Dear MARMAM community,

My co-authors and I are happy to announce the online publication of the
following paper:

Martien, K.K., R.W. Baird, K.M. Robertson, M.A. Kratofil, S.D. Mahaffy,
K.I. West, S.J. Chivers, and F.I. Archer (2026). Epigenetic age estimation
for Hawaiian false killer whales (Pseudorca crassidens) in the absence of
‘known-age’ individuals. Molecular Ecology Resources, 26:e70099.

Abstract: Epigenetic aging models hold great promise for enhancing many
aspects of wildlife research and management. However, their utility is
limited by the need to train models using known-aged animals, which are
rare among wildlife species. We present a novel approach to developing
methylation-based age prediction models that enables us to train models
using samples from individuals whose chronological age is estimated with
uncertainty based on photo-identification catalog data. Our approach
incorporates this uncertainty into model training by representing the age
of each individual with a probability distribution rather than a point
estimate. We similarly represent the methylation profiles of individuals as
binomial distributions and produce a distribution of predicted age for each
sample that reflects the uncertainty in both its age and methylation
profile. We compared age models trained using a wide range of
parameterizations, training data sets, and analytical methods to determine
how well they predicted the catalog-based age estimates. The resulting
model has a median absolute error of 1.70 years, outperforming many
published clocks trained with known-age samples. This approach
significantly expands the range of species for which accurate
methylation-based age models can be developed, particularly those of
conservation concern where known-age samples are limited. By producing
distributions of predicted age, it also enables researchers to accurately
communicate the uncertainty in their age estimates to subsequent data users.

The paper is Open Access at Molecular Ecology Resources and can be
downloaded at https://doi.org/10.1111/1755-0998.70099. If you have any
trouble accessing the PDF, please contact Karen Martien (
[email protected]).

--
Karen K. Martien, Ph.D.
Southwest Fisheries Science Center
8901 La Jolla Shores Dr.
La Jolla, CA 92037, USA
858-546-7058
[email protected]
http://swfsc.noaa.gov/mmtd-mmgenetics

*I sometimes work irregular hours, but I respect your work schedule and do
not expect an action or reply outside of your working hours.*
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