Dear colleagues,

The following article was recently published online:

Currey, R.J.C., Dawson, S.M. and Slooten, E. 2009. “An approach for  
regional threat assessment under IUCN Red List criteria that is  
robust to uncertainty: The Fiordland bottlenose dolphins are  
critically endangered” Biological Conservation, doi: 10.1016/j.biocon. 
2009.02.036

Numerous globally abundant species are exposed to human impacts that  
threaten the viability of regional populations. Assessing and  
characterising the risks faced by these populations can have  
significant implications for biodiversity conservation, given the  
ecological importance of many such species. To address these risks,  
the IUCN is starting to conduct assessments of regional populations  
in addition to species-level assessments of conservation status.  
Here, we demonstrate a threat assessment process that is robust to  
uncertainty, applying the IUCN criteria to a regional population of  
bottlenose dolphins in Fiordland, New Zealand. We compiled available  
population-specific information to assess the population under the  
five Red List criteria. We estimated there were 205 Fiordland  
bottlenose dolphins (CV = 3.5%), using current estimates of abundance  
for two sub-populations and stochastic modelling of an earlier  
estimate for the third sub-population. Population trajectory and  
extinction risk were assessed using stochastic age-structured Leslie  
matrix population models. The majority of model runs met the criteria  
for classification as critically endangered (C1: 67.6% of runs) given  
the number of mature individuals (123; CV = 6.7%) and the predicted  
rate of population decline (average decline: 31.4% over one  
generation). The evidence of isolation of the population confirms  
this was an appropriate regional classification. This approach  
provided an assessment that was robust to uncertainty.

A PDF copy of the article is available at http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/ 
j.biocon.2009.02.036 or send requests to [email protected].

Best wishes,

Rohan Currey
PhD Candidate
Marine Mammal Research Group
Department of Marine Science
University of Otago
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