My co-authors and I are pleased to share our new publication, “Emerging themes in Population Consequences of Disturbance models” in Proceedings of the Royal Society B:
Keen KA, Beltran RS, Pirotta E, Costa DP. 2021 Emerging themes in Population Consequences of Disturbance models. Proc. R. Soc. B 288: 20210325. https://doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2021.0325 <https://doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2021.0325>. Abstract: Assessing the non-lethal effects of disturbance from human activities is necessary for wildlife conservation and management. However, linking short-term responses to long-term impacts on individuals and populations is a significant hurdle for evaluating the risks of a proposed activity. The Population Consequences of Disturbance (PCoD) framework conceptually describes how disturbance can lead to changes in population dynamics, and its real-world application has led to a suite of quantitative models that can inform risk assessments. Here, we review PCoD models that forecast the possible consequences of a range of disturbance scenarios for marine mammals. In so doing, we identify common themes and highlight general principles to consider when assessing risk. We find that, when considered holistically, these models provide valuable insights into which contextual factors influence a population’s degree of exposure and sensitivity to disturbance. We also discuss model assumptions and limitations, identify data gaps and suggest future research directions to enable PCoD models to better inform risk assessments and conservation and management decisions. The general principles explored can help wildlife managers and practitioners identify and prioritize the populations most vulnerable to disturbance and guide industry in planning activities that avoid or mitigate population-level effects. The publication is open access and available at: https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/10.1098/rspb.2021.0325 <https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/10.1098/rspb.2021.0325>. Please feel free to reach out if you have any questions! Best, Kelly -- Kelly Ann Keen PhD Student | Costa Lab Ecology & Evolutionary Biology | UC Santa Cruz [email protected] <mailto:[email protected]> | [email protected] <mailto:[email protected]>
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