Turning Left and Turning Right

By Victor Grossman

Berlin

October 7th marked the sixtieth anniversary of the
founding of the German Democratic Republic, and the
media let no-one forget it! Sarcasm prevailed, the
attacks were all-embracing and almost interrupted, the
only GDR relics spared in the attacks were the TV
Sandman broadcasts for children,  the jolly green and
red figures on traffic lights for pedestrians, and the
popular champagne made in East Germany. Everything else
was evil, it was all wrong (including many of the facts
in their media broadsides). This will all be repeated
on November 9th, the date the Berlin Wall fell.

Why do nearly all the media and the politicians never
refrain from kicking a dead horse twenty years after
its demise? Almost nobody wants to have the GDR back
the way it was, so why do East Germans get hammered all
the time about how miserable they had it in the years
from 1949 to 1989? Why is it all so distortedly one-
sided?

The answer is an open secret. Whether the powers-that-
be are best symbolized by the 99 billionaires and
several thousand millionaires controlling most of the
wealth, or the four parties which have largely run the
country, they are worried because ever fewer citizens
trust them or go out to vote at all. And because a new
challenge is developing, especially with the young
party called the Left.  It is a party of mixed
political parentage, with not a few inner differences,
but which continues to call for a socialist future. It
demands withdrawal of German troops from Afghanistan
and elsewhere, a reversal of anti-social measures
adopted by both the Social Democratic-Green and CDU-
Social Democratic governments which have run Germany
since 1998. It demands job programs, more child care,
free education, a return to the retirement age of 65,
decent support for the jobless, better pay for working
people ? and a rise in ridiculously low tax rates on
the wealthy to pay for them. For some, all this can be
frightening. The tried and true answer? Red-baiting, or
here, ?GDR baiting?.

But this is wearing thin. Four years ago 27 election
districts out of 51 in eastern Germany gave the Left
over 25 percent of the vote. This time it was 41. Back
in 2005 in western Germany  only eight districts gave 8
percent or more to the Left; this time it was 109, with
many reporting double-digit results. In the capital of
Berlin, even the snooty southwest borough gave the Left
a surprising 7.2 percent,  a borough with many foreign
? and unemployed -voters nearly double that. And in
former East Berlin the Left won all four boroughs hands
down, getting up to 41 percent. Those seemingly dry
statistics creased many a brow in once untroubled
office and government buildings.

But the gains of the Left on the federal level  did not
stop the rightwing parties. Angela Merkel?s CDU, though
it had lost two million voters since 2005, was still in
the lead. The Social Democrats had lost over six
million - their worst catastrophe since 1949 ? so the
government will again be run by Angela Merkel and her
CDU, but this time together  with the Free Democrats,
which got about 15 percent.

This can be a damaging mix. The Free Democrats is far
to the right, a ?big biz? party, with one curious
exception. It is a so-called ?liberal? party, which in
Germany today generally means all for ?free
enterprise?, with as few regulations or workers? rights
as possible. But one wing of the party, a rudiment of
earlier years, opposes the controls of telephones,
Email, private homes and snooping on employees which
have increased so much, usually coupled with panic
cries about terror attacks. Many Free Democrats oppose
this  ? but may well buckle under in current
negotiations. In most other spheres, they are even to
the right of the CDU, which still gets votes from some
working people in small towns and enterprises.

It is generally assumed that the new government may go
fairly easy in many policies until the May elections in
the state of North-Rhine-Westphalia, which has the
largest population in Germany, and where Cologne, Bonn,
Dusseldorf, Essen and the Ruhr Valley are located ? a
sort of Rust Belt. The CDU wants very much to win
there, but the SPD still has a few strongholds and the
Left has been moving ahead. After May, non-wealthy
Germans expect tougher anti-labor laws,  sharp cuts in
health insurance, more privatized utilities and higher
consumer taxes. In other words, the works.

Tension is still strong in three areas which already
had recent state elections. In western Saarland the
Social Democrats may form a coalition with the Left ?
if only the Greens agree. Otherwise the SPD could join
with the Christian Democrats.

In eastern Brandenburg, surrounding Berlin, the Social
Democrats are strongest (their last stronghold,
actually). They can choose to continue governing with
the Christian Democrats, or they could join for the
first time with the Left, which was in second place in
the recent election.

Thirdly, in East German Thuringia, the ruling CDU took
a beating at the polls but managed to remain in first
place. Many voters were sick of it and of its
unpleasant erstwhile leader, who caused the death of a
woman skier last spring. The Left was again in second
place, well ahead of the SPD and the Greens. The Social
Democrats could have chosen to join those two and push
the Christian Democrats out for the first time since
1989. The leader of the Left even renounced his right
to be minister president to make the choice easier. The
Greens were also willing. But then, unexpectedly, the
head of the Social Democrats decided swallow any
remaining pride, snub the Left (and the Greens) and
become a junior partner of the CDU. This angered so
many grass roots Social Democrats that it may be
possible to force a change. Or it could even split the
party.

It was the same old story, a tradition going back to
the years of the Spanish Civil War and the Munich
Treaty. When the chips are down some people ? some call
themselves democrats, liberals, social democrat -
decide to side with the right rather with that awful
left. The results have often been disastrous. It is
just this decision ? turn right or left - which is
being faced in three states of Germany, and which may
arise on a national level in four years? time.

October 8, 2009

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