would
expect, for any campaign, given identical messages and uniform rules, they
should all go to the inbox or all to the bulk folder.  Additionally, if there
is zero inbox delivery, the open stats should be miserable.

What we have been seeing is fractional inbox rates (45%?) and cases where the
reported inbox rate was zero but the unique opens were at 40%.

What we found was that each seed account had extensive safe- and
blocked-sender lists.  These differed between accounts.  Since the accounts
have no human users, this is unexpected.

Checking my own 
outlook.com<https://na01.safelinks.protection.outlook.com/?url=http%3A%2F%2Foutlook.com&data=02%7C01%7Cmichael.wise%40microsoft.com%7C7daab93557d44043d77808d5d14a3868%7C72f988bf86f141af91ab2d7cd011db47%7C1%7C0%7C636645039070430612&sdata=2R1JJ8yUBi7hFsXcUYwPiVkAb%2FS6zMJ37%2BWt1jnq2xg%3D&reserved=0>
 account, used for investigating individual client
problems, I see unsolicited entries in the safe-sender list.

I begin to formulate a plausible hypothesis that explains why so many of my
clients see comparativey dismal open rates for their fully AUP-compliant email
at hotmail, whilst seeing excellent response rates elsewhere.

Anyone have insights on this?

mdr
--
We must not confuse statistical probability with some transcendental
and utterly compelling force.
  -- Unspiek, Baron Bodissey (Life, Volume II)


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